The Oklahoma City Thunder (5-8) look to snap their five-game road losing streak in a matchup against the Los Angeles Lakers (11-2) at Staples Center. The game starts at 10:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, November 19, 2019, and will air on NBATV.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Los Angeles Lakers Betting Prediction
The last time the Thunder played, they were 3.5-point favorites and fell to the Los Angeles Clippers, 90-88. The total points for the game (178) came in well under the projected point total of 214. Los Angeles’ offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest advantage over Oklahoma City. The Clippers had a rate of 26.5 (above their season average of 24.7), while the Thunder posted a mark of 20.0. Chris Paul was Oklahoma City’s high scorer with 22 points on 5-for-10 shooting.
The Lakers easily got past the Atlanta Hawks in their last matchup, 122-101, covering as 14.5-point favorites. The game’s combined points (223) finished just over the projected point total of 220.5. The Lakers had a solid offensive rebounding percentage of 28.9 (above their season average of 22.6) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.612 (above their season average of 0.526). LeBron James was the top scorer from either team with 33 points on 13-for-21 shooting from the field.
After the Thunder won two out of three matchups against the Lakers last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the last matchup, Oklahoma City won 119-103. The Thunder had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (32.7 vs. 10.8) and had a much better turnover percentage (9.8 vs. 19.2).
Although Oklahoma City has a difficult time winning games straight up (5-8 SU), they have a solid 7-5 record against the spread (ATS). Of the Thunder’s 12 games that accepted bets, seven have finished under the projected point total.
Meanwhile, Los Angeles owns records of 11-2 SU and 9-4 ATS. Just over half of Lakers games have also finished under the total.
Los Angeles figures to have the advantage on the defensive side of the ball. The Lakers currently rank third in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.484), while Oklahoma City is 18th in effective field goal percentage (0.516).
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Los Angeles Lakers Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Lakers, ATS Winner – Lakers, O/U – Over
Betting Trends
Oklahoma City is 2-2 ATS on the road with 2 overs and 2 unders.
Los Angeles is 6-2 ATS at home with 5 unders and 3 overs.
Los Angeles is 6-0 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Oklahoma City is 2-2.
The Lakers are 8-2 when they score over 100 points, while the Thunder are 5-3.
Los Angeles ranks second in points in the paint per game (53.7) while Oklahoma City ranks 28th (42.6).
The Thunder rank first in fast break points allowed per game (10.2) while the Lakers rank 26th (17.1).
Los Angeles ranks first in blocks per game (7.8) while Oklahoma City ranks 22nd (4.5).
The Lakers rank sixth in second chance points per game (14.7) while the Thunder rank 26th (10.0).
Los Angeles ranks fourth in assists per game (26.5) while Oklahoma City ranks 24th (21.2).
The Lakers rank fifth in rebounds allowed per game (42.8) while the Thunder rank 18th (46.5).
Oklahoma City ranks third in three pointers allowed per game (30.2) while Los Angeles ranks 12th (33.0).
The Thunder rank 10th in steals per game (8.1) while the Lakers rank 15th in steals allowed per game (8.0).
Over its last five outings, Oklahoma City is 2-3 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
Los Angeles is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over its last five games.
The Thunder’s average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 3.2, up from 0.2 for the season.
During their last five games, the Lakers have scored an average of 113.6 points per game (2.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 104.0 points per game (3.4 above their season average).
