The Los Angeles Lakers (37-11) clash against the San Antonio Spurs (22-27) at the Staples Center. The game is scheduled to start at 10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, February 4, 2020.
Los Angeles opened as a 12-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 229 points at PointsBet NJ Sportsbook.
San Antonio Spurs vs. Los Angeles Lakers Betting Prediction
In the Spurs’ last matchup, they were defeated by the Los Angeles Clippers, 108-105, but they did cover as 8.5-point underdogs. The total points for the game (213) finished just under the projected point total of 214.5. Los Angeles’ 0.226 free throw rate was their largest advantage over San Antonio, who had a rate of 0.137. The Clippers’ mark was below their season average of 0.231, while the Spurs’ was below their season average of 0.206. LaMarcus Aldridge was the game’s leading scorer with 27 points on 9-for-17 shooting.
The Lakers defeated the Sacramento Kings in their last contest, 129-113, easily covering as 7-point favorites. The total points for the game (242) were well over the O/U total of 225.5. The Lakers, who came into the game averaging an effective field goal percentage of 0.546, had a phenomenal mark of 0.622 and had a free throw rate of 0.256 (above their season average of 0.195). With 15 points, 11 assists and 10 rebounds, LeBron James led the way for Los Angeles with his 10th triple-double of the year.
The productive offense of Los Angeles will battle against the porous defense of San Antonio. The Lakers currently rank fifth in offensive efficiency, while the Spurs are 21st in defensive efficiency. The Lakers figure to have the advantage on that end of the court. Furthermore, the Spurs commit the third-fewest errors in the league (turnover percentage of 12.0 percent), while the pesky defense of the Lakers causes the fifth-most (opponents’ turnover percentage of 14.5 percent).
San Antonio holds records of 22-27 straight up (SU) and 20-26-2 against the spread (ATS). Games featuring the Spurs have a tendency to go over the projected point total (58.3 percent).
Meanwhile, Los Angeles owns records of 37-11 SU and 25-22-1 ATS. Lakers games have no tendency in regards to the total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under.
The Lakers have emerged victorious in both matchups against the Spurs this year, including a 10-point victory the last time these teams met. Los Angeles covered as a 4.5-point favorite and the game finished with a total of 218 points, which was just 4.5 points below the projected point total of 222.5 points. The Lakers had a better turnover percentage (8.5 vs. 12.1) and had a better effective field goal percentage (0.573 vs. 0.523). James put up a double-double in the victory with 33 points and 14 assists.
Spurs vs. Lakers Free Pick
Free NBA Tip:Â Â ATS Winner – Spurs, O/U – Over
Betting Trends
Los Angeles ranks third in points off turnovers per game (18.8) while San Antonio ranks 25th (15.1).
Los Angeles ranks third in rebounds allowed per game (42.4) while San Antonio ranks 16th (45.6).
The Lakers rank first in blocks per game (7.1) while the Spurs rank eighth (5.7).
Los Angeles is 11-10-1 ATS at home, while San Antonio is 11-9-2 ATS on the road.
Over its last five contests, San Antonio is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Los Angeles is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over its last five games.
The Spurs have outscored opponents by an average of 4.6 points in their last five games. On the season, San Antonio has lost by an average of 0.3 points.
During their last five games, the Lakers have scored an average of 113.4 points per game (0.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 110.6 points per game (3.7 above their season average).
