ATS Sports Betting Picks – Against The Spread Predictions
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NBA Picks & Betting News

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets NBA Prediction 2/7/23

February 7th, 2023 By: Jay Sanin

For the second time in the span of a week, the Minnesota Timberwolves and Denver Nuggets will face off in the NBA. Minnesota won the first of those meetings, in a game where the Nuggets rested nearly all of their influential players. This time around, the Nuggets will be much closer to full strength and at home. In our NBA betting picks for Tuesday, we break down this Timberwolves vs Nuggets matchup.

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Betting Pick

ℹ️ The Pick: Under 235.5
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This game will be played at Ball Arena at 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday, February 7, 2023.

Why Bet the Under:

✅ The Timberwolves scored 128 points against the Nuggets in their meeting over the weekend. But that was against a Nuggets lineup that was without Nikola Jokic and other top stars. Against a more serious lineup, the Wolves will encounter some struggles on offense.

✅ The Nuggets are 27-27 on the over/under market for the season, but that number has dipped at home. At Ball Arena, the Nuggets have gone under the total in 16 of their 29 games, and they will do so again here.

The Pick: Under 235.5

DraftKings Pick
Bet Now

Feb 07, 2023 09:00 PM

Minnesota Timberwolves

VS

Denver Nuggets

Matchup Odds Trends

Spread Consensus

+8.0/-110
PointsBet
5x - $50 Second Chance Bets
-8.0/-110

45% MIN

DEN 55%

MoneyLine Consensus

+266
FanDuel
$1000 No Sweat Bet
-340

57% MIN

DEN 43%

Total Consensus

232.5/-110
PointsBet
5x - $50 Second Chance Bets
232.5/-110

37% UN

OV 63%

Team Stats Per Game

Offense/Defense

MIN Team Stats Per Game DEN
74Games73
43.0FG41.8
87.4FGA87.0
.492FG%.481
12.03Pt-FG11.4
33.33Pt-FGA32.9
.3613Pt%.347
31.02Pt-FG30.4
54.12Pt-FGA54.1
.5722Pt%.563
18.0FT17.7
23.7FTA22.9
.761FT%.771
9.0ORB9.9
32.5DRB30.3
41.6TRB40.2
26.0AST25.8
8.1STL7.9
5.5BLK4.2
15.5TOV13.5
21.7PF19.6
116.1PTS112.8

Defense/Offense

MIN Team Stats Per Game DEN
74Games73
41.9FG43.9
88.6FGA86.2
.472FG%.509
12.63Pt-FG12.1
33.83Pt-FGA31.1
.3733Pt%.389
29.22Pt-FG31.8
54.82Pt-FGA55.1
.5342Pt%.576
20.0FT16.8
26.1FTA22.2
.765FT%.757
11.4ORB9.9
33.3DRB32.8
44.7TRB42.8
25.1AST29.2
8.2STL7.5
4.0BLK4.4
15.7TOV14.6
20.2PF18.7
116.3PTS116.7

Team Stats Per 100 Poss

Offense/Defense

MIN Team Stats Per 100 Poss DEN
74Games73
42.1FG42.5
85.7FGA88.3
.492FG%.481
11.83Pt-FG11.6
32.63Pt-FGA33.4
.3613Pt%.347
30.42Pt-FG30.9
53.02Pt-FGA54.9
.5722Pt%.563
17.7FT17.9
23.2FTA23.2
.761FT%.771
8.8ORB10.0
31.9DRB30.8
40.7TRB40.8
25.4AST26.2
8.0STL8.0
5.4BLK4.3
15.2TOV13.7
21.3PF19.9
113.8PTS114.5

Defense/Offense

MIN Team Stats Per 100 Poss DEN
74Games73
41.0FG44.5
86.8FGA87.5
.472FG%.509
12.43Pt-FG12.3
33.23Pt-FGA31.6
.3733Pt%.389
28.72Pt-FG32.2
53.72Pt-FGA55.9
.5342Pt%.576
19.6FT17.1
25.6FTA22.6
.765FT%.757
11.1ORB10.1
32.6DRB33.3
43.8TRB43.4
24.6AST29.7
8.0STL7.6
4.0BLK4.4
15.4TOV14.8
19.8PF19.0
114.0PTS118.4

Four Factors

Offense/Defense

MIN Four Factors DEN
.561eFG%.547
13.6TOV%12.2
21.3RB%76.9
.206FT/FGA.203

Defense/Offense

MIN Four Factors DEN
.544eFG%.579
13.6TOV%13.2
74.1RB%24.7
.225FT/FGA.195

Analytics

MIN Analytics DEN
36Pythag Wins45
38Pythag Losses28
-0.26Margin Of Victory3.89
113.8O Rtg118.4
114.0D Rtg114.5
101.2Pace98.1
.271FTr.258
.3813PAr.361
.593TS%.607

Betting Odds


  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIN
DEN
MIN
DEN
Consensus
+7.5 -110
-7.5 -108
+8.0 -110
-8.0 -110
Draftkings
Bet $5 Win $150
+6.5 -110
-6.5 -110
+8.0 -110
-8.0 -110
FanDuel
$1000 No Sweat Bet
+8.0 -112
-8.0 -110
+8.0 -112
-8.0 -108
BetRivers
$500 Second Chance Bet
+8.0 -110
-8.0 -112
+8.0 -110
-8.0 -110
Caesars
Up To $1250 On Caesar
+6.5 -110
-6.5 -110
+8.0 -110
-8.0 -110
PointsBet
5x - $50 Second Chance Bets
+7.0 -110
-7.0 -110
+8.0 -110
-8.0 -110
BetMGM
First Bet Offer Up To $1000
+7.5 -105
-7.5 -105
+7.5 -105
-7.5 -115
Open
Current
Book
MIN
DEN
MIN
DEN
Consensus
+210
-255
+266
-340
Draftkings
Bet $5 Win $150
+215
-255
+265
-320
FanDuel
$1000 No Sweat Bet
+285
-355
+285
-355
BetRivers
$500 Second Chance Bet
+270
-335
+265
-335
Caesars
Up To $1250 On Caesar
+210
-260
+275
-350
PointsBet
5x - $50 Second Chance Bets
+230
-275
+260
-350
BetMGM
First Bet Offer Up To $1000
+240
-300
+260
-350
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
Consensus
235.5 -113
235.5 -108
232.5 -110
232.5 -111
Draftkings
Bet $5 Win $150
236.0 -110
236.0 -110
232.5 -110
232.5 -110
FanDuel
$1000 No Sweat Bet
235.5 -110
235.5 -110
232.0 -110
232.0 -110
BetRivers
$500 Second Chance Bet
236.0 -108
236.0 -113
232.5 -110
232.5 -110
Caesars
Up To $1250 On Caesar
236.0 -110
236.0 -110
232.0 -110
232.0 -110
PointsBet
5x - $50 Second Chance Bets
236.0 -110
236.0 -110
232.5 -110
232.5 -110
BetMGM
First Bet Offer Up To $1000
235.5 -115
235.5 -105
232.5 -105
232.5 -115

Betting Trends

Last 3 Last 5 Last 10
MIN Betting Trends DEN
OVERALLOVERALL
2-1-0Win/Loss/Tie2-1-0
2-1-0ATS W/L/P2-1-0
122.33Avg Score120
113Avg Opp Score117.67
AWAYHOME
1-2-0Win/Loss/Tie3-0-0
2-1-0ATS W/L/P3-0-0
114.33Avg Score128
114.33Avg Opp Score112.67
MIN Betting Trends DEN
OVERALLOVERALL
3-2-0Win/Loss/Tie3-2-0
3-2-0ATS W/L/P3-2-0
119Avg Score120.2
113.4Avg Opp Score118.4
AWAYHOME
2-3-0Win/Loss/Tie4-1-0
3-2-0ATS W/L/P4-1-0
113Avg Score123.4
114.8Avg Opp Score110
MIN Betting Trends DEN
OVERALLOVERALL
7-3-0Win/Loss/Tie6-4-0
7-3-0ATS W/L/P5-5-0
117.2Avg Score115.4
111.8Avg Opp Score112.7
AWAYHOME
3-7-0Win/Loss/Tie9-1-0
5-5-0ATS W/L/P6-3-1
112.8Avg Score122.8
116Avg Opp Score110.3

Head to Head

DATE TM LN ML 1st 2nd 3rd 4th OT SC
02/05/23
DEN
MIN
225.5
-8.5
+295
-376
21
32
22
31
28
31
27
34

98
128
01/18/23
MIN
DEN
241.5
-9.0
+322
-416
27
30
33
25
35
33
23
34

118
122
01/02/23
DEN
MIN
231.0
4.0
-180
+149
23
23
30
36
32
31
26
34

111
124
04/01/22
MIN
DEN
242.0
-3.0
+122
-147
40
35
30
30
28
29
38
36

136
130
02/01/22
DEN
MIN
228.5
-1.0
-103
-117
28
30
23
39
27
31
37
30

115
130
12/15/21
MIN
DEN
224.0
-4.5
+151
-182
40
32
35
29
33
27
16
19

124
107
10/30/21
DEN
MIN
220.0
-1.5
+101
-122
23
32
20
15
26
26
24
18

93
91
05/13/21
DEN
MIN
231.0
2.5
-137
+115
35
26
28
26
29
37
22
14

114
103
01/05/21
MIN
DEN
226.5
-10.5
+458
-660
22
34
43
28
31
31
20
30

116
123
01/03/21
DEN
MIN
226.0
8.5
-376
+295
29
28
26
20
28
36
41
25

124
109

Teams Last 10

Minnesota Timberwolves Denver Nuggets
DATE TM LN ML 1st 2nd 3rd 4th OT SC
03/22/23
ATL
MIN
94.4
-1.6
+56
-68
16
15
3
11
14
11
11
12

48
49
03/20/23
MIN
NY
104.0
-3.7
+126
-160
19
15
17
17
14
17
14
12

64
61
03/18/23
MIN
TOR
186.3
-8.0
+265
-358
22
27
27
29
23
24
19
24

90
103
03/15/23
BOS
MIN
345.7
10.0
-270
+224
34
34
31
30
49
42
40
46

155
152
03/13/23
MIN
ATL
311.1
-6.4
+211
-258
52
37
46
30
39
43
39
39

175
148
03/07/23
PHI
MIN
258.8
-3.4
+146
-174
27
31
39
21
33
26
34
30

133
107
03/04/23
MIN
SAC
84.7
-1.6
+54
-66
13
11
14
12
11
14
12
11

49
48
03/03/23
MIN
LAL
288.2
2.4
-156
+130
42
43
29
27
34
27
34
33

140
130
02/28/23
MIN
LAC
121.8
-3.4
+107
-130
14
17
17
12
15
5
12
14

57
53
02/26/23
MIN
GS
76.6
-0.6
+35
-42
11
3
2
11
3
2
2
10

34
35
DATE TM LN ML 1st 2nd 3rd 4th OT SC
03/22/23
DEN
WAS
87.9
1.4
-149
+117
12
11
4
11
15
2
4
12

46
41
03/19/23
DEN
BKN
370.5
7.9
-240
+200
54
34
49
44
46
37
28
50

176
166
03/18/23
DEN
NY
193.9
-0.8
-90
-95
24
30
33
22
20
24
16
21

93
98
03/16/23
DEN
DET
147.3
6.1
-781
+473
19
18
19
23
18
14
21
6

76
64
03/14/23
DEN
TOR
161.9
0.7
-88
+72
21
35
18
16
25
18
13
19

78
88
03/12/23
BKN
DEN
115.6
-4.5
+158
-200
15
15
16
20
19
5
12
17

62
61
03/10/23
DEN
SA
135.3
4.1
-487
+328
22
15
17
24
15
17
15
17

69
73
03/08/23
CHI
DEN
388.3
-14.6
+518
-668
43
50
45
40
62
41
52
34

201
165
03/06/23
TOR
DEN
97.3
-2.5
+84
-105
14
12
11
12
11
11
11
15

48
50
03/03/23
MEM
DEN
299.0
-7.6
+246
-302
34
36
40
28
28
38
22
42

124
144
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Minnesota Timberwolves

The Minnesota Timberwolves enjoyed a blowout win over the Denver Nuggets in their last outing. They held Denver under 100 points, taking full advantage of the fact that the Nuggets rested several key players on the second leg of a back to back. Here, the Wolves will play a much more respectable Nuggets squad, which could cause this game to flip a different outcome.

In this game, there are several members of the Timberwolves that are questionable for this contest. Rudy Gobert, Kyle Anderson, and Jordan McLaughlin are all questionable for this game, while Austin Rivers is still serving a suspension. A shorthanded Wolves team could have some real trouble hanging with the Nuggets in the Mile High City.

Denver Nuggets

The Denver Nuggets are one of three teams in the NBA sitting at 20 games above .500 heading into Tuesday night. They are 37-17 this season, and are a league-best 25-4 at home on the year. Here, they will try to get back into the win column and exact revenge on the Timberwolves for the loss Minnesota dealt them over the weekend.

To put it bluntly, the way that the Nuggets approached their last game against the Timberwolves was shameful. Protecting players from injury is one thing, but sitting nearly every key player and continuing to bench Bones Hyland despite all of those available minutes, was unbecoming of a pro basketball team. Here, expect a lot more effort from the Nuggets with their top players back on the floor.

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Tags: Denver Nuggets, Minnesota Timberwolves

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