The Los Angeles Clippers (11-5) will try to prolong their six-game home winning streak in a matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans (6-10) at Staples Center. The game starts at 9 p.m. ET on Sunday, November 24, 2019, and will air on FSN Prime Ticket.
Los Angeles is a 12-point favorite on the opening line, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 234 points.
New Orleans Pelicans at Los Angeles Clippers ATS Prediction
In the Pelicans’ last outing, they were beaten by the Utah Jazz, 128-120, and were not able to cover as 3.5-point underdogs. The combined points for the game (248) came in over the O/U total of 234.5. Utah was successful at getting and making free throws. The Jazz made 29 of their 33 free throws (87.9 percent), while the Pelicans were 19-20 (95.0 percent). Jrue Holiday played well for New Orleans, finishing with 28 points and five rebounds.
The Clippers barely escaped the Houston Rockets in their last game, 122-119, but failed to cover as 5-point favorites. The game’s combined points (241) finished over the O/U total of 227. Los Angeles’ 0.592 effective field goal percentage was their biggest strength over Houston, who had a mark of 0.554. The Clippers’ mark was above their season average of 0.518. With 24 points and six rebounds, Kawhi Leonard played well for Los Angeles.
It could be a mistake-prone game for the Los Angeles offense. Los Angeles ranks 24th in the league in ball protection (turnover percentage of 15.7 percent), while the ball-hawking defense of New Orleans forces the eighth-most turnovers in the league (15.1 percent).
New Orleans heads into the contest with records of 6-10 straight up (SU) and 7-8 against the spread (ATS). Pelicans games have a slight tendency to finish over the total (53.3 percent).
Los Angeles has a respectable 11-5 SU record, but they have a difficult time covering the spread (7-8-1 ATS). Games including the Clippers have a tendency to go under the projected point total (62.5 percent).
Both teams have had a player take their game to the next level over their last five games. Holiday (23 points,7.8 assists,2.4 steals) has been stellar for the Pelicans while Paul George (28 points,6.3 rebounds,4.8 assists) has made great contributions to the Clippers.
This will be the second game of the season between these two squads. Lou Williams had 31 points and nine assists in the first game, in which the Clippers lost 132-127, unable to cover as 4-point favorites. The game finished with a total of 259 points, which was 25.5 points above the projected point total of 233.5 points. New Orleans won the rebounding battle. The Pelicans had more offensive rebounds (18 vs. six), defensive rebounds (33 vs. 31) and total rebounds (51 vs. 37).
Pelicans vs. Clippers Pick
Prediction: O/U – Under
Betting Trends
Los Angeles ranks fourth in fast break points per game (15.8) while New Orleans ranks 27th in fast break points allowed per game (18.1).
Los Angeles ranks second in rebounds per game (48.4) while New Orleans ranks 18th (45.3).
The Pelicans rank sixth in steals per game (8.7) while the Clippers rank 19th in steals allowed per game (8.3).
Los Angeles is 6-4-1 ATS at home, while New Orleans is 3-4 ATS on the road.
In its last five games, New Orleans is 4-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Los Angeles is 1-4 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over its last five games.
The Pelicans’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 0.2, down from 3.1 for the season.
During their last five games, the Clippers have scored an average of 119.2 points per game (6.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 108.8 points per game (1.6 above their season average).
