The Detroit Pistons (0-3) will be at home in Little Caesars Arena when they attempt to stave off elimination against the Milwaukee Bucks (3-0) in game four of the First Round of the Eastern Conference Playoffs. Milwaukee is a 12-point favorite on the opening line, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 218.5 points. Action begins at 8 p.m. ET on Monday, April 22, 2019, and it can be seen on TNT.
Milwaukee Bucks at Detroit Pistons Free Preview
In game three, these two teams combined to put up 222 points, which was over the projected point total of 216.5. The Bucks won 119-103, covering as 9-point favorites. The Bucks played a nearly flawless game. They had a free throw rate of 0.244 and a superb effective field goal percentage of 0.570. For those same stats, the Pistons put up marks of 0.188 and 0.443, respectively. In the loss, Griffin led all scorers with 27 points.
Of Milwaukee’s 85 games, 43 have finished over the projected point total, while 44 of Detroit’s 85 games have finished under the projected point total. Looking at straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records, the Bucks have a significant advantage. They are 63-22 SU and 50-32-3 ATS, while the Pistons are 41-44 SU and 42-42-1 ATS.
The inefficient offense of Detroit (21st in the NBA with an offensive efficiency of 106.6) will clash against the elite defense of Milwaukee (first in the league with a defensive efficiency of 103.0). The Bucks should have the advantage on that side of the ball. This game should be a battle of opposite paces. The up-and-down Bucks rank fifth in possessions per game, while the slower-paced Pistons rank 26th.
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Detroit Pistons ATS Prediction
Free Pick: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Pistons, O/U – Under
The Bucks rank sixth in assists per game (26.2) while the Pistons rank 26th (22.5).
Detroit ranks 13th in second chance points per game (13.2) while Milwaukee ranks 26th (11.7).
Milwaukee ranks third in points in the paint per game (53.3) while Detroit ranks 22nd (44.6).
Milwaukee is second in the league with 6.8 steals allowed per game while Detroit is fourth with 6.9 steals allowed per game.
Detroit is 21-20-1 ATS at home, while Milwaukee is 25-15-2 ATS on the road.
Of the Bucks’ 42 road games, they have 21 overs and 21 unders.
The Pistons have 22 overs and 20 unders in 42 home games.
Detroit is 16-3 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Milwaukee is 22-1.
The Pistons are 37-26 when they score over 100 points, while the Bucks are 62-18.
The Bucks rank first in rebounds per game (49.8) while the Pistons rank 18th (45.0).
Detroit ranks first in three pointers allowed per game (28.1) while Milwaukee ranks last (36.2).
The Bucks rank second in blocks per game (6.0) while the Pistons rank 25th (4.1).
The Bucks rank second in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.6) while the Pistons rank 12th (15.9).
Milwaukee ranks sixth in fast break points per game (17.8) while Detroit ranks 29th (10.0).
Detroit is 1-4 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs in its last five games.
Across its past five games, Milwaukee is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
The Pistons’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 7.8, up from 1.1 for the season.
During their last five games, the Bucks have scored an average of 118.2 points per game (0.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 104.4 points per game (4.4 below their season average).