The Denver Nuggets (0-1) will be at home in Pepsi Center when they meet the San Antonio Spurs (1-0) in game two of the First Round of the Western Conference Playoffs. Denver is a 7-point favorite on the opening line, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 208 points. Action starts at 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday, April 16, 2019, and it can be seen on NBATV.
San Antonio Spurs at Denver Nuggets Free Preview
These two teams combined for 197 points in game one, which was under the projected point total of 210. The Spurs won 101-96, covering as 5.5-point underdogs. San Antonio had a better effective field goal percentage (0.524 vs. 0.455). Denver, meanwhile, had a better turnover percentage (9.2 vs. 10.7). Despite the loss, Jokic put up a triple-double with 10 points, 14 rebounds and 14 assists.
Half-court execution will be critical when two of the NBA’s slowest-paced teams face off. Denver ranks 25th in possessions per game (100.2) and San Antonio is 27th (100.1).
Of San Antonio’s 83 games, 43 have finished over the O/U total, while 48 of Denver’s 83 games have finished under the projected point total. Both teams have very similar records straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS). The Spurs are 49-34 SU and 44-37-2 ATS, while the Nuggets are 54-29 SU and 42-41 ATS.
Spurs vs. Nuggets Odds Prediction
Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Spurs, ATS Winner – Spurs, O/U – Under
Denver ranks 12th in steals per game (7.7) while San Antonio ranks 29th (6.1).
San Antonio ranks third in blocks allowed per game (4.0) while Denver ranks 14th (5.0).
The Nuggets rank 20th in points off turnovers per game (15.6) while the Spurs rank last (14.0).
San Antonio is 20-20-2 ATS on the road, while Denver is 25-17 ATS at home.
Denver is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders in its last five games.
Across its past five games, San Antonio is 3-2 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
The Nuggets have been outscored by an average of 1.8 points in their last five games. On the season, Denver has defeated opponents by an average of 3.8 points.
During their last five games, the Spurs have scored an average of 106.4 points per game (5.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 101.0 points per game (8.8 below their season average).