The Phoenix Suns (11-13) challenge the San Antonio Spurs (9-15) at Mexico City Arena. The game starts at 5 p.m. ET on Saturday, December 14, 2019, and will air on NBATV.
San Antonio Spurs vs. Phoenix Suns ATS Prediction
The last time the Spurs played, they were 12-point favorites and were defeated by the Cleveland Cavaliers, 117-109. The game’s combined points (226) finished over the O/U total of 218.5. Cleveland’s rebounding was their biggest strength. The Cavaliers had more offensive rebounds (11 vs. two), defensive rebounds (39 vs. 34) and total rebounds (50 vs. 36). LaMarcus Aldridge put together a good game for San Antonio, finishing with 18 points and 10 rebounds.
The Suns were beaten by the Memphis Grizzlies in their last matchup, 115-108, despite being 6.5-point favorites. The game’s total points (223) came in under the projected point total of 230. Memphis made 10 of their 24 three pointers (41.7 percent). Phoenix, on the other hand, was 9-34 (26.5 percent). With 14 points and 13 rebounds, Phoenix’s Kelly Oubre Jr. put together a solid performance.
The high-powered offense of Phoenix will face off against the mid-tier defense of San Antonio. The Suns currently rank sixth in offensive efficiency, while the Spurs are 23rd in defensive efficiency. The Suns figure to have the advantage on that side of the ball.
San Antonio heads into the contest with records of 9-15 straight up (SU) and 5-18-1 against the spread (ATS). Of the Spurs’ 24 games, 13 have finished over the O/U total.
Meanwhile, Phoenix is 11-13 SU and 14-10 ATS. Vegas has a tendency to place the total low when the Suns are involved, as 14 of their 24 games have gone over the total.
After the Spurs won three out of four meetings against the Suns last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the last game, San Antonio won 126-124. The Spurs’ 28.6 offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest strength over the Suns, who had a rate of 12.0.
Spurs vs. Suns Pick
Pick: ATS Winner – Spurs, O/U – Over
Phoenix ranks first in assists per game (28.4) while San Antonio ranks 23rd in assists allowed per game (25.5).
Phoenix ranks 10th in fast break points per game (14.2) while San Antonio ranks 15th in fast break points allowed per game (13.4).
The Suns rank 22nd in second chance points per game (12.3) while the Spurs rank 26th (12.0).
Phoenix is 7-7 ATS at home, while San Antonio is 2-7-1 ATS on the road.
Over its last five games, San Antonio is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Phoenix is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over its last five games.
The Spurs’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 5.8, up from 4.0 for the season.
During their last five games, the Suns have scored an average of 119.0 points per game (3.6 above their season average) and allowed an average of 119.8 points per game (5.8 above their season average).