The Miami Heat rolled at home in the first two games of their second round playoff series against the Philadelphia 76ers. Now, the series shifts to Philadelphia, where the Sixers hope that being at home will help them get back on the right track and avoid a virtually insurmountable 3-0 deficit. In our NBA betting picks for Friday night, we look at Heat vs 76ers Game 3, in a contest that could determine whether or not we get a competitive series.
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Heat vs 76ers Game 3 Betting Pick
This game will be played at Wells Fargo Center at 7:00 PM ET on Friday, May 6, 2022.
Why Bet The Heat:
✅ Joel Embiid is still listed as out for the Philadelphia 76ers, even though his status could change ahead of this contest. As long as Embiid is out, it is a good idea to lay the points with the Heat here, as the Sixers have really struggled on the offensive end without their MVP candidate at the center position.
✅ A big reason for the offensive struggles of the 76ers has been the performance of James Harden through two games in this series. Harden has shot a combined 11/28 from the field against the Heat in the series so far, and his inability to consistently generate offense has really held Philly back in their attempts to play well without Embiid on the floor.
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✅ Miami has not needed to shoot the three-point shot well in order to have success in this series. They shot 48% from long distance in Game 2, but made just 25% of their threes in Game 1, winning both games by double digits. Their advantage on the interior, where the Heat have outrebounded the Sixers by 10 rebounds per game, is enough to help the Heat regardless of how they shoot from the outside.
Miami Heat
The Miami Heat resisted the challenges from the Philadelphia 76ers on their home floor in the first two games of this series, taking a 2-0 lead and winning both games by double figures. In Game 3, the Heat will have to contend with a vicious Philadelphia crowd, as they look to take a 3-0 series lead. Fortunately for the Heat, their advantages on the floor in this series could outweigh the home court advantage of the Sixers.
Bam Adebayo has been the biggest advantage for the Heat so far in this series, as he has taken full advantage of the lack of Joel Embiid on the floor for Philly. Adebayo has averaged 23.5 points and 10.5 rebounds per game over the first two games of this series. If he can continue to control the glass in Embiid’s absence, the Heat could cruise to another victory on Friday night.
Philadelphia 76ers
The Philadelphia 76ers have struggled to get their offense into gear without Joel Embiid on the floor against the Miami Heat. Doc Rivers’ team has averaged just 97.5 points per game through two games against Miami, and are in danger of falling behind 3-0 with a loss on Friday. Embiid has the potential to return on Friday night, but if he cannot, the Sixers will need more from James Harden to keep their chances in this series alive.
Harden has averaged just 18 points per game in this series so far, and has been a far cry from the player that was expected to help the Sixers win a championship when they traded for him. With Harden underperforming, and DeAndre Jordan taking up some of Embiid’s minutes while Embiid is out, the Sixers are simply not getting enough out of their starting lineup to play at the level they need to in order to beat the East’s top seed.