It will be a battle between Southwest Division opponents when the San Antonio Spurs (5-4) welcome the Memphis Grizzlies (2-7) to the AT&T Center. The game can be seen on Fox Sports – Southeast at 7:30 p.m. ET on Monday, November 11, 2019.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 226.5 points with San Antonio opening as an 11-point favorite.
Memphis Grizzlies vs. San Antonio Spurs Betting Prediction
The Grizzlies are hoping for a better outcome after failing to cover as 5.5-point underdogs in their 138-122 loss to the Dallas Mavericks in their last game. The total points for the game (260) were well over the projected point total of 222.5. One of Dallas’ largest strengths was their ability to convert at the free throw line. They were 16-20 (80.0 percent), while the Grizzlies were 10-14 (71.4 percent). Memphis’ Jae Crowder put together a good outing, putting up 18 points.
In the Spurs’ last matchup, they lost big to the Boston Celtics, 135-115, despite being 2-point favorites. The game’s combined points (250) were well over the projected point total of 218.5. Boston’s turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over San Antonio. The Celtics posted a mark of 7.0 (better than their season average of 10.1), while the Spurs had a rate of 11.8. With 22 points on 6-for-15 shooting, DeMar DeRozan led San Antonio in scoring.
These two teams split four games last season. In the last game, the Spurs won 108-107. The Spurs knocked down 23 of their 29 free throws (79.3 percent) and had a better turnover percentage (6.6 vs. 11.1).
Memphis holds records of 2-7 straight up (SU) and 2-7 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has a tendency to set the total high when the Grizzlies are involved, as 55.6 percent of their contests have gone under the O/U total.
Meanwhile, San Antonio is 5-4 SU and 2-7 ATS. Unlike Memphis, Spurs games have a tendency to go over the total (55.6 percent).
The high-octane offense of San Antonio will clash against the bottom-tier defense of Memphis. Since the 2018-19 season, the Spurs rank first in offensive efficiency, while the Grizzlies are 24th in defensive efficiency. The Spurs should have the advantage on that side of the ball. Opposite paces will be on display in this battle. The fast-breaking Grizzlies rank fifth in possessions per game, while the more methodical Spurs rank 29th.
Memphis Grizzlies vs. San Antonio Spurs ATS Pick
Prediction: Memphis Grizzlies +11
In contests where they hold opponents under 100 points, Memphis is 15-7 and San Antonio is 17-4.
The Grizzlies are 26-26 when they score above 100 points, while the Spurs are 55-26.
San Antonio ranks first in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.6) while Memphis ranks 27th (17.1).
The Grizzlies rank first in points in the paint per game (47.2) while the Spurs rank 25th (43.6).
San Antonio ranks fifth in blocks allowed per game (4.1) while Memphis ranks 26th (5.0).
The Grizzlies rank fourth in fast break points per game (12.8) while the Spurs rank 21st (10.9).
San Antonio ranks ninth in three pointers allowed per game (31.9) while Memphis ranks 25th (32.6).
The Spurs rank 11th in second chance points allowed per game (12.5) while the Grizzlies rank 27th (12.1).
Memphis ranks sixth in assists per game (24.1) while San Antonio ranks 18th in assists allowed per game (24.7).
The Spurs rank 17th in rebounds per game (45.2) while the Grizzlies rank 20th in rebounds allowed per game (44.9).