The New Orleans Pelicans (22-31) challenge the Portland Trail Blazers (25-29) at the Smoothie King Center. The game will air on Fox Sports – New Orleans at 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday, February 11, 2020.
Portland Trail Blazers at New Orleans Pelicans ATS Prediction
The last time the Trail Blazers played, they covered the 5-point spread against the Miami Heat, 115-109. The game’s total points (224) came in just under the O/U total of 225.5. Portland’s free throw rate was their largest advantage over Miami. The Trail Blazers had a rate of 0.188 (below their season average of 0.191), while the Heat posted a mark of 0.112 (below their season average of 0.237). With 33 points on 11-for-23 shooting, Damian Lillard was the game’s leading scorer.
The Pelicans beat the Indiana Pacers in their last game, 124-117, despite being 5.5-point underdogs. The total points for the game (241) were well over the O/U total of 224. New Orleans’ rebounding was their biggest strength. The Pelicans had 16 offensive rebounds and 53 total rebounds, while the Pacers had two and 37, respectively. Jrue Holiday was the top scorer from either team with 31 points on 10-for-22 shooting from the field.
The Pelicans have won both contests against the Trail Blazers this season, including a 102-94 victory the last time these teams met. New Orleans covered as a 6-point underdog and the game finished with a total of 196 points, which was 34 points below the projected point total of 230 points. New Orleans had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (24.5 vs. 16.0). Portland, on the other hand, did a fantastic job of making free throws (16-18; 88.9 percent). Brandon Ingram put up a double-double in the victory with 19 points and 11 rebounds.
Portland holds records of 25-29 straight up (SU) and 23-29-2 against the spread (ATS). Of the Trail Blazers’ 54 games, 29 have finished over the O/U total.
Meanwhile, New Orleans is 22-31 SU and 25-24-4 ATS. Vegas has a tendency to set the total low when the Pelicans are involved, as 56.6 percent of their games have gone over the O/U total.
New Orleans figures to have an edge on the offensive glass in this matchup. The Pelicans rank ninth in offensive rebounding percentage (23.8 percent), while Portland ranks 27th in defensive rebounding percentage (75.1 percent). Additionally, the Trail Blazers rank third in turnover percentage (12.1 percent), while the Pelicans rank 22nd in opponents’ turnover percentage (12.9 percent).
Portland Trail Blazers vs. New Orleans Pelicans ATS Pick
Free NBA Tip: ATS Winner – Trail Blazers, O/U – Over
On the road, Portland is 12-15-1 ATS with 14 unders, 13 overs and 1 push.
New Orleans is 13-13 ATS at home with 14 overs and 12 unders.
New Orleans is 3-0 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Portland is 4-0.
The Trail Blazers are 25-22 when they score over 100 points, while the Pelicans are 22-28.
Portland ranks second in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.1) while New Orleans ranks 28th (19.0).
The Pelicans rank fifth in rebounds per game (46.5) while the Trail Blazers rank last in rebounds allowed per game (47.9).
Portland ranks fourth in steals allowed per game (6.8) while New Orleans ranks 26th (8.5).
The Pelicans rank eighth in assists per game (25.9) while the Trail Blazers rank last (20.0).
New Orleans ranks fifth in three pointers attempted per game (38.2) while Portland ranks 25th in three pointers allowed per game (35.2).
The Pelicans rank eighth in second chance points per game (14.0) while the Trail Blazers rank 28th in second chance points allowed per game (15.6).
New Orleans averages 16.3 fast break points per game, which ranks fifth in the league. Portland ranks 22nd in fast break points allowed per game (14.3).
The Pelicans rank 15th in points in the paint per game (48.0) while the Trail Blazers rank 28th (43.9).
New Orleans ranks 10th in blocks per game (5.2) while Portland ranks 20th in blocks allowed per game (5.2).
In its last five contests, Portland is 4-1 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
New Orleans is 2-2-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over its last five games.
The Trail Blazers have scored an equal number of points as their opponents. For the season, Portland has been defeated by an average of 1.4 points.
During their last five games, the Pelicans have scored an average of 121.0 points per game (5.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 116.8 points per game (0.4 below their season average).