The San Antonio Spurs (8-14) take on the Sacramento Kings (8-12) at the AT&T Center. The game starts at 8:30 p.m. ET on Friday, December 6, 2019, and will air on NBC Sports – California.
Sacramento Kings vs. San Antonio Spurs Betting Prediction
The Kings are hoping to rebound after failing to cover as 5.5-point underdogs in their 127-116 loss to the Portland Trail Blazers in their last matchup. The total points for the game (243) were well over the O/U total of 216.5. Portland’s 0.655 effective field goal percentage was their biggest strength over Sacramento, who had a rate of 0.521. The Trail Blazers’ mark was above their season average of 0.516. Richaun Holmes led Sacramento in scoring with 28 points on 11-for-14 shooting.
In the Spurs’ previous game, they won a close one over the Houston Rockets, 135-133, despite being 7-point underdogs. The combined points for the game (268) came in well over the projected point total of 233.5. San Antonio made 13 of their 30 three pointers (43.3 percent). Houston, meanwhile, did an excellent job of getting and making free throws (34-36; 94.4 percent). With 23 points, nine assists and five rebounds, San Antonio’s DeMar DeRozan played well.
Although Sacramento has difficulty winning games straight up (8-12 SU), they have an excellent 12-8 record against the spread (ATS). Kings games have a tendency to go under the projected point total (65.0 percent).
Meanwhile, San Antonio is 8-14 SU and 5-16-1 ATS. Of the Spurs’ 22 games, 12 have finished over the projected point total.
After the Kings won all three matchups against the Spurs last season, these teams will meet for the first time this year. In the most recent matchup, Sacramento won 113-106. Sacramento made good use of their 28 trips to the free throw line, converting on 24 of them (85.7 percent). San Antonio, on the other hand, was 10-14 (71.4 percent).
Kings at Spurs ATS Pick
Prediction: ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Under
Betting Trends
Sacramento is 7-4 ATS on the road with 8 unders and 3 overs.
San Antonio is 3-9 ATS at home with 6 overs, 5 unders and 1 push.
Sacramento is 4-2 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while San Antonio is 1-0.
In games where they score more than 100 points, the Kings are 8-6 and the Spurs are 8-11.
Sacramento ranks first in fast break points allowed per game (11.3) while San Antonio ranks 20th (13.9).
The Kings rank 12th in three pointers attempted per game (34.6) while the Spurs rank 29th (25.9).
San Antonio ranks ninth in steals allowed per game (7.2) while Sacramento ranks 25th (8.5).
The Spurs rank 12th in rebounds per game (45.8) while the Kings rank 28th (41.9).
Sacramento ranks 11th in assists allowed per game (23.4) while San Antonio ranks 27th (26.0).
The Spurs rank second in points off turnovers allowed per game (13.9) while the Kings rank 12th (16.9).
San Antonio ranks 22nd in points in the paint per game (45.4) while Sacramento ranks 29th (41.4).
The Spurs average 5.7 blocks per game, which ranks seventh in the NBA. The Kings rank 10th in blocks allowed per game (4.8).
In its last five outings, Sacramento is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
San Antonio is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over its last five games.
The Kings’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 4.4, up from 3.9 for the season.
During their last five games, the Spurs have scored an average of 109.0 points per game (3.0 below their season average) and allowed an average of 117.8 points per game (1.8 above their season average).
