The Philadelphia 76ers (29-16) head to Toronto to take on the Raptors (29-14) in what should be a low-scoring game. The game will air on ESPN at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 22, 2020.
Toronto is a 5.5-point favorite on the opening line at PointsBet Sportsbook, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 218 points.
Philadelphia 76ers at Toronto Raptors ATS Prediction
The 76ers come in on a high note after covering the 2-point spread against the Brooklyn Nets in their last contest, 117-111. The game’s total points (228) came in over the projected point total of 218. Philadelphia forced the Nets into a turnover percentage of 18.7 (above their season average of 13.1). Brooklyn, on the other hand, had a free throw rate of 0.272 (above their season average of 0.192). Philadelphia rallied around Ben Simmons, who recorded his third triple-double this season. He took over, registering 34 points, 12 rebounds and 12 assists.
The last time the Raptors played, they defeated the Atlanta Hawks, 122-117, but were unable to cover as 8.5-point favorites. The game’s total points (239) finished over the O/U total of 231.5. The Raptors forced 23 turnovers and had a free throw rate of 0.359 (above their season average of 0.199). With 20 points, Toronto’s Fred VanVleet put together a good game.
The two teams have split their two matchups this season. The 76ers won the most recent matchup 110-104, covering as 3-point favorites. The game finished with a total of 214 points, which was just 0.5 points below the projected point total of 214.5 points. Philadelphia was lights out from beyond the arc (14-32; 43.8 percent). Toronto, meanwhile, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (27.7 vs. 17.1). In the loss, OG Anunoby had a double-double with 19 points and 10 rebounds.
Philadelphia comes into the contest with records of 29-16 straight up (SU) and 21-21-3 against the spread (ATS). Of the 76ers’ 45 games, 22 have finished over the total.
Meanwhile, Toronto owns records of 29-14 SU and 23-19-1 ATS. Raptors games also have a slight tendency to go over the total (53.5 percent).
Both teams have had a player step their game up over their last five games. Simmons (19 points,8.6 rebounds,8.0 assists,1.8 steals) has been great for the 76ers while Norman Powell (20 points,1.2 steals) has contributed greatly to the Raptors.
Points could be at a premium as two of the league’s top defenses face off. Toronto ranks second in defensive efficiency (102.3) and Philadelphia is fourth (103.7).
Philadelphia 76ers vs. Toronto Raptors Odds Pick
Free Prediction: ATS Winner – 76ers, O/U – Over
Philadelphia is 9-13-1 ATS on the road with 11 overs, 11 unders and 1 push.
Toronto is 12-10 ATS at home with 13 overs and 9 unders.
Philadelphia is 13-1 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Toronto is 11-3.
The 76ers are 25-7 when they score more than 100 points, while the Raptors are 27-9.
Philadelphia ranks first in three pointers allowed per game (27.8) while Toronto ranks 29th (38.3).
The 76ers rank first in rebounds allowed per game (41.4) while the Raptors rank 26th (46.9).
Philadelphia ranks second in second chance points allowed per game (11.6) while Toronto ranks 25th (14.1).
The 76ers rank second in assists allowed per game (21.7) while the Raptors rank 25th (25.3).
Philadelphia ranks second in blocks allowed per game (4.0) while Toronto ranks 23rd (5.5).
The Raptors rank second in points off turnovers per game (20.3) while the 76ers rank 21st (16.4).
Toronto averages 17.8 fast break points per game, which ranks third in the league. Philadelphia ranks 14th in fast break points allowed per game (13.0).
The Raptors rank second in steals per game (8.7) while the 76ers rank 11th in steals allowed per game (7.3).
Toronto ranks second in points allowed in the paint per game (42.7) while Philadelphia ranks 11th (46.8).
In its last five outings, Philadelphia is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Toronto is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under over its last five games.
The 76ers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 5.0, up from 3.6 for the season.
During their last five games, the Raptors have scored an average of 123.6 points per game (11.6 above their season average) and allowed an average of 113.2 points per game (7.0 above their season average).