The Denver Nuggets (3-3) will be at home in Pepsi Center when they meet the Portland Trail Blazers (3-3) in game seven of the Western Conference Semifinals. Winner advances to the Western Conference Finals. The Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 212.5 points with Denver set as a 5.5-point favorite. Tip-off is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, May 12, 2019.
Portland Trail Blazers vs. Denver Nuggets Free Preview
These two teams combined for 227 points in game six, which was over the projected point total of 213. The Trail Blazers won 119-108, covering as 4-point favorites. Portland’s effective field goal percentage was its biggest strength over Denver. The Trail Blazers had a rate of 0.545 while the Nuggets posted a mark of 0.453. Jokic recorded a double-double in the defeat, with 29 points and 12 rebounds.
Of Portland’s 93 games, 50 have finished over the O/U total, while 51 of Denver’s 95 games have finished under the projected point total. Both teams have very similar records straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS). The Trail Blazers are 60-33 SU and 50-43 ATS, while the Nuggets are 61-34 SU and 49-46 ATS.
Both teams have had a player trending in the right direction over their last five games. For the Trail Blazers, it’s been CJ McCollum, who has averaged 24 points,5.4 rebounds,3.4 assists, while the Nuggets have gotten great contributions from Nikola Jokic (26 points,14.4 rebounds,8.8 assists,1.4 steals).
Denver appears to have the advantage on the offensive side of the ball. The Nuggets rank seventh in offensive efficiency, while Portland ranks 17th in defensive efficiency.
Portland Trail Blazers at Denver Nuggets Betting Prediction
NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Nuggets, ATS Winner – Trail Blazers, O/U – Over
The Nuggets rank fifth in fast break points allowed per game (11.9) while the Trail Blazers rank 15th (13.9).
Portland ranks fourth in rebounds per game (47.7) while Denver ranks seventh (46.5).
Portland ranks third in three pointers allowed per game (29.9) while Denver ranks 10th (31.1).
On the road, Portland is 23-23 ATS with 23 unders, 22 overs and 1 push.
At home, Denver is 29-19 ATS with 26 unders and 22 overs.
When holding opponents under 100 points, Portland is 18-2 and Denver is 28-3.
When reaching the century mark, the Nuggets are 56-24 and the Trail Blazers are 57-26.
The Nuggets rank second in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.2) while the Trail Blazers rank ninth (15.2).
Denver ranks third in assists per game (27.0) while Portland ranks 26th (22.5).
The Nuggets rank first in second chance points per game (15.7) while the Trail Blazers rank 21st in second chance points allowed per game (14.0).
Denver ranks fourth in points in the paint per game (51.9) while Portland ranks 15th (48.9).
Denver is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under in its last five games.
Over its last five outings, Portland is 2-3 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
The Nuggets’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 1.8, down from 3.7 for the season.
During their last five games, the Trail Blazers have scored an average of 113.2 points per game (1.2 below their season average) and allowed an average of 115.0 points per game (4.5 above their season average).