The Portland Trail Blazers (8-13) square off with the Sacramento Kings (8-11) at Moda Center at the Rose Quarter. The game starts at 10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, December 4, 2019, and will air on NBC Sports – California.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 218.5 points with Portland set as a 3-point favorite.
Sacramento Kings at Portland Trail Blazers Betting Prediction
The Kings failed to cover as 4.5-point favorites in their 113-106 loss to the Chicago Bulls in their last game. The total points for the game (219) finished over the projected point total of 212.5. Chicago made good use of their 29 trips to the charity stripe, converting on 25 of them (86.2 percent). Sacramento, on the other hand, was 17-20 (85.0 percent). Buddy Hield led Sacramento in scoring with 26 points on 9-for-21 shooting.
In the Trail Blazers’ last game, they lost big to the Los Angeles Clippers, 117-97. They were unable to cover as 7-point underdogs. The game’s total points (214) finished under the O/U total of 227. Los Angeles’ turnover percentage was their largest strength over Portland. The Clippers had a rate of 8.7 (stronger than their season average of 13.4), while the Trail Blazers posted a mark of 11.8. Portland’s Hassan Whiteside recorded 18 points and 13 rebounds in the game.
Sacramento comes into the game with records of 8-11 straight up (SU) and 12-7 against the spread (ATS). Kings games have typically gone under the total (68.4 percent).
Meanwhile, Portland owns records of 8-13 SU and 9-10-1 ATS. Contrary to Sacramento, games including the Trail Blazers have gone over the total 50.0 percent of the time.
The two teams have split their two matchups this season. The Kings won the most recent matchup 107-99, covering as 1.5-point underdogs. The game finished with a total of 206 points, which was 16 points below the projected point total of 222 points. The Kings had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (25.0 vs. 16.7) and had a better turnover percentage (12.6 vs. 15.9). Despite the loss, Damian Lillard was the game’s leading scorer with 27 points.
Kings at Trail Blazers ATS Pick
Prediction: ATS Winner – Trail Blazers, O/U – Under
Betting Trends
Sacramento is 7-3 ATS on the road with 8 unders and 2 overs.
Portland is 2-5 ATS at home with 4 overs and 3 unders.
Sacramento is 4-2 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Portland is 2-0.
When reaching the century mark, the Trail Blazers are 8-11 and the Kings are 8-5.
Portland ranks seventh in rebounds per game (46.8) while Sacramento ranks last (41.7).
The Kings rank eighth in second chance points allowed per game (12.3) while the Trail Blazers rank 29th (15.9).
Sacramento ranks 15th in steals per game (7.7) while Portland ranks last (5.9).
The Kings rank first in fast break points allowed per game (10.4) while the Trail Blazers rank 16th (13.5).
Portland ranks fifth in blocks per game (6.0) while Sacramento ranks 17th (4.8).
The Kings rank 19th in points off turnovers per game (17.1) while the Trail Blazers rank 29th (13.5).
Sacramento ranks 22nd in assists per game (22.7) while Portland ranks 28th (20.0).
The Kings rank 12th in three pointers attempted per game (34.7) while the Trail Blazers rank 16th in three pointers allowed per game (33.9).
Portland ranks 26th in points in the paint per game (43.0) while Sacramento ranks 27th (41.2).
Over its last five contests, Sacramento is 4-1 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
Portland is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over its last five games.
The Kings’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 0.8, down from 3.5 for the season.
During their last five games, the Trail Blazers have scored an average of 112.2 points per game (0.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 108.6 points per game (6.2 below their season average).
