The Oklahoma City Thunder (36-22) clash with the Sacramento Kings (24-33) at Chesapeake Energy Arena. The game starts at 8 p.m. ET on Thursday, February 27, 2020, and will air on NBC Sports – California.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 223 points with Oklahoma City opening as a 6-point favorite on the BetMGM Sports Betting App.
Sacramento Kings at Oklahoma City Thunder ATS Prediction
In the Kings’ last contest, they comfortably covered the 8.5-point spread against the Golden State Warriors, 112-94. The game’s total points (206) finished well under the projected point total of 223.5. Sacramento’s turnover percentage was their largest advantage over Golden State. The Kings had a rate of 9.9 (better than their season average of 12.5), while the Warriors posted a mark of 15.2. De’Aaron Fox had a solid performance for Sacramento, finishing with 21 points and five assists.
The Thunder edged the Chicago Bulls in their last contest, 124-122, but were not able to cover as 11-point favorites. The total points for the game (246) finished well over the O/U total of 217.5. One of Oklahoma City’s largest advantages was getting to the free throw line. They had 35 free throw attempts, while Chicago had just nine. With 21 points and 11 rebounds, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander played well for Oklahoma City.
Half-court execution will be at a premium when a pair of the league’s slowest-paced teams go head-to-head. Oklahoma City ranks 24th in possessions per game (100.7) and Sacramento is 22nd (100.9). Also, the Kings rank 28th in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.174), while the Thunder rank third in opponents’ FTA rate (0.164).
Sacramento comes into the game with records of 24-33 straight up (SU) and 29-28 against the spread (ATS). Games including the Kings have a slight tendency to finish over the O/U total (52.6 percent).
Meanwhile, Oklahoma City is 36-22 SU and 37-20-1 ATS. Contrary to Sacramento, Thunder games have gone under the O/U total 51.7 percent of the time.
The two teams have split their two matchups this season. The Thunder won the most recent matchup 120-100, covering as 2.5-point favorites. The game finished with a total of 220 points, which was just 0.5 points above the projected point total of 219.5 points. The Thunder knocked down 17 of their 20 free throws (85.0 percent) and had a better effective field goal percentage (0.585 vs. 0.511). In the victory, Dennis Schroder led all scorers with 24 points.
Kings vs. Thunder Odds Pick
Pick: ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Over
Sacramento ranks 17th in second chance points per game (12.8) while Oklahoma City ranks last (10.7).
Oklahoma City ranks fourth in blocks allowed per game (4.1) while Sacramento ranks sixth (4.4).
Oklahoma City is 16-14-1 ATS at home, while Sacramento is 18-12 ATS on the road.
In its last five outings, Sacramento is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Oklahoma City is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under over its last five games.
The Kings have scored an equal number of points as their opponents. For the season, Sacramento has been defeated by an average of 2.2 points.
During their last five games, the Thunder have scored an average of 119.4 points per game (8.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 111.6 points per game (3.5 above their season average).