The Portland Trail Blazers will be at home in Moda Center at the Rose Quarter when they clash against the Oklahoma City Thunder to open the First Round of the Western Conference Playoffs. The Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 225.5 points with Portland opening as a 3.5-point favorite. Action gets underway at 3:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, April 14, 2019.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Portland Trail Blazers Free Preview
These two teams have already met four times this season, with the Thunder winning all four. Damian Lillard led both teams with 51 points in the most recent matchup, in which the Trail Blazers lost 129-121, unable to cover as 3.5-point favorites. The two teams combined for 250 points, which was 16.5 points above the projected point total of 233.5 points. The Thunder’s 30.2 offensive rebounding percentage was their largest strength over the Trail Blazers, who had a rate of 25.0.
This showdown pits one of the league’s top offenses against one of its elite defenses as Portland ranks fourth in offensive efficiency and Oklahoma City is fifth in defensive efficiency.
Of Oklahoma City’s 82 games, 41 have finished under the O/U total, while 43 of Portland’s 82 games have finished over the O/U total. Both teams have decent straight up (SU) records (49-33 for Oklahoma City; 53-29 for Portland), but the Trail Blazers hold a slight edge against the spread (ATS). Portland is 45-37 ATS, while the Thunder are 42-40.
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers ATS Prediction
Pick: SU Winner – Trail Blazers, ATS Winner – Thunder, O/U – Over
The Thunder average 15.5 second chance points per game, which ranks second in the NBA. The Trail Blazers rank 18th in second chance points allowed per game (13.7).
Portland ranks third in three pointers allowed per game (29.8) while Oklahoma City ranks 12th (31.6).
Portland ranks third in assists allowed per game (23.2) while Oklahoma City ranks 19th (24.9).
Oklahoma City averages 51.8 points in the paint per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. Portland ranks 12th in points allowed in the paint per game (47.8).
Oklahoma City is 21-20 ATS on the road with 22 unders, 18 overs and 1 push.
Portland is 24-17 ATS at home with 24 overs and 17 unders.
In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Oklahoma City is 11-0 and Portland is 14-2.
The Trail Blazers are 51-23 when they reach the century mark, while the Thunder are 45-26.
The Trail Blazers rank third in rebounds allowed per game (42.8) while the Thunder rank 18th (45.7).
Oklahoma City ranks second in points off turnovers per game (19.2) while Portland ranks 26th (15.0).
The Thunder rank first in steals per game (9.3) while the Trail Blazers rank 24th (6.7).
The Thunder average 5.2 blocks per game, which ranks 11th in the NBA. The Trail Blazers rank 17th in blocks allowed per game (5.1).
Oklahoma City ranks fifth in fast break points per game (18.2) while Portland ranks 24th (11.0).
Portland is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders in its last five games.
Over its last five outings, Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
The Trail Blazers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 6.6, up from 4.2 for the season.
During their last five games, the Thunder have scored an average of 122.6 points per game (8.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 113.2 points per game (2.1 above their season average).