Milwaukee Bucks

Milwaukee Bucks

Nov 26, 2024

Miami Heat

Miami Heat
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Milwaukee Bucks at Miami Heat Pick For 11/26/2024

  • Date: November 26, 2024
  • Venue: Kaseya Center

Betting Odds

Spread: Milwaukee Bucks 2.5 (-110), Miami Heat -2.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 222.5
Moneyline: Milwaukee Bucks 115, Miami Heat -135

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Milwaukee Bucks - 45% Milwaukee Bucks - 18%
Miami Heat - 55% Miami Heat - 82%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Bucks are set to take on the Miami Heat in an intriguing Tuesday night matchup at the Kaseya Center, tipping off at 7:30 PM ET. The Bucks, currently holding an 8-9 record, are riding a wave of momentum with four consecutive victories, including a recent 125-119 triumph over the Charlotte Hornets. Meanwhile, the Heat stand at 7-7, having won three of their last four games, most recently securing a 123-118 win against the Dallas Mavericks.

Despite the Bucks' recent hot streak, the Heat are slight favorites at home, with the spread set at Heat -2.5. Miami's moneyline is priced at -135, reflecting an implied win probability of 55%, while Milwaukee's moneyline sits at +115, suggesting a 45% chance of victory. The Bucks benefit from extra rest, having last played three days ago, which might provide an edge in their quest to extend their winning streak.

For those eyeing player props, Damian Lillard's points and assists market has garnered significant attention. The current line for Lillard's combined points and assists is set at under 30.5, with odds of -120. Sharp bettors are leaning towards the under, speculating that it may be mispriced and offers value.

As the Bucks and Heat clash, fans and bettors alike will be keen to see if Milwaukee's recent form can overcome Miami's slight favoritism on their home court. With both teams showing strong performances in recent outings, this matchup promises to be a closely contested battle.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Prediction

Final Score: Milwaukee Bucks 114.12 vs Miami Heat 125.32

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+2.0/-108
48% MIL
-2.0/-112
52% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+114
23% MIL
-135
77% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

222.5/-108
9% UN
222.5/-112
91% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIL
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
17
Games
14
41.5
FG
41.0
86.5
FGA
88.6
.480
FG%
.463
13.7
3Pt-FG
13.5
36.6
3Pt-FGA
38.1
.374
3Pt%
.354
27.8
2Pt-FG
27.5
49.9
2Pt-FGA
50.4
.558
2Pt%
.545
16.4
FT
15.1
22.6
FTA
18.7
.722
FT%
.809
8.6
ORB
11.4
35.5
DRB
35.4
44.2
TRB
46.8
23.6
AST
26.4
7.4
STL
7.3
5.7
BLK
5.6
13.9
TOV
15.8
18.7
PF
19.1
113.1
PTS
110.6

Defense/Offense

MIL
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
17
Games
14
40.9
FG
39.8
91.1
FGA
89.9
.449
FG%
.442
14.8
3Pt-FG
14.9
39.6
3Pt-FGA
39.4
.373
3Pt%
.379
26.1
2Pt-FG
24.9
51.5
2Pt-FGA
50.6
.507
2Pt%
.492
16.4
FT
17.3
19.8
FTA
22.6
.825
FT%
.766
11.0
ORB
10.6
34.9
DRB
33.3
45.9
TRB
43.9
25.6
AST
25.4
7.1
STL
9.6
4.1
BLK
3.9
13.2
TOV
12.6
19.1
PF
17.1
112.9
PTS
111.8

Offense/Defense

MIL
Four Factors
MIA
.559
eFG%
.539
12.6
TOV%
14.0
19.8
RB%
74.4
.189
FT/FGA
.171

Defense/Offense

MIL
Four Factors
MIA
.530
eFG%
.525
11.7
TOV%
11.2
76.4
RB%
23.0
.180
FT/FGA
.192

Offense/Defense

MIL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
17
Games
14
41.6
FG
41.4
86.8
FGA
89.5
.480
FG%
.463
13.7
3Pt-FG
13.6
36.7
3Pt-FGA
38.5
.374
3Pt%
.354
27.9
2Pt-FG
27.8
50.0
2Pt-FGA
50.9
.558
2Pt%
.545
16.4
FT
15.3
22.7
FTA
18.9
.722
FT%
.809
8.7
ORB
11.5
35.6
DRB
35.7
44.3
TRB
47.3
23.7
AST
26.7
7.4
STL
7.4
5.7
BLK
5.7
13.9
TOV
15.9
18.8
PF
19.3
113.4
PTS
111.8

Defense/Offense

MIL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
17
Games
14
41.0
FG
40.2
91.3
FGA
90.8
.449
FG%
.442
14.8
3Pt-FG
15.1
39.7
3Pt-FGA
39.8
.373
3Pt%
.379
26.2
2Pt-FG
25.1
51.6
2Pt-FGA
51.1
.507
2Pt%
.492
16.4
FT
17.5
19.9
FTA
22.8
.825
FT%
.766
11.0
ORB
10.7
35.0
DRB
33.6
46.1
TRB
44.3
25.7
AST
25.6
7.1
STL
9.7
4.1
BLK
4.0
13.3
TOV
12.7
19.1
PF
17.2
113.2
PTS
112.9

MIL
Analytics
MIA
9
Pythag Wins
8
8
Pythag Losses
6
0.24
Margin Of Victory
1.14
113.4
O Rtg
112.9
113.2
D Rtg
111.8
99.1
Pace
97.6
.262
FTr
.251
.424
3PAr
.438
.586
TS%
.560

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIL MIA
MIL MIA
Consensus
+2.0 (-108)
-2.0 (-110)
+2.0 (-108)
-2.0 (-113)
+2.0 (-108)
-2.0 (-110)
+2.0 (-108)
-2.0 (-112)
+2.0 (-110)
-2.0 (-108)
+2.0 (-110)
-2.0 (-110)
+2.0 (-107)
-2.0 (-110)
+2.0 (-107)
-2.0 (-113)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-115)
-2.5 (-105)
+2.5 (-115)
-2.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
MIL MIA
MIL MIA
Consensus
+105
-127
+112
-132
+110
-130
+114
-135
+110
-130
+108
-126
+105
-127
+112
-132
+115
-135
+115
-135
+110
-135
+110
-135
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
221.5 (-112)
221.5 (-110)
223.0 (-109)
223.0 (-113)
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
222.5 (-112)
222.5 (-108)
222.5 (-110)
222.5 (-110)
222.5 (-110)
222.5 (-110)
221.5 (-112)
221.5 (-109)
223.0 (-108)
223.0 (-113)
222.5 (-110)
222.5 (-110)
223.0 (-105)
223.0 (-115)
222.5 (-105)
222.5 (-115)
222.5 (-115)
222.5 (-105)