Offense meets defense when the Milwaukee Bucks (43-7) welcome the Philadelphia 76ers (31-20) to Fiserv Forum. The game starts at 8 p.m. ET on Thursday, February 6, 2020.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 227 points with Milwaukee set as a 9-point favorite. Odds From William Hill NJ Sportsbook Betting App.
Philadelphia 76ers vs. Milwaukee Bucks Betting Prediction
The last time the 76ers played, they were blown out by the Miami Heat, 137-106, and failed to cover as 2.5-point underdogs. The total points for the game (243) were well over the projected point total of 211. Miami’s turnover percentage was their biggest strength over Philadelphia. The Heat had a rate of 3.0 (better than their season average of 13.1), while the 76ers posted a mark of 13.0. Joel Embiid led Philadelphia in scoring with 29 points on 9-for-14 shooting.
The Bucks defeated the New Orleans Pelicans in their last outing, 120-108, covering as 5-point favorites. The total points for the game (228) came in well under the projected point total of 252. Milwaukee’s effective field goal percentage was their biggest advantage over New Orleans. The Bucks had a rate of 0.525 (below their season average of 0.560), while the Pelicans posted a mark of 0.455 (below their season average of 0.535). Giannis Antetokounmpo was the game’s high scorer with 34 points on 12-for-17 shooting from the field.
This showdown pits one of the NBA’s top offenses against one of its elite defenses. Milwaukee currently ranks second in offensive efficiency and Philadelphia ranks fifth in defensive efficiency.
Philadelphia has a respectable 31-20 straight up (SU) record, but they are just 22-26-3 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when setting the O/U total of 76ers games, with 26 overs compared to 23 unders.
Meanwhile, Milwaukee is 43-7 SU and 28-22 ATS. Vegas has been spot on when predicting totals of Bucks games, with an even split between overs and unders.
This will be the second game of the season between these two squads. In the first, the Bucks lost 121-109, unable to cover as 2.5-point favorites. Middleton put up 31 points and eight rebounds. The game finished with a total of 230 points, which was 9 points above the projected point total of 221 points. The 76ers made 12 of their 15 free throws (80.0 percent) and had a better turnover percentage (6.1 vs. 9.2).
76ers vs. Bucks Odds Pick
Free NBA Tip: ATS Winner – Bucks, O/U – Over
Philadelphia is 9-17-1 ATS on the road with 14 overs, 12 unders and 1 push.
At home, Milwaukee is 14-12 ATS with 14 overs and 12 unders.
Both teams are strong when holding the opposition to under 100 points, as Philadelphia is 14-1 and Milwaukee is 11-0.
The 76ers are 27-9 when they reach 100 points, while the Bucks are 43-7.
Philadelphia ranks first in three pointers allowed per game (28.5) while Milwaukee ranks last (38.8).
The Bucks rank first in fast break points per game (19.3) while the 76ers rank 19th in fast break points allowed per game (13.5).
Philadelphia ranks first in rebounds allowed per game (41.5) while Milwaukee ranks 19th (45.9).
The Bucks rank third in points in the paint per game (51.4) while the 76ers rank 18th (47.5).
Philadelphia ranks third in assists allowed per game (22.1) while Milwaukee ranks 12th (23.8).
The 76ers rank first in blocks allowed per game (3.7) while the Bucks rank ninth (4.6).
Philadelphia averages 8.2 steals per game, which ranks eighth in the NBA. Milwaukee ranks 11th in steals allowed per game (7.3).
The 76ers rank first in second chance points allowed per game (11.4) while the Bucks rank second (11.5).
In its last five games, Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
Milwaukee is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over its last five games.
The 76ers have been outscored by an average of 6.8 points in their last five games. For the season, Philadelphia has defeated opponents by an average of 2.3 points.
During their last five games, the Bucks have scored an average of 126.2 points per game (6.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 115.4 points per game (7.8 above their season average).