The Portland Trail Blazers (28-36) square off with the Sacramento Kings (27-35) at Moda Center at the Rose Quarter. The game starts at 10 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 7, 2020, and will air on NBC Sports – California.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 230 points with Portland set as a 3-point favorite at BetMGM Sportsbook.
Sacramento Kings vs. Portland Trail Blazers ATS Prediction
In the Kings’ last game, they were 5.5-point favorites and lost to the Philadelphia 76ers, 125-108. The total points for the game (233) were over the O/U total of 219. Philadelphia won the rebounding battle. The 76ers had 14 offensive rebounds and 45 total rebounds, while the Kings had four and 37, respectively. De’Aaron Fox was Sacramento’s high scorer with 23 points on 9-for-17 shooting.
The Trail Blazers were beaten by the Phoenix Suns in their last outing, 127-117. They failed to cover as 7-point underdogs. The total points for the game (244) hit the projected point total. Phoenix’s rebounding was their largest strength. The Suns had more offensive rebounds (15 vs. nine), defensive rebounds (32 vs. 30) and total rebounds (47 vs. 39). Portland’s Hassan Whiteside had 23 points and 20 rebounds in the game.
The Trail Blazers lead the season series against the Kings two games to one, including a 127-116 victory in their last matchup. Portland covered as a 6-point favorite and the game finished with a total of 243 points, which was 26.5 points above the projected point total of 216.5 points. Portland made 16 of its 32 three pointers (50.0 percent). Sacramento, meanwhile, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (26.0 vs. 16.2). Whiteside recorded a double-double with 22 points and 16 rebounds.
Sacramento heads into the game with records of 27-35 straight up (SU) and 32-30 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Kings games, with 32 overs compared to 29 unders.
Meanwhile, Portland owns records of 28-36 SU and 26-35-2 ATS. Of the Trail Blazers’ 63 games with betting action, 34 have finished over the O/U total.
It could be a difficult game for Portland on the offensive glass. The Trail Blazers rank 20th in offensive rebounding percentage (22.1 percent), while Sacramento ranks eighth in defensive rebounding percentage (78.2 percent).
Sacramento Kings at Portland Trail Blazers Odds Pick
Free Prediction: ATS Winner – Trail Blazers, O/U – Over
Betting Trends
On the road, Sacramento is 20-12 ATS with 16 overs, 15 unders and 1 push.
Portland is 12-17-1 ATS at home with 18 overs and 12 unders.
Sacramento is 10-2 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Portland is 4-0.
The Kings are 25-28 when they reach 100 points, while the Trail Blazers are 28-29.
Sacramento ranks fourth in second chance points allowed per game (11.8) while Portland ranks last (15.5).
The Trail Blazers rank second in blocks per game (6.2) while the Kings rank 24th (4.2).
Sacramento ranks eighth in rebounds allowed per game (43.6) while Portland ranks last (47.6).
The Kings rank fifth in fast break points allowed per game (12.4) while the Trail Blazers rank 26th (15.2).
Sacramento ranks ninth in points off turnovers per game (17.4) while Portland ranks 29th (14.1).
The Kings rank 11th in three pointers attempted per game (34.7) while the Trail Blazers rank 25th in three pointers allowed per game (35.2).
Sacramento ranks 15th in steals per game (7.6) while Portland ranks 28th (6.0).
The Kings rank 22nd in assists per game (23.3) while the Trail Blazers rank last (20.2).
Sacramento ranks 23rd in points in the paint per game (46.3) while Portland ranks 27th (44.3).
In its last five outings, Sacramento is 3-2 ATS with 2 overs, 2 unders and 1 push.
Portland is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over its last five games.
The Kings’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 1.0, down from 2.1 for the season.
During their last five games, the Trail Blazers have scored an average of 117.8 points per game (4.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 114.6 points per game (0.7 below their season average).