The Golden State Warriors (14-49) welcome the Philadelphia 76ers (38-25) to Chase Center as they try to end their 10-game home losing streak. The game is scheduled to start at 8:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 7, 2020.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 227 points with Philadelphia opening as a 2.5-point favorite at BetMGM Sportsbook.
Philadelphia 76ers at Golden State Warriors Betting Prediction
The last time the 76ers played, they topped the Sacramento Kings, 125-108, as 5.5-point underdogs. The game’s combined points (233) came in over the O/U total of 219. Philadelphia’s rebounding was their largest strength. The 76ers had 14 offensive rebounds and 45 total rebounds, while the Kings had four and 37, respectively. Philadelphia received a boost from Tobias Harris, who was the top scorer from either team with 28 points on 11-for-22 shooting.
The Warriors lost to the Toronto Raptors in their last contest, 121-113, but were able to cover as 9-point underdogs. The game’s total points (234) came in over the projected point total of 228.5. Toronto was successful at getting and making free throws. The Raptors made 28 of their 31 free throws (90.3 percent), while the Warriors were 19-25 (76.0 percent). Golden State’s Marquese Chriss recorded 17 points and 12 rebounds in the contest.
It might be a tough game for Golden State on the offensive glass. The Warriors rank 22nd in offensive rebounding percentage (21.7 percent), while Philadelphia ranks second in defensive rebounding percentage (80.3 percent).
Philadelphia is 38-25 straight up (SU), but they have difficulty covering the spread (28-31-4 against the spread (ATS)). Of the 76ers’ 63 games, 33 have finished over the projected point total.
Meanwhile, Golden State is 14-49 SU and 29-33-1 ATS. Of the Warriors’ 63 games, 35 have finished under the O/U total.
Both teams have had a player step their game up over their last five games. Shake Milton (19 points,5.0 assists,1.4 steals) has been great for the 76ers while Eric Paschall (20 points,3.8 assists) has made great contributions to the Warriors.
This will be the second game of the season between these two teams. In the first, the Warriors lost 115-104 but covered as 13.5-point underdogs. D’Angelo Russell scored a game-high 28 points and also had seven assists and five rebounds. The game finished with a total of 219 points, which was just 4 points above the projected point total of 215 points. Philadelphia did a great job of getting and making free throws (20-26; 76.9 percent). Golden State, meanwhile, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (12.5 vs. 5.6).
76ers at Warriors Pick
Pick: ATS Winner – 76ers, O/U – Over
Betting Trends
Philadelphia is 11-21-1 ATS on the road with 17 overs, 15 unders and 1 push.
At home, Golden State is 12-19-1 ATS with 18 unders and 14 overs.
When allowing under 100 points, Philadelphia is 14-1 and Golden State is 6-2.
The 76ers are 34-12 when they score over 100 points, while the Warriors are 14-32.
Philadelphia ranks second in rebounds allowed per game (42.1) while Golden State ranks 26th (46.5).
The 76ers rank fourth in assists allowed per game (22.5) while the Warriors rank 28th (26.0).
Philadelphia ranks sixth in steals allowed per game (7.0) while Golden State ranks 26th (8.4).
The 76ers rank first in three pointers allowed per game (28.9) while the Warriors rank 19th (34.7).
Philadelphia ranks third in second chance points allowed per game (11.6) while Golden State ranks 21st (13.4).
The 76ers average 14.3 fast break points per game, which ranks 10th in the league. The Warriors rank 25th in fast break points allowed per game (15.2).
Philadelphia ranks third in blocks allowed per game (3.9) while Golden State ranks 15th (5.0).
The 76ers rank 19th in points in the paint per game (47.0) while the Warriors rank 28th (43.6).
Philadelphia ranks 19th in points off turnovers per game (16.5) while Golden State ranks 24th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.1).
Over its last five contests, Philadelphia is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
Golden State is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over its last five games.
The 76ers have been outscored by an average of 1.4 points in their last five games. For the season, Philadelphia has defeated opponents by an average of 2.1 points.
During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 108.0 points per game (1.9 above their season average) and allowed an average of 112.0 points per game (2.8 below their season average).