The Golden State Warriors (5-19) square off against the Memphis Grizzlies (6-16) at the Chase Center. The game will air on Fox Sports – Southeast at 10:30 p.m. ET on Monday, December 9, 2019.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 217.5 points with Golden State opening as a 3-point favorite.
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriors Betting Prediction
The Grizzlies are hoping for a better outcome after not being able to cover as 11.5-point underdogs in their 126-112 loss to the Utah Jazz in their last matchup. The combined points for the game (238) came in well over the projected point total of 218. Utah’s offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest strength over Memphis. The Jazz had a rate of 28.1 (above their season average of 19.0), while the Grizzlies posted a mark of 13.5 (below their season average of 22.2). Jaren Jackson Jr. was the top scorer from either team with 26 points on 9-for-18 shooting.
The last time the Warriors were in action, they edged the Chicago Bulls, 100-98, despite being 4.5-point underdogs. The total points for the game (198) were well under the projected point total of 216. Golden State’s 0.211 free throw rate was their largest strength over Chicago, who had a mark of 0.034. The Warriors’ mark was below their season average of 0.220, while the Bulls’ was below their season average of 0.201. Glenn Robinson III was Golden State’s top scorer with 20 points on 8-for-12 shooting from the field.
The physical Golden State offense might be living from the foul line in this contest. The Warriors currently rank eighth in the NBA with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.220, while Memphis ranks 22nd in FTA rate allowed (0.223).
Memphis holds records of 6-16 straight up (SU) and 8-14 against the spread (ATS). Games featuring the Grizzlies have finished under the total 54.5 percent of the time.
Meanwhile, Golden State is 5-19 SU and 11-13 ATS. Coinciding with Memphis, Warriors games have a slight tendency to go under the O/U total (54.2 percent).
This will be the second game of the season between these two squads. Alec Burks scored a game-high 29 points in the first game, in which the Warriors, who were 6.5-point underdogs, beat the Grizzlies 114-95. He also had eight rebounds. The game finished with a total of 209 points, which was 12.5 points below the projected point total of 221.5 points. The Warriors had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (26.8 vs. 14.9) and had a better free throw rate (0.211 vs. 0.159).
Grizzlies vs. Warriors Free Pick
Prediction: ATS Winner – Grizzlies, O/U – Under
Betting Trends
On the road, Memphis is 3-6 ATS with 5 unders and 4 overs.
At home, Golden State is 4-5 ATS with 5 unders and 4 overs.
In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Golden State is 3-1.
When scoring over 100 points, the Grizzlies are 6-11 and the Warriors are 5-11.
Memphis ranks first in points in the paint per game (54.2) while Golden State ranks 25th (44.3).
The Grizzlies average 26.3 assists per game, which ranks fifth in the NBA. The Warriors rank 26th in assists allowed per game (25.7).
Golden State averages 17.5 points off turnovers per game, which ranks 15th in the NBA. Memphis ranks last in points off turnovers allowed per game (20.5).
The Grizzlies rank 11th in second chance points per game (13.8) while the Warriors rank 23rd in second chance points allowed per game (14.0).
Memphis ranks fifth in fast break points per game (15.8) while Golden State ranks 17th in fast break points allowed per game (13.3).
The Grizzlies average 5.2 blocks per game, which ranks 12th in the NBA. The Warriors rank 22nd in blocks allowed per game (5.6).
Memphis ranks 18th in three pointers attempted per game (31.5) while Golden State ranks 27th (28.2).
The Grizzlies rank 10th in steals per game (8.0) while the Warriors rank 18th in steals allowed per game (8.0).
Over its last five outings, Memphis is 1-4 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Golden State is 2-3 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over over its last five games.
The Grizzlies’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 7.0, down from 8.3 for the season.
During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 94.2 points per game (10.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 106.0 points per game (8.0 below their season average).
