The Utah Jazz (36-20) meet the Phoenix Suns (23-34) at Vivint Smart Home Arena. The game is scheduled to begin at 9 p.m. ET on Monday, February 24, 2020.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 223.5 points with Utah opening as an 8-point favorite at BetMGM Sportsbook.
Phoenix Suns at Utah Jazz ATS Prediction
The Suns will be hoping for a similar outcome after covering the 3-point spread against the Chicago Bulls in their last game, 112-104. The game’s total points (216) finished under the projected point total of 222. The Suns had a phenomenal offensive rebounding percentage of 38.6 (above their season average of 21.7) and had a free throw rate of 0.302 (above their season average of 0.224). Deandre Ayton had a solid performance for Phoenix, contributing 28 points and 19 rebounds.
The last time the Jazz took the court, they fell to the Houston Rockets, 120-110, despite being 2-point favorites. The combined points for the game (230) finished just under the O/U total of 232.5. Houston’s 9.2 turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over Utah, who had a rate of 11.4. The Rockets’ mark was better than their season average of 12.0. Utah’s Donovan Mitchell put together a solid performance, leading the team in scoring with 31 points on 12-for-24 shooting.
Utah could dominate on the offensive side of the ball as their sharp-shooting offense goes up against one of the league’s worst defenses. The Jazz currently rank third in effective field goal percentage (0.550), while Phoenix ranks 23rd in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.540).
Phoenix comes into the game with records of 23-34 straight up (SU) and 26-30-1 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Suns games, with 29 unders compared to 28 overs.
Meanwhile, Utah owns records of 36-20 SU and 27-27-2 ATS. Unlike Phoenix, just over half of Jazz games have finished over the total.
This will be the second game of the season between these two teams. Rudy Gobert recorded 15 points and 18 rebounds in the first game, in which the Jazz topped the Suns 96-95 but could not cover as 4.5-point favorites. The game finished with a total of 191 points, which was 22.5 points below the projected point total of 213.5 points. Utah did an excellent job of getting and making free throws (32-39; 82.1 percent). Phoenix, on the other hand, had a much better turnover percentage (15.1 vs. 20.7).
Suns vs. Jazz Betting Pick
Free NBA Pick: ATS Winner – Suns, O/U – Under
Phoenix is 15-13 ATS on the road with 16 unders and 12 overs.
At home, Utah is 13-13-1 ATS with 14 overs and 13 unders.
When allowing less than 100 points, Utah is 12-2 and Phoenix is 7-2.
The Jazz are 35-14 when they reach 100 points, while the Suns are 22-28.
Phoenix ranks fourth in points off turnovers per game (18.7) while Utah ranks 28th (14.1).
The Suns rank second in assists per game (26.9) while the Jazz rank 26th (22.2).
Phoenix ranks 12th in steals per game (7.9) while Utah ranks last (5.7).
The Suns rank 10th in fast break points per game (14.4) while the Jazz rank 26th (10.8).
Utah ranks 12th in blocks allowed per game (4.8) while Phoenix ranks 26th (5.8).
The Jazz rank 15th in points in the paint per game (48.2) while the Suns rank 22nd in points allowed in the paint per game (50.1).
Utah ranks fourth in second chance points allowed per game (11.7) while Phoenix ranks 11th (12.5).
The Jazz rank fourth in rebounds allowed per game (42.7) while the Suns rank 10th (44.1).
Utah ranks fourth in three pointers allowed per game (31.7) while Phoenix ranks sixth (32.1).
Over its last five contests, Phoenix is 1-4 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
Utah is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over its last five games.
The Suns’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 7.4, up from 1.3 for the season.
During their last five games, the Jazz have scored an average of 113.4 points per game (2.3 above their season average) and allowed an average of 113.2 points per game (5.7 above their season average).