Milwaukee Bucks

Milwaukee Bucks

Nov 26, 2024

Miami Heat

Miami Heat
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Milwaukee Bucks at Miami Heat Pick For 11/26/2024

  • Date: November 26, 2024
  • Venue: Kaseya Center

Betting Odds

Spread:Milwaukee Bucks 2.5 (-110), Miami Heat -2.5 (-110)
Over/Under:222.5
Moneyline:Milwaukee Bucks 115, Miami Heat -135

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Milwaukee Bucks - 45%Milwaukee Bucks - 18%
Miami Heat - 55%Miami Heat - 82%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Bucks are set to take on the Miami Heat in an intriguing Tuesday night matchup at the Kaseya Center, tipping off at 7:30 PM ET. The Bucks, currently holding an 8-9 record, are riding a wave of momentum with four consecutive victories, including a recent 125-119 triumph over the Charlotte Hornets. Meanwhile, the Heat stand at 7-7, having won three of their last four games, most recently securing a 123-118 win against the Dallas Mavericks.

Despite the Bucks' recent hot streak, the Heat are slight favorites at home, with the spread set at Heat -2.5. Miami's moneyline is priced at -135, reflecting an implied win probability of 55%, while Milwaukee's moneyline sits at +115, suggesting a 45% chance of victory. The Bucks benefit from extra rest, having last played three days ago, which might provide an edge in their quest to extend their winning streak.

For those eyeing player props, Damian Lillard's points and assists market has garnered significant attention. The current line for Lillard's combined points and assists is set at under 30.5, with odds of -120. Sharp bettors are leaning towards the under, speculating that it may be mispriced and offers value.

As the Bucks and Heat clash, fans and bettors alike will be keen to see if Milwaukee's recent form can overcome Miami's slight favoritism on their home court. With both teams showing strong performances in recent outings, this matchup promises to be a closely contested battle.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Prediction

Final Score: Milwaukee Bucks 114.12 vs Miami Heat 125.32

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+5.5/-105
53% MIL
-5.5/-115
47% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+189
25% MIL
-228
75% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

222.5/-112
13% UN
222.5/-108
87% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIL
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
82
Games
82
42.0
FG
41.3
86.4
FGA
88.6
.486
FG%
.466
14.2
3Pt-FG
13.6
36.6
3Pt-FGA
37.9
.387
3Pt%
.360
27.9
2Pt-FG
27.6
49.7
2Pt-FGA
50.6
.560
2Pt%
.545
17.3
FT
13.9
23.1
FTA
17.9
.750
FT%
.776
8.2
ORB
10.7
35.1
DRB
33.9
43.4
TRB
44.7
25.5
AST
26.5
7.3
STL
7.5
4.7
BLK
4.7
13.4
TOV
13.8
17.9
PF
17.0
115.5
PTS
110.0

Defense/Offense

MIL
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
82
Games
82
41.6
FG
40.5
91.1
FGA
87.0
.457
FG%
.465
13.9
3Pt-FG
13.7
39.4
3Pt-FGA
37.3
.353
3Pt%
.367
27.7
2Pt-FG
26.8
51.7
2Pt-FGA
49.7
.536
2Pt%
.538
15.9
FT
16.0
20.3
FTA
20.2
.783
FT%
.791
11.0
ORB
9.7
34.3
DRB
33.7
45.3
TRB
43.4
26.4
AST
26.4
7.3
STL
8.1
3.8
BLK
3.8
12.9
TOV
13.6
18.9
PF
15.5
113.0
PTS
110.6

Offense/Defense

MIL
Four Factors
MIA
.568
eFG%
.543
12.2
TOV%
12.5
19.3
RB%
75.8
.201
FT/FGA
.157

Defense/Offense

MIL
Four Factors
MIA
.533
eFG%
.544
11.4
TOV%
12.4
76.2
RB%
22.3
.174
FT/FGA
.183

Offense/Defense

MIL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
82
Games
82
42.2
FG
42.3
86.7
FGA
90.9
.486
FG%
.466
14.2
3Pt-FG
14.0
36.7
3Pt-FGA
38.9
.387
3Pt%
.360
28.0
2Pt-FG
28.3
49.9
2Pt-FGA
52.0
.560
2Pt%
.545
17.4
FT
14.3
23.2
FTA
18.4
.750
FT%
.776
8.2
ORB
11.0
35.3
DRB
34.8
43.5
TRB
45.8
25.6
AST
27.2
7.4
STL
7.7
4.7
BLK
4.8
13.4
TOV
14.2
18.0
PF
17.4
115.9
PTS
112.9

Defense/Offense

MIL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
82
Games
82
41.8
FG
41.5
91.4
FGA
89.3
.457
FG%
.465
14.0
3Pt-FG
14.1
39.6
3Pt-FGA
38.3
.353
3Pt%
.367
27.8
2Pt-FG
27.5
51.9
2Pt-FGA
51.0
.536
2Pt%
.538
15.9
FT
16.4
20.3
FTA
20.7
.783
FT%
.791
11.0
ORB
10.0
34.4
DRB
34.5
45.4
TRB
44.5
26.5
AST
27.1
7.4
STL
8.4
3.9
BLK
3.9
12.9
TOV
13.9
19.0
PF
16.0
113.4
PTS
113.5

MIL
Analytics
MIA
47
Pythag Wins
42
35
Pythag Losses
40
2.48
Margin Of Victory
0.56
115.9
O Rtg
113.5
113.4
D Rtg
112.9
99.3
Pace
96.2
.268
FTr
.232
.424
3PAr
.429
.598
TS%
.576

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIL MIA
MIL MIA
Consensus
+2.0 (-110)
-2.0 (-110)
+6.0 (-110)
-6.0 (-111)
+2.0 (-105)
-2.0 (-110)
+5.5 (-105)
-5.5 (-115)
+2.0 (-112)
-2.0 (-108)
+6.0 (-112)
-6.0 (-108)
+2.0 (-108)
-2.0 (-110)
+6.0 (-108)
-6.0 (-113)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
+6.0 (-110)
-6.0 (-110)
+2.5 (-105)
-2.5 (-105)
+5.5 (-105)
-5.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
MIL MIA
MIL MIA
Consensus
+105
-127
+189
-228
+110
-130
+185
-225
+110
-130
+200
-245
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
221.5 (-112)
221.5 (-110)
222.5 (-111)
222.5 (-111)
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
222.5 (-108)
222.5 (-112)
222.5 (-110)
222.5 (-110)
222.0 (-112)
222.0 (-108)
221.5 (-112)
221.5 (-109)
222.5 (-112)
222.5 (-109)
222.5 (-110)
222.5 (-110)
223.0 (-110)
223.0 (-110)
222.5 (-105)
222.5 (-115)
222.5 (-105)
222.5 (-115)

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Home NBA Picks Milwaukee Bucks at Miami Heat Pick For 11/26/2024