The Detroit Pistons (19-35) square off against the New York Knicks (16-36) at Little Caesars Arena. The game starts at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 8, 2020, and will air on Fox Sports – Detroit.
New York Knicks vs. Detroit Pistons ATS Prediction
In the Knicks’ last matchup, they just got past the Orlando Magic, 105-103, as 4-point underdogs. The combined points for the game (208) hit the projected point total. New York’s 11.5 turnover percentage was their biggest strength over Orlando, who had a mark of 18.5. The Knicks’ mark was better than their season average of 12.1, while the Magic’s was above their season average of 10.9. With 22 points on 10-for-16 shooting, Julius Randle led New York in scoring.
The Pistons fell to the Oklahoma City Thunder in their last matchup, 108-101, despite being 3-point favorites. The game’s combined points (209) were under the O/U total of 217. Oklahoma City was effective at getting to and converting from the charity stripe. The Thunder made 25 of their 30 free throws (83.3 percent), while the Pistons were 14-19 (73.7 percent). With 27 points, 12 rebounds and five assists, Christian Wood put together a good game for Detroit.
This will be the second game of the season between these two teams. In the first, Andre Drummond scored a game-high 27 points and the Pistons beat the Knicks 122-102, covering as 3.5-point favorites. He also had 12 rebounds and seven assists. The game finished with a total of 224 points, which was 18.5 points above the projected point total of 205.5 points. The Pistons had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (24.2 vs. 12.5) and had a better free throw rate (0.241 vs. 0.163).
New York comes into the game with records of 16-36 straight up (SU) and 27-24-1 against the spread (ATS). Of the Knicks’ 52 games, 30 have finished under the O/U total.
Meanwhile, Detroit owns records of 19-35 SU and 19-32-2 ATS. Contrary to New York, games involving the Pistons have typically finished over the O/U total (62.3 percent).
The offensive glass should be a major advantage for New York in this contest. The Knicks currently rank second in offensive rebounding percentage (25.0 percent), while Detroit ranks 23rd in defensive rebounding percentage (76.3 percent).
New York Knicks at Detroit Pistons Odds Pick
Free Pick: ATS Winner – Knicks, O/U – Under
On the road, New York is 14-12 ATS with 14 unders and 12 overs.
Detroit is 11-17 ATS at home with 20 overs, 7 unders and 1 push.
In contests where they allow under 100 points, New York is 6-3 and Detroit is 4-1.
When scoring above 100 points, the Pistons are 18-25 and the Knicks are 14-22.
New York ranks fourth in points allowed in the paint per game (43.0) while Detroit ranks 27th (52.2).
The Knicks rank sixth in rebounds per game (46.2) while the Pistons rank 27th (42.4).
Detroit ranks second in three pointers allowed per game (29.8) while New York ranks 21st (34.6).
The Knicks rank fifth in steals allowed per game (6.9) while the Pistons rank 20th (7.9).
New York averages 14.8 second chance points per game, which ranks second in the NBA. Detroit ranks 17th in second chance points allowed per game (13.4).
The Pistons rank 14th in assists per game (24.2) while the Knicks rank 28th (21.5).
New York ranks 16th in blocks allowed per game (5.0) while Detroit ranks 27th (5.7).
The Pistons rank 24th in fast break points per game (11.5) while the Knicks rank 29th (9.8).
New York averages 16.6 points off turnovers per game, which ranks 16th in the league. Detroit ranks 20th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.3).
In its last five outings, New York is 3-2 ATS with 2 overs, 2 unders and 1 push.
Detroit is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over its last five games.
The Knicks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 2.4, down from 7.0 for the season.
During their last five games, the Pistons have scored an average of 103.8 points per game (5.0 below their season average) and allowed an average of 108.0 points per game (3.2 below their season average).