The Los Angeles Clippers (8-5) go head-to-head against the Oklahoma City Thunder (5-7) at the Staples Center. The game starts at 10:30 p.m. ET on Monday, November 18, 2019, and will air on FSN Prime Ticket.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Los Angeles Clippers Betting Prediction
The Thunder come in on a high note after topping the Philadelphia 76ers in their last matchup, 127-119, as 3.5-point underdogs. The game’s total points (246) were well over the projected point total of 214. The Thunder made 35 of their 41 free throws (85.4 percent) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.605 (above their season average of 0.517). Oklahoma City was led by Chris Paul, who finished with 27 points, eight rebounds and five assists.
The last time the Clippers played, they won big over the Atlanta Hawks, 150-101, comfortably covering as 9-point favorites. The total points for the game (251) finished well over the projected point total of 225. The Clippers, who came into the game averaging an effective field goal percentage of 0.514, had a ridiculous mark of 0.629 and had an offensive rebounding percentage of 33.3 (above their season average of 24.1). Paul George was the top scorer from either team with 37 points on 10-for-17 shooting from the field.
Los Angeles figures to have an edge on the offensive glass in this battle. The Clippers are among the NBA’s elite on the offensive glass, ranking second in offensive rebounding percentage at 24.7 percent. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City ranks 20th in the league at corralling defensive rebounds with a defensive rebounding percentage of 76.6 percent.
Oklahoma City heads into the game with records of 5-7 straight up (SU) and 7-5 against the spread (ATS). Vegas is known to set the total high when the Thunder are involved, as 58.3 percent of their games have gone under the total.
Meanwhile, Los Angeles is 8-5 SU and 7-5-1 ATS. Coinciding with Oklahoma City, games including the Clippers also have typically gone under the O/U total (61.5 percent).
After splitting four games last season, these teams will meet for the first time this year. In the most recent matchup, the Clippers won 118-110. The Clippers had a much better free throw rate (0.360 vs. 0.167) and had a better effective field goal percentage (0.506 vs. 0.456).
Thunder at Clippers Betting Pick
Free NBA Tip: O/U – Under
On the road, Oklahoma City is 2-2 ATS with 2 overs and 2 unders.
At home, Los Angeles is 6-1-1 ATS with 6 unders and 2 overs.
Los Angeles is 4-0 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Oklahoma City is 2-1.
In games where they score over 100 points, the Thunder are 5-3 and the Clippers are 7-3.
Los Angeles ranks second in second chance points per game (15.5) while Oklahoma City ranks 27th (10.3).
The Clippers rank third in fast break points per game (16.6) while the Thunder rank 27th (9.3).
Los Angeles ranks second in rebounds per game (48.2) while Oklahoma City ranks 21st (43.3).
The Thunder rank fourth in three pointers allowed per game (29.7) while the Clippers rank 20th (34.7).
Los Angeles ranks fifth in points off turnovers per game (19.8) while Oklahoma City ranks 21st (16.3).
The Clippers rank fifth in points allowed in the paint per game (43.2) while the Thunder rank 17th (49.3).
Los Angeles ranks sixth in blocks per game (5.8) while Oklahoma City ranks 12th in blocks allowed per game (4.8).
The Thunder average 7.8 steals per game, which ranks 11th in the NBA. The Clippers rank 12th in steals allowed per game (7.6).
Los Angeles is third in the league with 21.2 assists allowed per game while Oklahoma City is fourth with 21.6 assists allowed per game.
In its last five games, Oklahoma City is 2-3 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
Los Angeles is 2-2-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over its last five games.
The Thunder have been outscored by an average of 4.6 points in their last five games. For the season, Oklahoma City has scored an equal number of points as their opponents.
During their last five games, the Clippers have scored an average of 115.0 points per game (0.5 above their season average) and allowed an average of 104.8 points per game (3.2 below their season average).