The Golden State Warriors (9-29), who are currently riding a five-game losing streak, will try to get back in the win column when they welcome the Milwaukee Bucks (32-6) to Chase Center. The game starts at 10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 8, 2020, and will air on ESPN.
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Golden State Warriors Betting Prediction
The Bucks are hoping for a better outcome after failing to cover as 8.5-point favorites in their 126-104 loss to the San Antonio Spurs in their last outing. The combined points for the game (230) finished just over the projected point total of 228.5. San Antonio’s offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest strength over Milwaukee. The Spurs had a rate of 26.3 (above their season average of 21.2), while the Bucks posted a mark of 18.5. Giannis Antetokounmpo led Milwaukee in scoring with 24 points on 10-for-22 shooting.
In the Warriors’ last game, they lost to the Sacramento Kings, 111-98. They failed to cover as 10-point underdogs. The combined points for the game (209) came in under the O/U total of 212.5. Sacramento made 15 of their 30 three pointers (50.0 percent). Golden State, on the other hand, was just 5-26 (19.2 percent). Golden State’s Omari Spellman had 13 points and six rebounds in the game.
Golden State might have a difficult time finding the bottom of the net as they clash against one of the league’s best defenses. Milwaukee ranks first in defensive efficiency while the Warriors rank 29th in offensive efficiency.
Milwaukee comes into the contest with records of 32-6 straight up (SU) and 21-17 against the spread (ATS). Of the Bucks’ 38 games, 20 have finished over the total.
Meanwhile, Golden State owns records of 9-29 SU and 17-21 ATS. Vegas is known to place the total high when the Warriors are involved, as 21 of their 38 games have finished under the O/U total.
After splitting two games last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. The Warriors won the last contest 105-95. Golden State made 19 of its 46 three pointers (41.3 percent). Milwaukee, meanwhile, had a much better free throw rate (0.174 vs. 0.067).
Bucks vs. Warriors Betting Pick
NBA Prediction: ATS Winner – Warriors, O/U – Over
Betting Trends
On the road, Milwaukee is 10-8 ATS with 10 overs and 8 unders.
Golden State is 8-10 ATS at home with 11 unders and 7 overs.
When allowing under 100 points, Milwaukee is 8-0 and Golden State is 4-2.
In games where they reach the century mark, the Bucks are 32-6 and the Warriors are 9-18.
Milwaukee ranks third in points in the paint per game (51.3) while Golden State ranks 29th (43.6).
The Bucks rank fourth in three pointers attempted per game (39.1) while the Warriors rank 28th (28.5).
Milwaukee ranks first in second chance points allowed per game (11.0) while Golden State ranks 22nd (13.7).
The Bucks rank first in fast break points per game (18.7) while the Warriors rank 22nd in fast break points allowed per game (14.2).
Milwaukee ranks first in rebounds per game (51.5) while Golden State ranks 22nd (43.8).
The Bucks average 26.0 assists per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. The Warriors rank 25th in assists allowed per game (25.2).
Milwaukee ranks third in blocks per game (6.5) while Golden State ranks 21st (4.7).
The Warriors rank fifth in steals per game (8.5) while the Bucks rank 15th (7.7).
Milwaukee ranks 11th in points off turnovers per game (17.4) while Golden State ranks 21st in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.9).
In its last five contests, Milwaukee is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Golden State is 1-4 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over its last five games.
The Bucks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 4.2, down from 11.9 for the season.
During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 104.0 points per game (1.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 115.8 points per game (2.9 above their season average).
