The Sacramento Kings (27-34) look to continue their six-game home winning streak when they take on the Philadelphia 76ers (37-25), who will attempt to snap their nine-game road losing streak. The game will air on NBC Sports – California at 10 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 5, 2020.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 221.5 points with Sacramento set as a 4.5-point favorite at PointsBet Sportsbook.
Philadelphia 76ers at Sacramento Kings Betting Prediction
The last time the 76ers played, they were beaten by the Los Angeles Lakers, 120-107, and failed to cover as 10-point underdogs. The game’s combined points (227) finished over the O/U total of 215. Los Angeles’ 12.2 turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over Philadelphia, who had a mark of 13.8. The Lakers’ mark was better than their season average of 12.9. Glenn Robinson III led Philadelphia in scoring with 25 points on 10-for-15 shooting.
The Kings defeated the Washington Wizards in their last outing, 133-126, covering as 5.5-point favorites. The game’s combined points (259) came in well over the projected point total of 235.5. Sacramento out-rebounded Washington. The Kings had eight offensive rebounds and 42 total rebounds, while the Wizards had two and 31, respectively. De’Aaron Fox was Sacramento’s leading scorer with 31 points on 12-for-19 shooting from the field.
This is the second game of the season between these two teams. In the first, Joel Embiid scored a game-high 33 points and the 76ers beat the Kings 97-91 but were not able to cover as 9.5-point favorites at Sugarhouse. He also had 16 rebounds. The game finished with a total of 188 points, which was 22.5 points below the projected point total of 210.5 points. The 76ers made 20 of their 24 free throws (83.3 percent) and had a better effective field goal percentage (0.500 vs. 0.458).
Philadelphia comes into the contest with records of 37-25 straight up (SU) and 27-31-4 against the spread (ATS). Of the 76ers’ 62 games, 32 have finished over the projected point total.
Meanwhile, Sacramento is 27-34 SU and 32-29 ATS. Just over half of Kings games have also finished over the total.
Half-court execution will be critical when a pair of the league’s slowest-paced teams clash. Sacramento currently ranks 22nd in possessions per game (100.9) and Philadelphia is 23rd (100.6).
Philadelphia 76ers at Sacramento Kings Free Pick
Prediction: ATS Winner – 76ers, O/U – Over
Betting Trends
On the road, Philadelphia is 10-21-1 ATS with 16 overs, 15 unders and 1 push.
Sacramento is 12-17 ATS at home with 15 overs and 14 unders.
Philadelphia is 14-1 when they allow under 100 points, while Sacramento is 10-2.
When reaching the century mark, the Kings are 25-27 and the 76ers are 33-12.
Philadelphia ranks first in three pointers allowed per game (28.9) while Sacramento ranks 16th (34.2).
The 76ers rank 11th in rebounds per game (45.5) while the Kings rank 26th (42.4).
Philadelphia ranks fourth in assists allowed per game (22.5) while Sacramento ranks 15th (24.5).
The 76ers average 8.3 steals per game, which ranks ninth in the league. The Kings rank 16th in steals allowed per game (7.8).
Philadelphia ranks third in blocks allowed per game (3.9) while Sacramento ranks sixth (4.4).
The Kings rank ninth in points off turnovers per game (17.4) while the 76ers rank 11th in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.4).
Sacramento averages 12.7 fast break points per game, which ranks 19th in the NBA. Philadelphia ranks 21st in fast break points allowed per game (14.0).
The 76ers are third in the league with 11.7 second chance points allowed per game while the Kings are fourth with 11.8 second chance points allowed per game.
In its last five outings, Philadelphia is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
Sacramento is 4-1 ATS with 3 unders, 1 over and 1 push over its last five games.
The 76ers have been outscored by an average of 1.4 points in their last five games. On the season, Philadelphia has defeated opponents by an average of 1.8 points.
During their last five games, the Kings have scored an average of 112.6 points per game (3.9 above their season average) and allowed an average of 106.6 points per game (4.0 below their season average).