The Philadelphia 76ers (37-24) look to put an end to their eight-game road losing streak in a matchup against the Los Angeles Lakers (46-13) at Staples Center. The game gets underway at 10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, March 3, 2020.
Borgata Sportsbook opened the game’s Over/Under (O/U) at 220 points and set Los Angeles as an 11.5-point favorite.
Philadelphia 76ers at Los Angeles Lakers ATS Prediction
The last time the 76ers played, they were beaten by the Los Angeles Clippers, 136-130, but they did cover as 12.5-point underdogs. The game’s combined points (266) were well over the projected point total of 223. Los Angeles was effective at getting to and converting from the charity stripe. The Clippers made 33 of their 41 free throws (80.5 percent), while the 76ers were just 13-20 (65.0 percent). Shake Milton was the top scorer from either team with 39 points on 14-for-20 shooting.
The Lakers defeated the New Orleans Pelicans in their last outing, 122-114, despite being 2-point underdogs. The total points for the game (236) came in just under the projected point total of 236.5. Los Angeles’ effective field goal percentage was their largest advantage over New Orleans. The Lakers had a rate of 0.582 (above their season average of 0.548), while the Pelicans posted a mark of 0.458 (below their season average of 0.540). With 34 points, 13 assists and 12 rebounds, LeBron James led the way for Los Angeles with his 12th triple-double this season.
This is the second game of the season between these two squads. In the first, Ben Simmons recorded 28 points, 10 rebounds and eight assists and the 76ers, who were 5-point underdogs, defeated the Lakers 108-91. The game finished with a total of 199 points, which was 18.5 points below the projected point total of 217.5 points. The 76ers had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (21.6 vs. 15.4) and had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.609 vs. 0.500).
Philadelphia is 37-24 straight up (SU), but they are just 27-30-4 against the spread (ATS). Just over half of the 76ers’ games have finished over the O/U total.
Meanwhile, Los Angeles owns records of 46-13 SU and 32-26-1 ATS. In opposition of Philadelphia, a little over half of Lakers games have finished under the projected point total.
Baskets could be hard to come by as two of the league’s premier defenses battle. Los Angeles currently ranks third in defensive efficiency (104.0) and Philadelphia is fifth (105.3).
Philadelphia 76ers vs. Los Angeles Lakers Free Pick
Prediction: ATS Winner – 76ers, O/U – Under
Betting Trends
On the road, Philadelphia is 10-20-1 ATS with 15 overs, 15 unders and 1 push.
Los Angeles is 15-12-1 ATS at home with 16 unders and 12 overs.
Philadelphia is 14-1 when they allow below 100 points, while Los Angeles is 16-0.
When reaching 100 points, the 76ers are 33-11 and the Lakers are 42-11.
Los Angeles ranks second in second chance points per game (14.6) while Philadelphia ranks 21st (12.5).
The 76ers rank 10th in fast break points per game (14.1) while the Lakers rank 29th in fast break points allowed per game (16.6).
Philadelphia ranks fifth in steals allowed per game (6.9) while Los Angeles ranks 22nd (8.2).
The Lakers rank second in points in the paint per game (53.6) while the 76ers rank 19th (47.1).
Los Angeles ranks fourth in points off turnovers per game (18.7) while Philadelphia ranks 19th (16.3).
The Lakers rank first in blocks per game (6.9) while the 76ers rank eighth (5.6).
Philadelphia ranks first in three pointers allowed per game (28.8) while Los Angeles ranks seventh (32.6).
The 76ers rank fourth in assists allowed per game (22.5) while the Lakers rank seventh (23.4).
Los Angeles leads the league with 42.1 rebounds allowed per game while Philadelphia is third with 42.2 rebounds allowed per game.
Bettings Trends:
Over its last five games, Philadelphia is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Los Angeles is 3-2 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over over its last five games.
The 76ers have been outscored by an average of 3.0 points in their last five games. For the season, Philadelphia has defeated opponents by an average of 2.1 points.
During their last five games, the Lakers have scored an average of 111.6 points per game (2.9 below their season average) and allowed an average of 105.2 points per game (1.9 below their season average).