The Milwaukee Bucks (20-3) put their 14-game winning streak on the line when they challenge the Orlando Magic (11-11) at Fiserv Forum. The game can be seen on NBATV at 8 p.m. ET on Monday, December 9, 2019.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 219 points with Milwaukee opening as an 11.5-point favorite.
Orlando Magic at Milwaukee Bucks Free Prediction
The Magic come in on a high note after covering the 5-point spread against the Cleveland Cavaliers in their last outing, 93-87. The combined points for the game (180) came in well under the projected point total of 210. Orlando did a great job of converting from the free throw line (20-23; 87.0 percent). Cleveland, on the other hand, had a better effective field goal percentage (0.482 vs. 0.445). With 21 points on 6-for-14 shooting, Terrence Ross was the top scorer from either team.
The last time the Bucks were in action, they won big over the Los Angeles Clippers, 119-91, easily covering as 4.5-point favorites. The total points for the game (210) were well under the O/U total of 234.5. The Bucks held the Clippers to an effective field goal percentage of 0.394 (below their season average of 0.526). The Clippers also had a turnover percentage of 17.0 (above their season average of 13.2). Khris Middleton was the top scorer from either team with 17 points on 7-for-9 shooting from the field.
This will be the second game of the season between these two squads. In the first, Giannis Antetokounmpo scored a game-high 29 points and the Bucks beat the Magic 123-91, covering as 4.5-point favorites. He also had 14 rebounds and six assists. The game finished with a total of 214 points, which was just 0.5 points above the projected point total of 213.5 points. The Bucks had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (26.8 vs. 17.5) and had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.597 vs. 0.440).
Orlando heads into the game with records of 11-11 straight up (SU) and 9-11-2 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has been spot on when setting the O/U total of Magic games, with an even split between overs and unders.
Meanwhile, Milwaukee owns records of 20-3 SU and 12-11 ATS. Games involving the Bucks have gone over the O/U total 52.2 percent of the time.
Opposite paces will be on display in this showdown. Milwaukee has preferred to play up-tempo (third in possessions per game), while Orlando has been more methodical (30th in possessions per game). Moreover, the 24th-ranked offense of the Magic (offensive efficiency of 103.3) will battle against the top-ranked defense of the Bucks (defensive efficiency of 99.9).
Orlando Magic vs. Milwaukee Bucks Odds Pick
Prediction: ATS Winner – Bucks, O/U – Under
Orlando is 5-5 ATS on the road with 5 overs and 5 unders.
At home, Milwaukee is 6-5 ATS with 6 overs and 5 unders.
Milwaukee is 6-0 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Orlando is 6-2.
The Magic are 8-3 when they reach the century mark, while the Bucks are 20-3.
Milwaukee ranks fourth in points in the paint per game (53.6) while Orlando ranks 27th (43.5).
The Magic rank seventh in three pointers allowed per game (32.0) while the Bucks rank 28th (38.2).
Milwaukee ranks second in fast break points per game (18.9) while Orlando ranks 22nd (11.9).
The Bucks rank fifth in points off turnovers per game (19.3) while the Magic rank 17th (17.4).
Milwaukee ranks first in rebounds per game (51.8) while Orlando ranks 13th (45.6).
The Bucks rank second in steals allowed per game (6.4) while the Magic rank seventh (7.1).
Milwaukee ranks first in second chance points allowed per game (10.4) while Orlando ranks sixth (12.0).
The Magic rank second in blocks per game (6.7) while the Bucks rank fifth in blocks allowed per game (4.1).
Milwaukee ranks seventh in assists per game (25.7) while Orlando ranks 10th in assists allowed per game (23.2).
In its last five contests, Orlando is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over its last five games.
The Magic’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 4.8, up from 0.4 for the season.
During their last five games, the Bucks have scored an average of 126.8 points per game (5.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 97.6 points per game (9.8 below their season average).