It will be a battle between Atlantic Division opponents when the New York Knicks (4-14) welcome the Philadelphia 76ers (12-6) to Madison Square Garden. The game is scheduled to begin at 7:30 p.m. ET on Friday, November 29, 2019.
Philadelphia is an 8-point favorite on the opening line, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 206.5 points.
Philadelphia 76ers at New York Knicks Betting Prediction
Although the 76ers defeated the Sacramento Kings in their last outing, 97-91, they failed to cover as 9.5-point favorites. The game’s total points (188) finished well under the O/U total of 210.5. The 76ers made 20 of their 24 free throws (83.3 percent) and held the Kings to an offensive rebounding percentage of 16.0 (below their season average of 23.3). Philadelphia was lifted by Joel Embiid, who was the top scorer from either team with 33 points on 10-for-19 shooting.
In the Knicks’ previous game, they got blown out by the Toronto Raptors, 126-98. They failed to cover as 9.5-point underdogs. The total points for the game (224) came in over the O/U total of 210. Toronto’s turnover percentage was the team’s largest advantage over New York. The Raptors had a rate of 10.6 (better than their season average of 13.1), while the Knicks posted a mark of 15.4. New York’s Julius Randle had a good game, leading the team in scoring with 19 points on 7-for-14 shooting.
The battle on the backboards could prove decisive, pitting strength against strength. The Knicks rank first in offensive rebounding percentage (26.4 percent), while Philadelphia ranks first in defensive rebounding percentage (83.1 percent).
Philadelphia comes into the game with records of 12-6 straight up (SU) and 9-9 against the spread (ATS). There does not appear to be a trend for 76ers games in regards to the total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under.
Meanwhile, New York owns records of 4-14 SU and 9-9 ATS. Of the Knicks’ 18 games, 12 have finished under the total.
This will be the second game of the season between these two squads. In the first, Simmons recorded 18 points, 13 assists and seven rebounds and the 76ers beat the Knicks 109-104 but could not cover as 13-point favorites. The game finished with a total of 213 points, which was just 3 points above the projected point total of 210 points. The 76ers had a better free throw rate (0.202 vs. 0.131) and had a better turnover percentage (9.1 vs. 13.4).
76ers at Knicks Pick
Pick: ATS Winner – 76ers, O/U – Under
Betting Trends
On the road, Philadelphia is 5-5 ATS with 6 overs and 4 unders.
At home, New York is 4-5 ATS with 8 unders and 1 over.
New York is 1-1 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Philadelphia is 6-0.
In games where they score more than 100 points, the 76ers are 10-3 and the Knicks are 4-9.
Philadelphia ranks fifth in assists per game (26.4) while New York ranks 28th (20.6).
The 76ers rank first in three pointers allowed per game (26.8) while the Knicks rank 22nd (34.9).
New York ranks first in second chance points per game (16.2) while Philadelphia ranks 20th (12.3).
The 76ers rank 11th in points in the paint per game (48.2) while the Knicks rank 29th (39.7).
Philadelphia ranks 13th in fast break points per game (13.6) while New York ranks 27th (10.7).
The 76ers rank first in rebounds allowed per game (39.9) while the Knicks rank 14th (45.2).
New York averages 8.2 steals per game, which ranks eighth in the league. Philadelphia ranks 20th in steals allowed per game (8.2).
The Knicks average 18.6 points off turnovers per game, which ranks ninth in the league. The 76ers rank 15th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.2).
New York allows the fourth-fewest blocks per game (3.9) while Philadelphia ranks fifth (4.1).
In its last five outings, Philadelphia is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders, 1 over and 1 push.
New York is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over its last five games.
The 76ers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 8.8, up from 4.7 for the season.
During their last five games, the Knicks have scored an average of 106.0 points per game (4.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 110.8 points per game (1.2 above their season average).
