The New York Knicks (4-20) will attempt to put an end to their 10-game losing streak when they go head-to-head against the Golden State Warriors (5-20) at Chase Center. The game starts at 10:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, December 11, 2019, and will air on NBC Sports – Bay Area.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 210.5 points with Golden State opening as a 5-point favorite.
New York Knicks at Golden State Warriors Free Prediction
The Knicks were not able to cover as 5.5-point favorites in their 115-87 loss to the Portland Trail Blazers in their last outing. The combined points for the game (202) came in under the projected point total of 209. Portland launched 41 three pointers, making 17 of them (41.5 percent), while New York was just 7-38 (18.4 percent). Bobby Portis put together a good outing for New York, recording 11 points and 10 rebounds.
In the Warriors’ previous outing, they were beaten by the Memphis Grizzlies, 110-102, despite being 3-point favorites. The combined points for the game (212) finished under the projected point total of 220.5. Memphis’ effective field goal percentage was their largest strength over Golden State. The Grizzlies had a rate of 0.591 (above their season average of 0.511), while the Warriors posted a mark of 0.435 (below their season average of 0.486). Golden State’s Alec Burks contributed 18 points, seven rebounds and six assists in the contest.
After the Warriors won both games against the Knicks last season, these teams will meet for the first time this year. In the last matchup, Golden State won 122-95. The Warriors had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (33.3 vs. 20.9) and had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.583 vs. 0.432).
New York holds records of 4-20 straight up (SU) and 10-12-1 against the spread (ATS). Knicks games have a tendency to finish under the total (65.2 percent).
Meanwhile, Golden State is 5-20 SU and 11-14 ATS. Similarly to New York, games featuring the Warriors also have typically gone under the total (56.0 percent).
The physical Golden State offense might be living from the free throw line in this contest. The Warriors currently rank eighth in the NBA with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.220, while New York ranks 25th in FTA rate allowed (0.230). Also, the Knicks rank second in offensive rebounding percentage (24.9 percent), while the Warriors rank 24th in defensive rebounding percentage (75.9 percent).
New York Knicks at Golden State Warriors ATS Pick
Pick: ATS Winner – Warriors, O/U – Under
New York is 5-5 ATS on the road with 5 overs and 5 unders.
At home, Golden State is 4-6 ATS with 6 unders and 4 overs.
New York is 1-1 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Golden State is 3-1.
When reaching 100 points, the Knicks are 4-11 and the Warriors are 5-12.
New York ranks third in steals allowed per game (6.8) while Golden State ranks 22nd (8.2).
The Knicks rank fifth in second chance points per game (14.7) while the Warriors rank 23rd (12.2).
New York ranks fourth in points allowed in the paint per game (42.2) while Golden State ranks 20th (49.4).
The Warriors rank 14th in fast break points per game (13.0) while the Knicks rank 28th (10.5).
Golden State ranks 17th in assists per game (23.8) while New York ranks last (19.8).
The Knicks rank 13th in points off turnovers per game (17.6) while the Warriors rank 23rd in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.9).
New York ranks 19th in blocks per game (4.7) while Golden State ranks 23rd in blocks allowed per game (5.6).
The Knicks rank 24th in three pointers attempted per game (30.4) while the Warriors rank 28th (28.2).
In its last five games, New York is 1-3-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Golden State is 2-3 ATS with 5 unders over its last five games.
The Knicks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 23.8, up from 11.1 for the season.
During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 93.6 points per game (11.0 below their season average) and allowed an average of 103.6 points per game (10.2 below their season average).