Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota Timberwolves

May 28, 2024

Dallas Mavericks

Dallas Mavericks
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  • Consensus
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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Game 4 Pick 5/28/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Game 4 Betting Pick, Prediction & Preview

  • Date: May 28, 2024
  • Venue: American Airlines Center

Timberwolves vs Mavericks Game 4 Betting Odds

Spread:Minnesota Timberwolves 1.5 (-110), Dallas Mavericks -1.5 (-110)
Over/Under Total:210.5
Moneyline:Minnesota Timberwolves 105, Dallas Mavericks -125

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Game 4 Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Minnesota Timberwolves - 47%Minnesota Timberwolves - 44%
Dallas Mavericks - 53%Dallas Mavericks - 56%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Game 4 Betting Preview

In a highly anticipated Tuesday night matchup, the Minnesota Timberwolves (64-32) will face off against the Dallas Mavericks (61-36) in Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals at the American Airlines Center, the Mavericks' home arena. The game is scheduled to tip off at 8:30 PM ET, with the Mavericks looking to complete a four-game sweep with a win at home tonight.

The Mavericks come into the game as slight favorites, with the spread currently set at Mavericks -2.0. The Moneyline for the Mavericks is -125, indicating their status as favorites, while the Timberwolves have a Moneyline of +105. Based on the odds, the implied win probability for the Timberwolves is 47%, while the Mavericks have an implied win probability of 53%.

The Mavericks enter the game on a hot streak, having won their last five consecutive games. They will look to maintain their momentum and secure another victory on their home court. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves have been playing well recently, winning 32 of their last 50 games. They will aim to bounce back from their previous loss and continue their solid performance.

In their most recent meeting, the Mavericks emerged victorious, defeating the Timberwolves 116-107. This adds an extra layer of intrigue to the upcoming matchup, as the Timberwolves will be seeking redemption and looking to keep their season alive.

For those interested in player prop markets, one name that stands out is Daniel Gafford. His Points, Rebounds, and Assists (PRA) have become the most popular betting market for this game. Sharp bettors have been wagering on the Over, as the prop total opened at Over 18.5 PRA (-115) before soaring to 21.5 PRA (-105).

As the game approaches, fans and bettors alike are eagerly anticipating this clash between the Timberwolves and the Mavericks. With both teams displaying strong performances in recent games, it promises to be an exciting matchup filled with intense competition.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Game 4 Prediction

Final Score: Minnesota Timberwolves 107.51 vs Dallas Mavericks 109.79

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+1.5/-110
43% MIN
-1.5/-110
57% DAL

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+101
21% MIN
-122
79% DAL

Total Pick Consensus

211.5/-110
6% UN
211.5/-110
94% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIN
Team Stats Per Game
DAL
82
Games
82
41.0
FG
43.1
87.6
FGA
91.7
.468
FG%
.469
15.0
3Pt-FG
12.9
39.9
3Pt-FGA
35.4
.377
3Pt%
.363
26.0
2Pt-FG
30.2
47.7
2Pt-FGA
56.3
.545
2Pt%
.537
17.2
FT
16.4
21.8
FTA
21.1
.789
FT%
.779
11.1
ORB
12.1
33.2
DRB
33.2
44.3
TRB
45.3
26.1
AST
27.1
8.0
STL
8.1
5.0
BLK
4.6
14.5
TOV
13.2
18.3
PF
18.7
114.3
PTS
115.4

Defense/Offense

MIN
Team Stats Per Game
DAL
82
Games
82
40.5
FG
42.0
88.0
FGA
87.7
.460
FG%
.479
12.7
3Pt-FG
12.4
36.0
3Pt-FGA
34.2
.353
3Pt%
.364
27.8
2Pt-FG
29.5
52.0
2Pt-FGA
53.6
.534
2Pt%
.552
15.7
FT
17.8
20.4
FTA
23.1
.767
FT%
.770
11.0
ORB
10.1
31.8
DRB
33.0
42.9
TRB
43.0
24.8
AST
25.2
8.4
STL
7.8
4.5
BLK
5.4
14.7
TOV
14.0
19.2
PF
17.8
109.3
PTS
114.2

Offense/Defense

MIN
Four Factors
DAL
.554
eFG%
.540
13.0
TOV%
11.6
25.8
RB%
73.1
.196
FT/FGA
.179

Defense/Offense

MIN
Four Factors
DAL
.532
eFG%
.549
13.2
TOV%
12.5
75.1
RB%
23.3
.178
FT/FGA
.203

Offense/Defense

MIN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DAL
82
Games
82
41.8
FG
43.3
89.3
FGA
92.2
.468
FG%
.469
15.3
3Pt-FG
12.9
40.7
3Pt-FGA
35.6
.377
3Pt%
.363
26.5
2Pt-FG
30.4
48.7
2Pt-FGA
56.6
.545
2Pt%
.537
17.6
FT
16.5
22.3
FTA
21.2
.789
FT%
.779
11.3
ORB
12.2
33.9
DRB
33.3
45.2
TRB
45.5
26.6
AST
27.2
8.1
STL
8.1
5.1
BLK
4.6
14.8
TOV
13.3
18.6
PF
18.8
116.6
PTS
116.0

Defense/Offense

MIN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DAL
82
Games
82
41.3
FG
42.2
89.7
FGA
88.2
.460
FG%
.479
12.9
3Pt-FG
12.5
36.7
3Pt-FGA
34.3
.353
3Pt%
.364
28.3
2Pt-FG
29.7
53.0
2Pt-FGA
53.9
.534
2Pt%
.552
16.0
FT
17.9
20.8
FTA
23.2
.767
FT%
.770
11.3
ORB
10.2
32.5
DRB
33.1
43.7
TRB
43.3
25.3
AST
25.4
8.5
STL
7.8
4.6
BLK
5.5
15.0
TOV
14.1
19.5
PF
17.9
111.5
PTS
114.8

MIN
Analytics
DAL
53
Pythag Wins
38
29
Pythag Losses
44
5.00
Margin Of Victory
-1.20
116.6
O Rtg
114.8
111.5
D Rtg
116.0
97.3
Pace
99.2
.249
FTr
.263
.455
3PAr
.389
.588
TS%
.583

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIN DAL
MIN DAL
Consensus
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-111)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-109)
-3.5 (-109)
+1.5 (-109)
-1.5 (-112)
+3.0 (-115)
-3.0 (-110)
+2.0 (-115)
-2.0 (-105)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
MIN DAL
MIN DAL
Consensus
+134
-162
+101
-122
+136
-162
+100
-120
+134
-158
+100
-118
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
209.5 (-110)
209.5 (-110)
211.5 (-110)
211.5 (-111)
209.0 (-110)
209.0 (-110)
211.5 (-110)
211.5 (-110)
209.5 (-110)
209.5 (-110)
211.0 (-110)
211.0 (-110)
209.5 (-113)
209.5 (-108)
211.5 (-110)
211.5 (-110)
210.0 (-110)
210.0 (-110)
211.5 (-105)
211.5 (-115)
208.5 (-115)
208.5 (-105)
212.5 (-110)
212.5 (-120)

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