The Toronto Raptors (11-4) will attempt to continue a six-game home winning streak when they take on the Philadelphia 76ers (11-5) at Scotiabank Arena. The game starts at 7:30 p.m. ET on Monday, November 25, 2019, and will air on CTV Sportsnet Toronto.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 214 points with Toronto opening as a 1-point favorite.
Philadelphia 76ers vs. Toronto Raptors Betting Prediction
The 76ers come in on a high note after easily covering the 5.5-point spread against the Miami Heat in their last matchup, 113-86. The game’s combined points (199) were under the O/U total of 210.5. The 76ers had a great effective field goal percentage of 0.590 (above their season average of 0.531) and had a better turnover percentage (13.4 vs. 16.4). Joel Embiid played a key role for Philadelphia with 23 points and 11 rebounds.
In the Raptors’ previous matchup, they barely escaped the Atlanta Hawks, 119-116, but were unable to cover as 7-point favorites. The combined points for the game (235) came in over the O/U total of 224. The Raptors made 26 of their 30 free throws (86.7 percent) and had an offensive rebounding percentage of 28.6 (above their season average of 19.1). Pascal Siakam was the game’s high scorer with 34 points on 11-for-18 shooting from the field.
Second-chance opportunities could be rare for Toronto in this meeting. The Raptors rank 27th in offensive rebounding percentage (19.7 percent), while Philadelphia ranks first in defensive rebounding percentage (83.1 percent). Moreover, the 76ers, who rank 25th in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.179), will go head-to-head against the Raptors, who rank fifth in opponents’ FTA rate (0.176).
Philadelphia heads into the contest with records of 11-5 straight up (SU) and 9-7 against the spread (ATS). Of the 76ers’ 16 games, eight have finished over, seven have finished under and one has pushed.
Meanwhile, Toronto is 11-4 SU and 9-6 ATS. Games featuring the Raptors tend to go over the projected point total (60.0 percent).
After the Raptors won seven out of 11 contests against the 76ers last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the last game, Toronto won 92-90. Toronto had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (30.8 vs. 13.2). Philadelphia, on the other hand, did a great job of converting from the charity stripe (25-30; 83.3 percent).
76ers at Raptors Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Raptors, ATS Winner – Raptors, O/U – Over
Philadelphia is 5-4 ATS on the road with 6 overs and 3 unders.
Toronto is 5-1 ATS at home with 5 overs and 1 under.
Philadelphia is 5-0 when they allow below 100 points, while Toronto is 4-1.
In games where they reach the century mark, the Raptors are 11-3 and the 76ers are 10-3.
Philadelphia ranks first in three pointers allowed per game (25.9) while Toronto ranks 29th (38.3).
The 76ers rank first in rebounds allowed per game (39.8) while the Raptors rank 25th (48.2).
Philadelphia ranks fifth in blocks allowed per game (4.1) while Toronto ranks 25th (6.3).
The 76ers rank second in assists allowed per game (19.7) while the Raptors rank 21st (25.5).
Toronto ranks fourth in steals allowed per game (6.8) while Philadelphia ranks 22nd (8.3).
The 76ers rank first in second chance points allowed per game (9.9) while the Raptors rank 17th (13.5).
Philadelphia ranks seventh in points off turnovers per game (18.8) while Toronto ranks 22nd in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.2).
The Raptors rank first in fast break points per game (20.1) while the 76ers rank 14th (13.4).
Toronto ranks fourth in points allowed in the paint per game (43.1) while Philadelphia ranks ninth (45.4).
Over its last five outings, Philadelphia is 3-2 ATS with 2 overs, 2 unders and 1 push.
Toronto is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under over its last five games.
The 76ers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 10.8, up from 5.2 for the season.
During their last five games, the Raptors have scored an average of 116.0 points per game (2.3 above their season average) and allowed an average of 105.0 points per game (1.1 below their season average).