The Sacramento Kings (6-8) will try to slow down the NBA’s top scoring team when they challenge the Washington Wizards (5-8) at Capital One Arena. The game starts at 6 p.m. ET on Sunday, November 24, 2019, and will air on NBC Sports – California.
Sacramento Kings vs. Washington Wizards ATS Prediction
In the Kings’ last game, they were dismantled by the Brooklyn Nets, 116-97, and failed to cover as 2-point underdogs. The game’s combined points (213) finished just under the projected point total of 214.5. Brooklyn out-rebounded Sacramento. The Nets had more offensive rebounds (13 vs. seven), defensive rebounds (35 vs. 26) and total rebounds (48 vs. 33). Richaun Holmes had a good performance for Sacramento, putting up 12 points and eight rebounds.
The Wizards beat the Charlotte Hornets in their last matchup, 125-118, covering as 6-point favorites. The combined points for the game (243) were over the projected point total of 234.5. The Wizards made 15 of their 20 free throws (75.0 percent) and had a turnover percentage of 9.9 (better than their season average of 12.2). Bradley Beal was Washington’s top scorer with 30 points on 10-for-19 shooting from the field.
After splitting two games last season, these teams will clash for the first time this year. The Wizards won the most recent matchup 121-115. Washington was successful at getting and making free throws. The Wizards made 27 of their 33 free throws (81.8 percent), while the Kings were 24-32 (75.0 percent).
Sacramento heads into the contest with records of 6-8 straight up (SU) and 8-6 against the spread (ATS). Vegas tends to place the total high when the Kings are involved, as 64.3 percent of their games have ended under the total.
Although Washington has difficulty winning games outright (5-8 SU), they have an outstanding record ATS (10-3). Contrary to Sacramento, games including the Wizards have a tendency to finish over the projected point total (61.5 percent).
Both teams have had a player take their game to the next level over their last five games. Buddy Hield (22 points,5.6 rebounds,1.2 steals) has been fantastic for the Kings while Beal (35 points,7.4 assists) has contributed greatly to the Wizards.
The prolific offense of Washington will face off against the porous defense of Sacramento. The Wizards currently rank second in offensive efficiency, while the Kings are 23rd in defensive efficiency. The Wizards should have the advantage on that side of the ball.
Sacramento Kings vs. Washington Wizards ATS Pick
Pick: O/U – Over
Sacramento is 4-3 ATS on the road with 5 unders and 2 overs.
Washington is 4-2 ATS at home with 4 overs and 2 unders.
In contests where they hold opponents below 100 points, Washington is 2-0 and Sacramento is 3-1.
When scoring more than 100 points, the Kings are 6-3 and the Wizards are 4-8.
Washington ranks first in assists per game (28.8) while Sacramento ranks 23rd (22.5).
The Wizards rank ninth in points in the paint per game (49.1) while the Kings rank 29th (40.9).
Sacramento ranks first in fast break points allowed per game (10.0) while Washington ranks 18th (13.8).
The Kings rank fourth in rebounds allowed per game (41.9) while the Wizards rank 20th (46.2).
Sacramento ranks 14th in three pointers attempted per game (34.4) while Washington ranks 17th in three pointers allowed per game (33.9).
The Wizards average 13.5 second chance points per game, which ranks 11th in the NBA. The Kings rank 13th in second chance points allowed per game (12.9).
Washington averages 6.8 steals per game, which ranks 21st in the league. Sacramento ranks 22nd in steals allowed per game (8.6).
Over its last five outings, Sacramento is 4-1 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
Washington is 5-0 ATS with 5 overs over its last five games.
The Kings’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 1.6, down from 4.5 for the season.
During their last five games, the Wizards have scored an average of 130.8 points per game (10.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 126.2 points per game (5.4 above their season average).