The Atlanta Hawks (8-32) challenge the Phoenix Suns (16-23) at State Farm Arena. The game starts at 7:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, January 14, 2020, and will air on Fox Sports – Arizona.
Phoenix Suns vs. Atlanta Hawks ATS Prediction
The last time the Suns played, they beat the Charlotte Hornets, 100-92, but they failed to cover as 8.5-point favorites. The game’s total points (192) came in well under the projected point total of 217. Phoenix’s 29.3 offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest advantage over Charlotte, who had a mark of 17.0. The Suns’ mark was above their season average of 20.9, while the Hornets’ was below their season average of 23.9. Phoenix was led by Kelly Oubre Jr., who was the game’s high scorer with 25 points on 10-for-19 shooting.
The Hawks got blown out by the Brooklyn Nets in their last matchup, 108-86. They were not able to cover as 9-point underdogs. The combined points for the game (194) finished well under the projected point total of 225.5. Brooklyn’s 19.4 offensive rebounding percentage was their largest strength over Atlanta, who had a mark of 6.8. The Nets’ mark was below their season average of 22.9, while the Hawks’ was below their season average of 20.9. Cam Reddish had a solid game for Atlanta, leading the team in scoring with 20 points on 6-for-16 shooting.
This will be the second game of the season between these two teams. In the first, Oubre Jr. scored a game-high 30 points and the Suns beat the Hawks 128-112, covering as 8-point favorites. He also had seven rebounds. The game finished with a total of 240 points, which was 10.5 points above the projected point total of 229.5 points. The Suns knocked down 31 of their 38 free throws (81.6 percent) and had a better effective field goal percentage (0.571 vs. 0.484).
Phoenix heads into the game with records of 16-23 straight up (SU) and 20-18-1 against the spread (ATS). Of the Suns’ 39 games, 21 have finished over the total.
Meanwhile, Atlanta owns records of 8-32 SU and 17-23 ATS. Games including the Hawks have no tendency in regards to the total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under.
It might be an error-filled game for the Atlanta offense. Atlanta ranks 29th in the NBA in ball protection (turnover percentage of 15.2 percent), while the gambling defense of Phoenix forces the third-most turnovers in the league (14.9 percent).
Phoenix Suns vs. Atlanta Hawks ATS Pick
Free Pick: ATS Winner – Suns, O/U – Under
Phoenix is 10-6 ATS on the road with 9 unders and 7 overs.
At home, Atlanta is 10-8 ATS with 11 unders and 7 overs.
When holding opponents under 100 points, Atlanta is 3-0 and Phoenix is 4-2.
The Hawks are 8-25 when they score above 100 points, while the Suns are 15-19.
Phoenix ranks fourth in points off turnovers per game (18.5) while Atlanta ranks 28th in points off turnovers allowed per game (19.6).
The Suns rank ninth in second chance points allowed per game (12.4) while the Hawks rank 28th (14.9).
Phoenix averages 48.5 points in the paint per game, which ranks 12th in the NBA. Atlanta ranks last in points allowed in the paint per game (53.4).
The Suns rank second in assists per game (27.8) while the Hawks rank 20th (23.0).
Atlanta ranks 11th in blocks per game (5.1) while Phoenix ranks 28th (3.7).
The Suns rank 14th in steals per game (7.7) while the Hawks rank 29th in steals allowed per game (8.9).
Phoenix ranks fourth in fast break points allowed per game (12.0) while Atlanta ranks 19th (14.3).
The Suns rank 12th in rebounds allowed per game (44.9) while the Hawks rank 27th (47.7).
Over its last five outings, Phoenix is 1-4 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
Atlanta is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over its last five games.
The Suns have outscored opponents by an average of 0.4 points in their last five games. On the season, Phoenix has been defeated by an average of 0.9 points.
During their last five games, the Hawks have scored an average of 106.6 points per game (0.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 115.0 points per game (2.0 below their season average).