ATS Sports Betting Picks – Against The Spread Predictions
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NBA Picks & Betting News

New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets NBA Prediction 1/31/23

January 31st, 2023 By: Chase Ruttig

Tuesday night’s late game on the NBA betting picks slate will see the New Orleans Pelicans attempt to snap their seven game losing streak in a tough test against the Denver Nuggets. Denver leads the West with 34 wins and have a good opportunity to extend their cushion over the Memphis Grizzlies and Sacramento Kings with a home win over a struggling opponent in this Pelicans vs Nuggets matchup. 

The Pelicans are listed as +7.5 underdogs against the spread and +260 on the moneyline. The game total opened at 234.5 points.

Pelicans vs Nuggets Betting Pick

ℹ️ The Pick: Nuggets -7.5 (-110)
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This game will be played at Ball Arena at 10:00 PM ET on Tuesday, January 31, 2023.

Why Bet the Nuggets:

✅ Not only have the Pelicans lost eight games in a row, they have been losing big in most of them. Six of the eight losses have been by nine points or more.

✅ The Pelicans have struggled on the road all season, losing 16 of their 25 road games to date.

✅ Teams with winning records typically roll over the Pels. They are 11-20 against teams with winning records and 2-9 against the spread in their last eleven.

The Pick: Nuggets -7.5 (-110)

DraftKings Pick
Bet Now

Jan 31, 2023 10:00 PM

New Orleans Pelicans

VS

Denver Nuggets

Matchup Odds Trends

Spread Consensus

+7.5/-115
BetMGM
First Bet Offer Up To $1000
-7.5/-105

48% NO

DEN 52%

MoneyLine Consensus

+231
BetMGM
First Bet Offer Up To $1000
-288

41% NO

DEN 59%

Total Consensus

232.0/-105
Caesars
Up To $1250 On Caesar
232.0/-115

50% UN

OV 50%

Team Stats Per Game

Offense/Defense

NO Team Stats Per Game DEN
73Games73
41.9FG41.8
87.7FGA87.0
.478FG%.481
10.93Pt-FG11.4
30.53Pt-FGA32.9
.3563Pt%.347
31.12Pt-FG30.4
57.22Pt-FGA54.1
.5442Pt%.563
19.3FT17.7
24.5FTA22.9
.786FT%.771
10.7ORB9.9
32.9DRB30.3
43.6TRB40.2
25.8AST25.8
8.4STL7.9
4.1BLK4.2
14.6TOV13.5
20.6PF19.6
114.0PTS112.8

Defense/Offense

NO Team Stats Per Game DEN
73Games73
41.0FG43.9
86.7FGA86.2
.473FG%.509
12.23Pt-FG12.1
36.13Pt-FGA31.1
.3383Pt%.389
28.82Pt-FG31.8
50.62Pt-FGA55.1
.5692Pt%.576
18.5FT16.8
23.7FTA22.2
.782FT%.757
9.7ORB9.9
32.4DRB32.8
42.2TRB42.8
24.8AST29.2
7.3STL7.5
4.7BLK4.4
15.1TOV14.6
20.4PF18.7
112.8PTS116.7

Team Stats Per 100 Poss

Offense/Defense

NO Team Stats Per 100 Poss DEN
73Games73
41.9FG42.5
87.7FGA88.3
.478FG%.481
10.93Pt-FG11.6
30.53Pt-FGA33.4
.3563Pt%.347
31.12Pt-FG30.9
57.22Pt-FGA54.9
.5442Pt%.563
19.3FT17.9
24.5FTA23.2
.786FT%.771
10.7ORB10.0
32.9DRB30.8
43.6TRB40.8
25.8AST26.2
8.4STL8.0
4.1BLK4.3
14.6TOV13.7
20.6PF19.9
114.0PTS114.5

Defense/Offense

NO Team Stats Per 100 Poss DEN
73Games73
41.0FG44.5
86.7FGA87.5
.473FG%.509
12.23Pt-FG12.3
36.13Pt-FGA31.6
.3383Pt%.389
28.82Pt-FG32.2
50.62Pt-FGA55.9
.5692Pt%.576
18.5FT17.1
23.7FTA22.6
.782FT%.757
9.7ORB10.1
32.4DRB33.3
42.1TRB43.4
24.8AST29.7
7.3STL7.6
4.7BLK4.4
15.1TOV14.8
20.4PF19.0
112.7PTS118.4

Four Factors

Offense/Defense

NO Four Factors DEN
.540eFG%.547
12.9TOV%12.2
24.8RB%76.9
.220FT/FGA.203

Defense/Offense

NO Four Factors DEN
.543eFG%.579
13.4TOV%13.2
77.2RB%24.7
.214FT/FGA.195

Analytics

NO Analytics DEN
39Pythag Wins45
34Pythag Losses28
1.26Margin Of Victory3.89
114.0O Rtg118.4
112.7D Rtg114.5
99.2Pace98.1
.279FTr.258
.3483PAr.361
.579TS%.607

Betting Odds


  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
NO
DEN
NO
DEN
Consensus
+7.5 -110
-7.5 -110
+7.0 -110
-7.0 -112
Draftkings
Bet $5 Win $150
+8.5 None
-8.5 -110
FanDuel
$1000 No Sweat Bet
+8.5 -110
-8.5 -110
+7.5 -110
-7.5 -110
BetRivers
$500 Second Chance Bet
+8.5 -109
-8.5 -112
+7.0 -109
-7.0 -112
Caesars
Up To $1250 On Caesar
+8.0 -110
-8.0 -110
+7.5 -110
-7.5 -110
PointsBet
5x - $50 Second Chance Bets
+7.5 -110
-7.5 -110
+7.0 -110
-7.0 -110
BetMGM
First Bet Offer Up To $1000
+7.5 -115
-7.5 -110
+7.5 -115
-7.5 -105
Open
Current
Book
NO
DEN
NO
DEN
Consensus
+260
-350
+231
-288
Draftkings
Bet $5 Win $150
+310
-380
+245
-295
FanDuel
$1000 No Sweat Bet
+275
-340
+235
-290
BetRivers
$500 Second Chance Bet
+310
-400
+230
-278
Caesars
Up To $1250 On Caesar
+260
-335
+228
-285
PointsBet
5x - $50 Second Chance Bets
+240
-300
+230
-275
BetMGM
First Bet Offer Up To $1000
+260
-350
+230
-300
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
Consensus
234.5 -110
234.5 -110
232.0 -110
232.0 -110
Draftkings
Bet $5 Win $150
234.0 -110
234.0 -110
232.0 -110
232.0 -110
FanDuel
$1000 No Sweat Bet
234.0 -110
234.0 -110
232.5 -110
232.5 -110
BetRivers
$500 Second Chance Bet
235.0 -108
235.0 -112
232.0 -110
232.0 -110
Caesars
Up To $1250 On Caesar
234.5 -110
234.5 -110
232.5 -110
232.5 -110
PointsBet
5x - $50 Second Chance Bets
234.0 -110
234.0 -110
232.5 -110
232.5 -110
BetMGM
First Bet Offer Up To $1000
234.5 -105
234.5 -115
231.5 -115
231.5 -105

Betting Trends

Last 3 Last 5 Last 10
NO Betting Trends DEN
OVERALLOVERALL
0-3-0Win/Loss/Tie1-2-0
0-3-0ATS W/L/P1-2-0
105Avg Score105.67
119.67Avg Opp Score110.33
AWAYHOME
0-3-0Win/Loss/Tie2-1-0
1-2-0ATS W/L/P1-2-0
105.33Avg Score118.33
119.33Avg Opp Score110
NO Betting Trends DEN
OVERALLOVERALL
0-5-0Win/Loss/Tie2-3-0
2-3-0ATS W/L/P2-3-0
101.8Avg Score110
111.6Avg Opp Score108.6
AWAYHOME
1-4-0Win/Loss/Tie4-1-0
2-3-0ATS W/L/P2-3-0
107Avg Score119.2
116.2Avg Opp Score111.8
NO Betting Trends DEN
OVERALLOVERALL
1-9-0Win/Loss/Tie7-3-0
3-7-0ATS W/L/P5-5-0
105Avg Score115.4
115.3Avg Opp Score109
AWAYHOME
2-8-0Win/Loss/Tie9-1-0
3-7-0ATS W/L/P6-3-1
111Avg Score121
118.1Avg Opp Score107.5

Head to Head

DATE TM LN ML 1st 2nd 3rd 4th OT SC
01/24/23
DEN
NO
232.5
3.0
-149
+124
28
24
35
23
20
27
16
24

99
98
12/04/22
DEN
NO
230.5
-2.0
+106
-127
31
27
29
32
21
28
25
34
0
0
106
121
03/06/22
NO
DEN
229.0
-4.5
+150
-182
19
35
38
27
37
22
30
40
6
14
130
138
02/04/22
NO
DEN
223.0
-5.5
+180
-220
27
29
24
23
31
30
31
23

113
105
01/28/22
DEN
NO
221.0
4.0
-167
+141
26
17
24
31
36
30
30
27

116
105
12/08/21
DEN
NO
213.0
2.5
-132
+111
35
33
29
24
16
20
25
28
15
9
120
114
04/28/21
NO
DEN
230.0
-3.5
+137
-163
25
35
26
25
27
27
34
27

112
114
03/26/21
DEN
NO
231.5
3.0
-139
+116
26
33
28
30
31
23
28
22

113
108
03/21/21
NO
DEN
230.5
-6.5
+203
-249
22
30
36
21
25
29
30
28

113
108
01/24/20
DEN
NO
229.0
-4.0
+144
-175
37
28
26
28
31
26
19
24

113
106

Teams Last 10

New Orleans Pelicans Denver Nuggets
DATE TM LN ML 1st 2nd 3rd 4th OT SC
03/23/23
CHA
NO
264.7
-10.6
+360
-466
28
43
39
29
28
31
18
32

113
135
03/21/23
SA
NO
286.7
-16.8
+756
-1140
20
34
29
46
32
34
24
35

104
148
03/19/23
NO
HOU
367.2
14.5
-358
+296
62
46
42
26
46
55
41
47

190
174
03/17/23
NO
HOU
324.4
11.1
-312
+255
37
44
40
26
51
44
31
48

159
162
03/14/23
LAL
NO
160.8
-1.4
+73
-88
28
17
25
11
16
25
18
23

87
76
03/12/23
POR
NO
111.9
-1.8
+65
-77
13
21
15
16
5
18
19
5

56
64
03/11/23
OKC
NO
313.9
-0.7
-148
-151
43
30
42
30
33
38
31
33

149
130
03/08/23
DAL
NO
402.9
7.4
-238
+198
41
41
33
60
38
41
71
52

183
195
03/06/23
NO
SAC
99.2
-1.9
+69
-84
14
12
11
13
4
16
12
11

46
52
03/03/23
NO
GS
295.2
-6.4
+214
-258
45
27
28
42
27
36
27
33

126
138
DATE TM LN ML 1st 2nd 3rd 4th OT SC
03/22/23
DEN
WAS
87.9
1.4
-149
+117
12
11
4
11
15
2
4
12

46
41
03/19/23
DEN
BKN
370.5
7.9
-240
+200
54
34
49
44
46
37
28
50

176
166
03/18/23
DEN
NY
193.9
-0.8
-90
-95
24
30
33
22
20
24
16
21

93
98
03/16/23
DEN
DET
147.3
6.1
-781
+473
19
18
19
23
18
14
21
6

76
64
03/14/23
DEN
TOR
161.9
0.7
-88
+72
21
35
18
16
25
18
13
19

78
88
03/12/23
BKN
DEN
115.6
-4.5
+158
-200
15
15
16
20
19
5
12
17

62
61
03/10/23
DEN
SA
135.3
4.1
-487
+328
22
15
17
24
15
17
15
17

69
73
03/08/23
CHI
DEN
388.3
-14.6
+518
-668
43
50
45
40
62
41
52
34

201
165
03/06/23
TOR
DEN
97.3
-2.5
+84
-105
14
12
11
12
11
11
11
15

48
50
03/03/23
MEM
DEN
299.0
-7.6
+246
-302
34
36
40
28
28
38
22
42

124
144
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New Orleans Pelicans

Losing Zion Williamson to a hamstring injury has sent the New Orleans Pelicans season into a tailspin. Their eight game losing streak had them just one game above .500 and sinking fast in the Western Conference standings. 

If missing Zion wasn’t bad enough, Brandon Ingram and CJ McCollum have been out of the lineup of late. Both are listed as probable as of Tuesday morning but the Pelicans starting lineup is usually missing at least two of their typical contributors most nights and that has been a major issue. If Ingram plays, he would be a difference maker after being absent in the Pelicans 99-98 loss to the Nuggets on January 24. 

New Orleans’ best in the league perimeter defense will be tested by the best three point shooting team in the league in Denver. The Pelicans rank first in opponent 3PT percentage allowing 34.2% while the Nuggets shoot at a 39.6% clip from behind the arc. New Orleans will also need to shoot the three pointer a lot better than in their previous meeting as they shot a dismal 19% last week against the Nuggets.

Denver Nuggets

The best team in the West has struggled this week with the Denver Nuggets losing their last two games. After sitting both Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray against the Milwaukee Bucks, a poor second half from a team that was supposed to be well rested cost them against the Philadelphia 76ers. 

The Nuggets gave up 68 points in the second half to throw away a first half performance where they put up 73 points of their own to lead 73-58 after two quarters. Joel Embiid had 47 points as Jokic’s MVP résumé took a hit in the battle of the best big men in the world. 

Denver will hope to score closer to their average against New Orleans after struggling in their January 24 matchup. The Nuggets failed to break 100 points in the close win, an anomaly for a team that ranks second in field goal percentage at 50.8% and tops the league in three point percentage as well.

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Tags: Denver Nuggets, New Orleans Pelicans

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