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kings vs thunder
March 1st, 2023

Sacramento Kings vs Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Pick 2/28/23

Jay Sanin Jay Sanin

Two of the most pleasant surprises in the NBA will square off on Tuesday night, when the Sacramento Kings visit the Oklahoma City Thunder. Sacramento has soared to a top-three spot in the Western Conference this season, while the Thunder are much more competitive than they were expected to be going into the year. In our NBA betting picks for Tuesday night, we look at Kings vs Thunder from Oklahoma City.

Kings vs Thunder Betting Pick

ℹ️ The Pick: Kings -2.5
? Recommended Sportsbook Promo: First Bet On Caesars up to $1,250
? Promo Code: ATSBONUSFULL

This game will be played at Paycom Center at 8:00 PM ET on Tuesday, February 28, 2023.

Why Bet the Kings:

✅ Oklahoma City is set to be without Shai Gilgeous-Alexander for this game against the Kings. Without their most dangerous scoring threat, the Thunder will be far worse offensively, which will play into the hands of the Kings.

✅ Sacramento is one of two Western Conference teams with a winning record on the road this season. They are 17-13 away from Golden 1 Center this season, and they will continue their winning ways on the road here by beating OKC.

✅ This is the worst possible game to be without Gilgeous-Alexander for the Thunder. They face a Kings team that leads the NBA in scoring at 120.7 points per game, and the Thunder will not be able to keep up with out SGA.

The Pick: Kings -2.5

Caesars Pick
Bet Now

NBA

Feb 28, 2023 08:00 PM

Sacramento Kings

VS

Oklahoma City Thunder

Matchup Odds Trends

Spread Consensus

-2.5/-110
BetMGM
$1000 Risk Free Bet
+2.5/-110

64% SAC

OKC 36%

MoneyLine Consensus

-136
Caesars
Up To $1250 On Caesar
+113

72% SAC

OKC 28%

Total Consensus

230.5/-110
FanDuel
$1000 No Sweat Bet
230.5/-110

27% UN

OV 73%

Team Stats Per Game

Offense/Defense

SAC Team Stats Per Game OKC
82Games82
43.6FG41.9
88.2FGA88.4
.494FG%.474
13.83Pt-FG12.9
37.33Pt-FGA36.0
.3693Pt%.358
29.82Pt-FG29.0
50.92Pt-FGA52.4
.5862Pt%.553
19.8FT19.6
25.1FTA25.5
.790FT%.771
9.5ORB12.0
32.9DRB34.6
42.5TRB46.6
27.3AST25.9
7.0STL7.0
3.4BLK5.5
13.5TOV16.8
19.7PF20.4
120.7PTS116.4

Defense/Offense

SAC Team Stats Per Game OKC
82Games82
43.8FG43.1
88.9FGA92.6
.492FG%.465
12.53Pt-FG12.1
33.43Pt-FGA34.1
.3733Pt%.356
31.32Pt-FG31.0
55.52Pt-FGA58.5
.5642Pt%.530
18.1FT19.2
23.0FTA23.7
.787FT%.809
9.7ORB11.4
32.5DRB32.3
42.2TRB43.6
26.7AST24.4
7.3STL8.2
4.2BLK4.2
14.2TOV13.0
20.9PF21.0
118.1PTS117.5

Team Stats Per 100 Poss

Offense/Defense

SAC Team Stats Per 100 Poss OKC
82Games82
43.1FG41.1
87.3FGA86.7
.494FG%.474
13.63Pt-FG12.7
36.93Pt-FGA35.3
.3693Pt%.358
29.52Pt-FG28.4
50.32Pt-FGA51.4
.5862Pt%.553
19.6FT19.3
24.8FTA25.0
.790FT%.771
9.4ORB11.7
32.6DRB34.0
42.0TRB45.7
27.0AST25.4
6.9STL6.8
3.3BLK5.4
13.3TOV16.4
19.5PF20.0
119.4PTS114.2

Defense/Offense

SAC Team Stats Per 100 Poss OKC
82Games82
43.3FG42.3
87.9FGA90.8
.492FG%.465
12.33Pt-FG11.9
33.13Pt-FGA33.5
.3733Pt%.356
31.02Pt-FG30.4
54.92Pt-FGA57.3
.5642Pt%.530
17.9FT18.8
22.7FTA23.3
.787FT%.809
9.6ORB11.2
32.2DRB31.6
41.7TRB42.8
26.4AST23.9
7.2STL8.1
4.1BLK4.1
14.1TOV12.8
20.6PF20.6
116.8PTS115.2

Four Factors

Offense/Defense

SAC Four Factors OKC
.572eFG%.547
12.0TOV%14.4
22.7RB%72.9
.225FT/FGA.222

Defense/Offense

SAC Four Factors OKC
.563eFG%.531
12.6TOV%11.2
77.2RB%24.7
.203FT/FGA.207

Analytics

SAC Analytics OKC
47Pythag Wins44
35Pythag Losses38
2.65Margin Of Victory1.09
119.4O Rtg115.2
116.8D Rtg114.2
100.3Pace101.1
.284FTr.256
.4233PAr.369
.608TS%.570
  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
SAC
OKC
SAC
OKC
Consensus
-3.0 -112
+3.0 -110
-2.0 -112
+2.0 -109
Draftkings
Bet $5 Win $200
-2.5 -110
+2.5 -105
-2.5 -110
+2.5 -110
FanDuel
$1000 No Sweat Bet
-2.5 -110
+2.5 -110
-2.5 -110
+2.5 -110
BetRivers
$500 Risk Free
-2.5 -112
+2.5 -110
-2.0 -112
+2.0 -109
Caesars
Up To $1250 On Caesar
-3.0 -110
+3.0 -110
-2.5 -110
+2.5 -110
PointsBet
2 Free Bets Up To $2000
-3.0 -110
+3.0 -110
-2.5 -110
+2.5 -110
BetMGM
$1000 Risk Free Bet
-2.5 -110
+2.5 -105
-2.5 -110
+2.5 -110
Open
Current
Book
SAC
OKC
SAC
OKC
Consensus
-154
+130
-136
+113
Draftkings
Bet $5 Win $200
-145
+125
-140
+120
FanDuel
$1000 No Sweat Bet
-138
+118
-138
+118
BetRivers
$500 Risk Free
-139
+117
-132
+110
Caesars
Up To $1250 On Caesar
-155
+130
-140
+118
PointsBet
2 Free Bets Up To $2000
-150
+130
-135
+115
BetMGM
$1000 Risk Free Bet
-150
+125
-145
+120
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
Consensus
237.5 -108
237.5 -113
230.5 -110
230.5 -110
Draftkings
Bet $5 Win $200
236.5 -110
236.5 -110
230.0 -110
230.0 -110
FanDuel
$1000 No Sweat Bet
237.5 -110
237.5 -110
231.0 -110
231.0 -110
BetRivers
$500 Risk Free
238.5 -110
238.5 -110
230.5 -110
230.5 -110
Caesars
Up To $1250 On Caesar
237.0 -110
237.0 -110
230.0 -110
230.0 -110
PointsBet
2 Free Bets Up To $2000
237.0 -110
237.0 -110
231.0 -110
231.0 -110
BetMGM
$1000 Risk Free Bet
237.5 -105
237.5 -115
230.5 -110
230.5 -110

Betting Trends

Last 3 Last 5 Last 10
SAC Betting Trends OKC
OVERALLOVERALL
3-0-0Win/Loss/Tie0-3-0
3-0-0ATS W/L/P0-2-1
144.33Avg Score116.33
135.33Avg Opp Score122.67
AWAYHOME
2-1-0Win/Loss/Tie1-2-0
2-1-0ATS W/L/P1-2-0
136.33Avg Score116
136.67Avg Opp Score107.67
SAC Betting Trends OKC
OVERALLOVERALL
4-1-0Win/Loss/Tie1-4-0
4-1-0ATS W/L/P1-3-1
135Avg Score116.4
130.8Avg Opp Score113.4
AWAYHOME
4-1-0Win/Loss/Tie2-3-0
3-2-0ATS W/L/P2-3-0
135.8Avg Score124.2
131.6Avg Opp Score114.4
SAC Betting Trends OKC
OVERALLOVERALL
6-4-0Win/Loss/Tie4-6-0
5-5-0ATS W/L/P4-5-1
126.7Avg Score122.6
126.7Avg Opp Score120
AWAYHOME
6-4-0Win/Loss/Tie6-4-0
5-5-0ATS W/L/P6-4-0
123.4Avg Score123.8
123.8Avg Opp Score113.4

Head to Head

DATE TM LN ML 1st 2nd 3rd 4th OT SC
02/26/23
SAC
OKC
239.5
4.0
-172
+144
36
26
22
24
36
40
30
25

124
115
01/20/23
OKC
SAC
244.5
-5.5
+169
-204
32
33
34
26
22
32
25
27

113
118
02/28/22
SAC
OKC
227.5
5.5
-218
+179
35
32
24
27
40
31
32
20

131
110
02/05/22
OKC
SAC
211.5
-7.5
+249
-314
30
36
27
28
22
25
24
24

103
113
12/28/21
OKC
SAC
224.5
-6.0
+191
-238
34
32
23
29
24
26
30
30

111
117
11/12/21
SAC
OKC
219.0
5.0
-202
+168
23
16
39
32
24
29
17
28

103
105
05/11/21
OKC
SAC
222.5
-9.5
+335
-431
32
27
33
35
18
41
23
19

106
122
05/09/21
OKC
SAC
224.0
-9.0
+326
-426
25
33
26
38
20
35
27
20

98
126
05/04/21
SAC
OKC
227.0
5.5
-211
+175
25
20
31
26
25
23
22
30

103
99
02/27/20
SAC
OKC
220.5
-7.5
+248
-308
27
25
34
25
21
31
26
31

108
112

Teams Last 10

Sacramento Kings Oklahoma City Thunder
DATE TM LN ML 1st 2nd 3rd 4th OT SC
04/30/23
GS
SAC
90.2
-0.6
-40
-46
12
12
10
11
14
4
11
3

47
39
04/28/23
SAC
GS
164.8
-4.9
+161
-201
16
17
24
18
22
20
20
13

82
69
04/26/23
GS
SAC
210.4
1.6
-118
+99
30
32
24
18
35
31
22
23

111
104
04/23/23
SAC
GS
59.0
-1.9
+64
-81
2
2
2
2
1
2
2
2

31
32
04/20/23
SAC
GS
232.8
-5.8
+198
-242
19
28
20
23
30
30
24
29

94
110
04/17/23
GS
SAC
226.1
2.2
-130
+107
22
16
27
39
22
24
29
29

100
108
04/15/23
GS
SAC
241.1
-1.0
-106
-118
29
29
32
26
29
37
33
36

125
128
04/09/23
SAC
DEN
393.3
14.6
-352
+294
74
44
41
56
24
41
24
44

162
186
04/07/23
GS
SAC
96.2
1.9
-237
+174
13
3
4
13
14
10
14
4

49
40
04/05/23
SAC
DAL
83.8
-2.4
+70
-86
3
3
15
11
2
11
3
11

41
42
DATE TM LN ML 1st 2nd 3rd 4th OT SC
04/14/23
OKC
MIN
396.4
-9.5
+324
-398
40
42
42
57
54
66
29
43

164
208
04/12/23
OKC
NO
346.5
-8.4
+280
-343
49
44
38
52
60
37
41
47

188
181
04/09/23
MEM
OKC
393.3
-3.4
+185
-221
41
34
43
46
41
65
46
51

171
197
04/06/23
OKC
UTA
286.4
10.7
-347
+279
38
30
28
32
35
29
36
26

136
117
04/04/23
OKC
GS
271.8
-8.5
+279
-347
44
41
45
37
30
37
21
38

141
153
04/02/23
PHO
OKC
315.2
9.7
-287
+235
36
36
56
37
39
45
40
39

170
157
03/31/23
OKC
IND
394.2
14.4
-337
+278
52
58
47
47
53
40
37
50

189
196
03/29/23
DET
OKC
345.0
-14.3
+545
-723
39
39
45
42
36
45
39
35

160
162
03/28/23
CHA
OKC
164.8
-7.3
+256
-330
19
17
23
33
26
23
32
25

99
97
03/26/23
OKC
POR
121.6
2.9
-277
+204
13
19
23
13
15
17
12
5

62
59
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Sacramento Kings

The Sacramento Kings have won three games in a row going into Tuesday night. They sit in third place in the Western Conference standings, and have turned themselves into the most surprising title contender in the NBA this season. Here, they will look for a fourth straight win, as they take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on the road.

For the Kings, the key to this game will be avoiding a defensive letdown against OKC. With Shai Gilgeous-Alexander out for the Thunder, the Kings cannot afford to take this contest for granted. They will need to bring the defensive intensity that eluded them last week during their high-scoring win over the Clippers to avoid any drama against their foes on Tuesday night.

Oklahoma City Thunder

The Oklahoma City Thunder have lost three games in a row, and are starting to fall out of the Western Conference playoff race. At four games below .500 on the season, the Thunder are in 13th place in the West all of a sudden. They will look to recover a game on their competition for the play-in tournament with a win over the Kings on Tuesday night.

With SGA out of the lineup for the Thunder, the pairing of Isaiah Joe and Lu Dort will be essential to the offensive success of the team. Against the top-scoring team in the NBA, the Thunder will need to score big if they are going to come away with this one to help their playoff hopes.

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Tags: Oklahoma City Thunder, Sacramento Kings
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