The Orlando Magic (9-11) clash with the Phoenix Suns (9-10) at the Amway Center. The game can be seen on Fox Sports – Arizona at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, December 4, 2019.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 215 points with Phoenix set as a 1.5-point favorite.
Phoenix Suns vs. Orlando Magic Betting Prediction
The Suns will be looking for a similar result after covering the 4-point spread against the Charlotte Hornets in their last outing, 109-104. The game’s combined points (213) finished under the O/U total of 222. The Suns had a ridiculously low turnover percentage of 6.5 (better than their season average of 12.5) and had a better effective field goal percentage (0.494 vs. 0.488). Dario Saric played a pivotal role for Phoenix with 16 points and 10 rebounds.
In the Magic’s last game, they were victorious over the Washington Wizards, 127-120, despite being 8-point underdogs. The total points for the game (247) came in well over the O/U total of 204. The Magic held the Wizards to an offensive rebounding percentage of 11.1 (below their season average of 21.9) and had a free throw rate of 0.222 (above their season average of 0.194). With 18 points and 11 rebounds, Orlando’s Aaron Gordon played well.
After splitting two games last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the most recent contest, the Suns won 122-120. Phoenix’s 0.574 effective field goal percentage was its biggest advantage over Orlando, who had a rate of 0.531.
Phoenix holds records of 9-10 straight up (SU) and 11-8 against the spread (ATS). Games including the Suns tend to finish over the projected point total (57.9 percent).
Meanwhile, Orlando is 9-11 SU and 6-11-2 ATS. In opposition of Phoenix, games involving the Magic have a slight tendency to go under the O/U total (52.6 percent).
Ball protection could play an integral role in this matchup. Orlando commits the fourth-fewest miscues in the league (turnover percentage of 12.8 percent), while the gambling defense of Phoenix forces the third-most (opponents’ turnover percentage of 15.6 percent). Also, second chance points figure to be few and far between for the Suns. They rank 28th in the NBA in offensive rebounding percentage at 19.2 percent, while the Magic are fifth-best on the defensive glass (defensive rebounding percentage of 79.6 percent).
Phoenix Suns vs. Orlando Magic Pick
Free NBA Pick: ATS Winner – Suns, O/U – Under
On the road, Phoenix is 5-2 ATS with 5 unders and 2 overs.
At home, Orlando is 3-6-2 ATS with 6 unders and 5 overs.
Orlando is 5-2 when they allow below 100 points, while Phoenix is 2-2.
In games where they score more than 100 points, the Suns are 9-8 and the Magic are 7-3.
Orlando ranks third in blocks per game (6.5) while Phoenix ranks 26th (4.1).
The Suns rank second in assists per game (27.7) while the Magic rank 23rd (22.3).
Phoenix ranks second in points off turnovers per game (19.7) while Orlando ranks 17th (17.4).
The Magic rank 12th in rebounds per game (45.8) while the Suns rank 26th (42.2).
Phoenix ranks 12th in points in the paint per game (47.8) while Orlando ranks 25th (43.4).
The Magic rank fifth in steals allowed per game (6.8) while the Suns rank 13th (7.4).
Orlando ranks 20th in second chance points per game (12.4) while Phoenix ranks 26th (11.2).
The Magic rank fourth in three pointers allowed per game (31.9) while the Suns rank sixth (32.1).
Orlando ranks fifth in fast break points allowed per game (11.8) while Phoenix ranks seventh (12.4).
In its last five contests, Phoenix is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Orlando is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over its last five games.
The Suns have been outscored by an average of 4.0 points in their last five games. On the season, Phoenix has defeated opponents by an average of 1.9 points.
During their last five games, the Magic have scored an average of 102.8 points per game (0.5 above their season average) and allowed an average of 102.6 points per game (0.3 below their season average).