March 7th, 2023

Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks NBA Pick & Promos 3/5/23

Jay Sanin

A huge NBA matchup will take place on Sunday afternoon in Dallas, when the Phoenix Suns face the Dallas Mavericks. Both of these teams made huge trades at the trade deadline, and this huge test against one another will be really fascinating to watch from start to finish. In our NBA betting pick for Sunday, we break down Suns vs Mavericks from Dallas.

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Suns vs Mavericks Betting Pick

ℹ️ The Pick:	Mavericks -1
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This game will be played at American Airlines Center at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, March 5, 2023.

Why Bet the Mavericks:

✅ Phoenix probably has the better team for a playoff run, but they are just 14-19 on the road this season. Dallas should be able to hold serve at home here against the new-look Suns.

✅ Dallas has the top first quarter scorer in the league in Luka Doncic and the top fourth quarter scorer in the league in Kyrie Irving. Phoenix lacks the bench depth to make up for that when the reserves are on the floor.

✅ Dallas is fighting to stay out of the play-in tournament spots, and need this game desperately to avoid dropping out of the top-six in the Western Conference standings.

NBA

Mar 05, 2023 01:00 PM

Phoenix Suns

Dallas Mavericks

Spread Consensus

-1.5/-115

2 Free Bets Up To $2000

+1.5/-105

73% PHO

DAL 27%

MoneyLine Consensus

-130

$500 Risk Free

+108

83% PHO

DAL 17%

Total Consensus

233.5/-110

Bet $5 Win $200

233.5/-110

13% UN

OV 87%

Team Stats Per Game

Offense/Defense

PHO	Team Stats Per Game	DAL
82	Games	82
42.1	FG	41.8
90.1	FGA	86.2
.467	FG%	.485
12.2	3Pt-FG	11.1
32.6	3Pt-FGA	31.7
.374	3Pt%	.352
29.9	2Pt-FG	30.6
57.5	2Pt-FGA	54.5
.520	2Pt%	.562
17.2	FT	19.5
21.7	FTA	25.0
.793	FT%	.781
11.8	ORB	10.1
32.4	DRB	34.6
44.2	TRB	44.7
27.3	AST	24.9
7.1	STL	6.4
5.3	BLK	3.8
13.5	TOV	13.1
21.2	PF	21.8
113.6	PTS	114.1

Defense/Offense

PHO	Team Stats Per Game	DAL
82	Games	82
40.0	FG	40.0
85.9	FGA	84.3
.466	FG%	.475
11.4	3Pt-FG	15.2
32.0	3Pt-FGA	41.0
.357	3Pt%	.371
28.6	2Pt-FG	24.8
53.9	2Pt-FGA	43.3
.530	2Pt%	.574
20.1	FT	19.0
25.6	FTA	25.1
.786	FT%	.755
10.2	ORB	7.6
32.6	DRB	31.2
42.9	TRB	38.8
23.4	AST	22.9
7.2	STL	6.3
4.0	BLK	3.7
14.4	TOV	12.2
19.9	PF	20.7
111.6	PTS	114.2

Team Stats Per 100 Poss

Offense/Defense

PHO	Team Stats Per 100 Poss	DAL
82	Games	82
42.7	FG	42.7
91.3	FGA	88.1
.467	FG%	.485
12.4	3Pt-FG	11.4
33.0	3Pt-FGA	32.4
.374	3Pt%	.352
30.3	2Pt-FG	31.3
58.2	2Pt-FGA	55.7
.520	2Pt%	.562
17.4	FT	19.9
22.0	FTA	25.5
.793	FT%	.781
12.0	ORB	10.4
32.8	DRB	35.4
44.8	TRB	45.7
27.6	AST	25.5
7.2	STL	6.5
5.3	BLK	3.9
13.7	TOV	13.4
21.5	PF	22.3
115.1	PTS	116.7

Defense/Offense

PHO	Team Stats Per 100 Poss	DAL
82	Games	82
40.5	FG	40.9
87.0	FGA	86.2
.466	FG%	.475
11.6	3Pt-FG	15.5
32.5	3Pt-FGA	41.9
.357	3Pt%	.371
28.9	2Pt-FG	25.4
54.6	2Pt-FGA	44.2
.530	2Pt%	.574
20.4	FT	19.4
26.0	FTA	25.7
.786	FT%	.755
10.4	ORB	7.8
33.1	DRB	31.9
43.4	TRB	39.7
23.7	AST	23.4
7.3	STL	6.4
4.0	BLK	3.8
14.6	TOV	12.5
20.1	PF	21.2
113.0	PTS	116.8

Four Factors

Offense/Defense

PHO	Four Factors	DAL
.535	eFG%	.549
12.0	TOV%	11.9
26.6	RB%	75.5
.191	FT/FGA	.226

Defense/Offense

PHO	Four Factors	DAL
.532	eFG%	.565
12.9	TOV%	11.4
76.0	RB%	18.0
.234	FT/FGA	.225

Analytics

PHO	Analytics	DAL
46	Pythag Wins	41
36	Pythag Losses	41
2.07	Margin Of Victory	0.07
115.1	O Rtg	116.8
113.0	D Rtg	116.7
98.2	Pace	96.6
.241	FTr	.298
.362	3PAr	.487
.570	TS%	.599

Open

Current

Book

PHO

DAL

PHO

DAL

Consensus

+1.5 -110

-1.5 -110

-2.0 -110

+2.0 -110

Up To $1250 On Caesar

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+1.5 -110

-1.5 -110

-2.0 -110

+2.0 -110

Open

Current

Book

PHO

DAL

PHO

DAL

Consensus

-105

-115

-130

+108

Up To $1250 On Caesar

2 Free Bets Up To $2000

+100

-120

-130

+110

Open

Current

Book

Over

Under

Over

Under

Consensus

227.5 -163

227.5 +138

233.5 -110

Up To $1250 On Caesar

232.0 -110

233.5 -110

2 Free Bets Up To $2000

231.5 -110

233.5 -110

$1000 Risk Free Bet

232.5 -110

233.5 -110

Betting Trends

PHO	Betting Trends	DAL
OVERALL		OVERALL
2-1-0	Win/Loss/Tie	1-2-0
3-0-0	ATS W/L/P	1-2-0
110.33	Avg Score	121
99.67	Avg Opp Score	120.33
AWAY		HOME
2-1-0	Win/Loss/Tie	1-2-0
3-0-0	ATS W/L/P	1-2-0
110.33	Avg Score	121
99.67	Avg Opp Score	120.33

PHO	Betting Trends	DAL
OVERALL		OVERALL
3-2-0	Win/Loss/Tie	2-3-0
4-1-0	ATS W/L/P	2-3-0
112.4	Avg Score	122.8
106	Avg Opp Score	119
AWAY		HOME
3-2-0	Win/Loss/Tie	2-3-0
4-1-0	ATS W/L/P	2-3-0
111	Avg Score	125.2
103.8	Avg Opp Score	120.2

PHO	Betting Trends	DAL
OVERALL		OVERALL
7-3-0	Win/Loss/Tie	5-5-0
7-3-0	ATS W/L/P	5-5-0
113.8	Avg Score	121.9
107.1	Avg Opp Score	118.1
AWAY		HOME
7-3-0	Win/Loss/Tie	5-5-0
7-3-0	ATS W/L/P	4-6-0
112.7	Avg Score	118.7
107.9	Avg Opp Score	114.1

Head to Head

DATE	TM	LN	ML	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	SC
01/26/23	DAL PHO	221.0 -1.5	+102 -121	32 32	22 16	22 21	23 26	99 95
12/05/22	PHO DAL	223.5 -3.0	+127 -152	15 33	26 34	34 29	36 34	111 130
10/19/22	DAL PHO	218.0 -4.0	+149 -180	32 24	30 21	19 31	24 31	105 107
05/15/22	DAL PHO	204.0 -6.5	+231 -288	27 17	30 10	35 23	31 40	123 90
05/12/22	PHO DAL	211.0 2.0	-132 +110	25 28	20 32	27 34	14 19	86 113
05/10/22	DAL PHO	215.0 -7.0	+244 -308	26 23	20 26	14 33	20 28	80 110
05/08/22	PHO DAL	214.5 3.0	-152 +126	25 37	31 31	22 19	23 24	101 111
05/06/22	PHO DAL	218.0 -1.0	-106 -114	20 29	24 22	23 31	27 21	94 103
05/04/22	DAL PHO	217.5 -6.5	+206 -262	28 32	32 26	23 31	26 40	109 129
05/02/22	DAL PHO	214.0 -6.0	+200 -248	25 35	31 34	23 27	35 25	114 121

Teams Last 10

DATE	TM	LN	ML	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	SC
05/11/23	DEN PHO	177.4 -1.2	+79 -96	35 20	29 20	17 20	17 19	98 78
05/09/23	PHO DEN	342.3 -9.8	+317 -386	36 53	38 26	38 59	42 41	154 178
05/07/23	DEN PHO	386.5 -1.7	-180 -197	58 55	46 53	53 60	55 53	212 221
05/05/23	DEN PHO	369.7 -6.6	+251 -302	51 48	35 62	59 38	43 51	187 199
05/01/23	PHO DEN	63.4 -1.1	+39 -47	2 1	2 2	2 2	1 2	24 27
04/29/23	PHO DEN	322.2 -5.7	+216 -257	45 44	27 52	42 37	37 44	151 177
04/25/23	LAC PHO	349.1 -19.4	+870 -1262	46 50	62 45	37 77	56 39	201 211
04/22/23	PHO LAC	234.5 8.0	-347 +270	24 31	26 18	36 32	30 23	116 103
04/20/23	PHO LAC	217.8 7.5	-332 +253	26 26	26 23	39 33	34 38	125 120
04/18/23	LAC PHO	83.3 -2.9	+102 -129	11 3	11 13	10 12	3 11	40 45

DATE	TM	LN	ML	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	SC
04/09/23	SA DAL	396.7 -6.8	+243 -296	72 24	50 77	63 55	51 44	236 200
04/07/23	CHI DAL	88.8 -0.8	+44 -53	11 12	12 16	13 4	12 4	47 46
04/05/23	SAC DAL	83.8 -2.4	+70 -86	3 3	15 11	2 11	3 11	41 42
04/01/23	DAL MIA	107.3 0.6	-67 +56	15 21	16 15	15 12	12 13	58 62
03/29/23	DAL PHI	351.8 -9.1	+290 -358	56 42	38 44	44 48	26 41	163 175
03/27/23	DAL IND	311.3 12.8	-383 +306	38 35	39 26	52 35	37 39	166 136
03/26/23	DAL CHA	121.3 3.4	-379 +266	4 16	17 13	13 14	17 15	54 58
03/24/23	CHA DAL	135.3 -9.8	+472 -896	22 15	19 17	15 19	13 13	69 65
03/22/23	GS DAL	92.2 0.5	-60 +49	12 13	14 12	12 12	12 12	50 49
03/20/23	DAL MEM	103.7 -2.1	+67 -82	13 14	15 12	16 12	3 13	49 51

JOIN

Phoenix Suns

The Phoenix Suns have won two games in a row heading into this huge Sunday showdown with the Dallas Mavericks. Those two wins came on the road against the struggling Charlotte Hornets and Chicago Bulls. Here, the Suns will look for a third straight road win, as they face the Dallas Mavericks in a rematch of their playoff series from last season.

Of course, this will be the first meeting between the Suns and Mavs with Kevin Durant being a member of the Suns. With Durant in the fold, things will be infinitely harder for the Mavericks defensively here. However, Deandre Ayton is questionable for this contest with a knee ailment, which could make things much tougher on the Suns than usual on the interior.

Dallas Mavericks

The Dallas Mavericks got a win in their last game, riding a red-hot third quarter to beat the Philadelphia 76ers at home. While the pairing of Kyrie Irving and Luka Doncic has meant struggles on defense, it has also meant some incredible work on the offensive end of the floor. The Mavs will hope that offense can propel them to another win over the Suns at home.

Luka Doncic has had his way with the Suns recently, as evidenced by his performances against them in last year’s postseason. The addition of Irving will force the Suns to decide between throwing bodies at Doncic or staying at home on Irving and the rest of the Mavs’ offensive weapons.