Milwaukee Bucks

Milwaukee Bucks

Nov 26, 2024

Miami Heat

Miami Heat
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Milwaukee Bucks at Miami Heat Pick For 11/26/2024

  • Date: November 26, 2024
  • Venue: Kaseya Center

Betting Odds

Spread: Milwaukee Bucks 2.5 (-110), Miami Heat -2.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 222.5
Moneyline: Milwaukee Bucks 115, Miami Heat -135

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Milwaukee Bucks - 45% Milwaukee Bucks - 18%
Miami Heat - 55% Miami Heat - 82%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Bucks are set to take on the Miami Heat in an intriguing Tuesday night matchup at the Kaseya Center, tipping off at 7:30 PM ET. The Bucks, currently holding an 8-9 record, are riding a wave of momentum with four consecutive victories, including a recent 125-119 triumph over the Charlotte Hornets. Meanwhile, the Heat stand at 7-7, having won three of their last four games, most recently securing a 123-118 win against the Dallas Mavericks.

Despite the Bucks' recent hot streak, the Heat are slight favorites at home, with the spread set at Heat -2.5. Miami's moneyline is priced at -135, reflecting an implied win probability of 55%, while Milwaukee's moneyline sits at +115, suggesting a 45% chance of victory. The Bucks benefit from extra rest, having last played three days ago, which might provide an edge in their quest to extend their winning streak.

For those eyeing player props, Damian Lillard's points and assists market has garnered significant attention. The current line for Lillard's combined points and assists is set at under 30.5, with odds of -120. Sharp bettors are leaning towards the under, speculating that it may be mispriced and offers value.

As the Bucks and Heat clash, fans and bettors alike will be keen to see if Milwaukee's recent form can overcome Miami's slight favoritism on their home court. With both teams showing strong performances in recent outings, this matchup promises to be a closely contested battle.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Prediction

Final Score: Milwaukee Bucks 114.12 vs Miami Heat 125.32

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+5.5/-105
53% MIL
-5.5/-115
47% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+189
25% MIL
-228
75% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

222.5/-112
13% UN
222.5/-108
87% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIL
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
28
Games
27
41.0
FG
40.4
85.3
FGA
87.7
.481
FG%
.460
14.5
3Pt-FG
13.7
37.1
3Pt-FGA
37.5
.391
3Pt%
.365
26.5
2Pt-FG
26.7
48.1
2Pt-FGA
50.1
.550
2Pt%
.532
16.3
FT
14.9
22.3
FTA
18.6
.729
FT%
.804
8.1
ORB
11.0
35.1
DRB
34.3
43.2
TRB
45.3
24.4
AST
26.6
7.6
STL
7.0
5.4
BLK
5.2
14.2
TOV
15.2
18.5
PF
19.2
112.8
PTS
109.4

Defense/Offense

MIL
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
28
Games
27
40.4
FG
39.6
89.5
FGA
87.1
.451
FG%
.454
13.8
3Pt-FG
14.6
38.4
3Pt-FGA
38.9
.360
3Pt%
.374
26.6
2Pt-FG
25.0
51.1
2Pt-FGA
48.3
.520
2Pt%
.519
16.6
FT
18.4
20.4
FTA
23.6
.814
FT%
.781
10.5
ORB
9.9
34.4
DRB
33.7
44.9
TRB
43.6
25.3
AST
25.8
7.7
STL
8.9
3.9
BLK
3.4
13.4
TOV
13.3
18.9
PF
16.6
111.2
PTS
112.1

Offense/Defense

MIL
Four Factors
MIA
.566
eFG%
.539
13.0
TOV%
13.7
19.1
RB%
75.4
.191
FT/FGA
.170

Defense/Offense

MIL
Four Factors
MIA
.529
eFG%
.538
12.0
TOV%
12.0
77.0
RB%
22.3
.185
FT/FGA
.211

Offense/Defense

MIL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
28
Games
27
41.4
FG
41.1
86.0
FGA
89.3
.481
FG%
.460
14.6
3Pt-FG
14.0
37.4
3Pt-FGA
38.2
.391
3Pt%
.365
26.7
2Pt-FG
27.2
48.6
2Pt-FGA
51.1
.550
2Pt%
.532
16.4
FT
15.2
22.5
FTA
18.9
.729
FT%
.804
8.2
ORB
11.2
35.4
DRB
34.9
43.6
TRB
46.2
24.6
AST
27.1
7.6
STL
7.2
5.4
BLK
5.3
14.3
TOV
15.5
18.7
PF
19.5
113.8
PTS
111.4

Defense/Offense

MIL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
28
Games
27
40.8
FG
40.3
90.3
FGA
88.8
.451
FG%
.454
13.9
3Pt-FG
14.8
38.7
3Pt-FGA
39.6
.360
3Pt%
.374
26.8
2Pt-FG
25.5
51.6
2Pt-FGA
49.1
.520
2Pt%
.519
16.7
FT
18.7
20.5
FTA
24.0
.814
FT%
.781
10.6
ORB
10.0
34.7
DRB
34.4
45.3
TRB
44.4
25.5
AST
26.3
7.8
STL
9.1
3.9
BLK
3.5
13.5
TOV
13.6
19.1
PF
16.9
112.2
PTS
114.2

MIL
Analytics
MIA
15
Pythag Wins
16
13
Pythag Losses
11
1.57
Margin Of Victory
2.78
113.8
O Rtg
114.2
112.2
D Rtg
111.4
98.7
Pace
97.1
.261
FTr
.270
.435
3PAr
.446
.593
TS%
.575

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIL MIA
MIL MIA
Consensus
+2.0 (-110)
-2.0 (-110)
+6.0 (-110)
-6.0 (-111)
+2.0 (-105)
-2.0 (-110)
+5.5 (-105)
-5.5 (-115)
+2.0 (-112)
-2.0 (-108)
+6.0 (-112)
-6.0 (-108)
+2.0 (-108)
-2.0 (-110)
+6.0 (-108)
-6.0 (-113)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
+6.0 (-110)
-6.0 (-110)
+2.5 (-105)
-2.5 (-105)
+5.5 (-105)
-5.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
MIL MIA
MIL MIA
Consensus
+105
-127
+189
-228
+110
-130
+185
-225
+110
-130
+200
-245
+105
-127
+190
-235
+115
-135
+185
-225
+110
-135
+185
-225
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
221.5 (-112)
221.5 (-110)
222.5 (-111)
222.5 (-111)
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
222.5 (-108)
222.5 (-112)
222.5 (-110)
222.5 (-110)
222.0 (-112)
222.0 (-108)
221.5 (-112)
221.5 (-109)
222.5 (-112)
222.5 (-109)
222.5 (-110)
222.5 (-110)
223.0 (-110)
223.0 (-110)
222.5 (-105)
222.5 (-115)
222.5 (-105)
222.5 (-115)