The Denver Nuggets (5-2) go head-to-head against the Philadelphia 76ers (5-2) at the Pepsi Center. The game can be seen on Altitude Sports & Entertainmnt at 9 p.m. ET on Friday, November 8, 2019.
Philadelphia 76ers at Denver Nuggets Free Prediction
Although the 76ers were beaten by the Utah Jazz in their last contest, 106-104, they were able to cover as 3-point underdogs. The combined points for the game (210) came in just over the O/U total of 209. Utah’s rebounding was their biggest strength. The Jazz had 14 offensive rebounds and 50 total rebounds, while the 76ers had seven and 42, respectively. Joel Embiid was the top scorer from either team with 27 points on 5-for-16 shooting.
In the Nuggets’ last game, they easily got past the Miami Heat, 109-89, comfortably covering as 4.5-point favorites. The combined points for the game (198) finished under the O/U total of 210.5. Denver had an effective field goal percentage of 0.576 (above their season average of 0.477). Miami, meanwhile, had a better free throw rate (0.182 vs. 0.116). With 15 points and 10 rebounds, Will Barton put together a good outing for Denver.
These two teams split two games last season. In the most recent game, the 76ers won 117-110. Philadelphia did a fantastic job of getting and making free throws (29-32; 90.6 percent). Denver, meanwhile, had a better turnover percentage (10.7 vs. 15.6).
Philadelphia heads into the game with records of 5-2 straight up (SU) and 5-2 against the spread (ATS). Vegas tends to set the total low when the 76ers are involved, as 57.1 percent of their games have gone over the O/U total.
Denver has a phenomenal 5-2 SU record, but they are just 3-3-1 ATS. Contrary to Philadelphia, Nuggets games have typically finished under the O/U total (85.7 percent).
Denver could put on a ball-control clinic in this meeting. Since the 2018-19 season, Denver ranks fifth in the NBA at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.5 percent), while Philadelphia has forced the second-fewest turnovers (12.1 percent).
Philadelphia 76ers at Denver Nuggets Betting Pick
NBA Prediction: 76ers +5.5
Betting Trends
Denver is 31-3 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Philadelphia is 16-1.
In games where they reach the century mark, the Nuggets are 60-26 and the 76ers are 62-27.
Denver ranks first in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.2) while Philadelphia ranks 24th (17.5).
The Nuggets rank fourth in fast break points allowed per game (12.1) while the 76ers rank 22nd (14.6).
Denver ranks fourth in points in the paint per game (51.4) while Philadelphia ranks 19th in points allowed in the paint per game (49.8).
The 76ers rank second in blocks allowed per game (4.0) while the Nuggets rank 13th (4.9).
Philadelphia ranks second in assists allowed per game (22.7) while Denver ranks 10th (23.9).
The 76ers rank fifth in three pointers allowed per game (30.2) while the Nuggets rank 10th (31.1).
Philadelphia ranks second in rebounds per game (47.8) while Denver ranks seventh (46.5).
The Nuggets score the most second chance points per game (15.5) while the 76ers rank fifth (14.2).
Denver averages 7.5 steals per game, which ranks 19th in the league. Philadelphia ranks 21st in steals allowed per game (7.8).
