In two games in Phoenix, the Phoenix Suns earned two convincing victories over the Dallas Mavericks to start their Western Conference second round playoff series. The series now heads to Dallas, where Luka Doncic and the Mavericks face a virtual must-win Game 3 on their home floor. In today’s NBA picks, we look at Suns vs Mavericks Game 3, as Dallas looks to get back into this series while the Suns look to put it out of reach.
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Suns vs Mavericks Game 3 Betting Pick
This game will be played at American Airlines Center at 9:30 PM ET on Friday, May 6, 2022.
Why Bet The Suns:
✅ The Suns have been phenomenal on defense in this series, taking away Jalen Brunson as a second option behind Luka Doncic. Brunson has barely averaged double figures in this series, after he was the driving force behind the Mavs’ success when Doncic was out in the first round against the Utah Jazz. That defensive effort will help the Suns take a 3-0 series lead.
✅ Phoenix still has a huge matchup edge in this series against the Mavericks in the form of Deandre Ayton. Ayton has made 15 of his 26 field goal attempts in this series, shooting over 50% against a Mavericks team that is underprepared to deal with him. Expect Ayton to continue to deliver efficiently for the Suns to help them on the road here.
✅ The Suns have a huge depth advantage over the Mavericks, with at least four starters scoring in double figures in each of the first two games in this series. Dallas, on the other hand, has had to rely way too heavily on Luka Doncic to put points on the board. The depth of Phoenix will win out once again in Game 3.
Through two games, the Phoenix Suns have had it easy against the Dallas Mavericks, taking a 2-0 series lead. In Game 3, the Suns will look to take a 3-0 lead, as no team has ever relinquished a 3-0 lead in the NBA Playoffs. To do so, the Suns will need to continue to cut off the weapons around Luka Doncic.
While the Suns have given up 40 points per game to Doncic in this series, they have been great at limiting players like Jalen Brunson and Spencer Dinwiddie. By forcing Doncic to score in astronomical numbers to keep the team afloat in the series, the ball is not moving as effectively as it needs to for the Mavericks to play their best offense. If that keeps up, this series could end in a sweep.
The Dallas Mavericks have had small moments in the first two games of their series against the Phoenix Suns. But they have yet to seize control of enough of a game to come out ahead on the scoreboard. At home in Game 3, the Mavericks have one more chance to pick up a win before this series gets too far away from them to salvage.
The question for the Mavericks coming into Game 3 is whether they can get their supporting cast going enough to take some pressure off Doncic. Brunson and Dinwiddie have struggled, and shooters like Reggie Bullock and Maxi Kleber have only had isolated patches of success so far. If the Mavs cannot get consistent second and third scoring options to help Doncic, their season could effectively be over by the end of the weekend.