The Los Angeles Lakers (18-3) will try to continue their nine-game road winning streak in a matchup against the Utah Jazz (12-9) at Vivint Smart Home Arena. The game can be seen on NBATV at 9 p.m. ET on Wednesday, December 4, 2019.
Utah opened as a 2-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 210 points.
Los Angeles Lakers vs. Utah Jazz Free Prediction
The Lakers will be hoping for similar success after topping the Denver Nuggets in their last matchup, 105-96, as 6-point underdogs. The total points for the game (201) finished well under the O/U total of 222.5. The Lakers had a ridiculous offensive rebounding percentage of 33.3 (above their season average of 23.1) and had a free throw rate of 0.238 (above their season average of 0.181). Los Angeles was lifted by Anthony Davis, who recorded 25 points and 10 rebounds.
The last time the Jazz played, they fell to the Philadelphia 76ers, 103-94. They were not able to cover as 5-point underdogs. The game’s combined points (197) came in under the O/U total of 209. Philadelphia’s offensive rebounding percentage was their largest strength over Utah. The 76ers had a rate of 17.8 (below their season average of 23.6), while the Jazz posted a mark of 11.4 (below their season average of 19.4). With 27 points on 11-for-15 shooting, Rudy Gobert was the game’s leading scorer.
This is the second game of the season between these two teams. In the first, LeBron James scored a game-high 32 points and the Lakers beat the Jazz 95-86, covering as 3.5-point favorites. He also recorded 10 assists and seven rebounds. The game finished with a total of 181 points, which was 33.5 points below the projected point total of 214.5 points. Los Angeles’ rebounding was their largest strength. The Lakers had more offensive rebounds (11 vs. three) and total rebounds (42 vs. 40).
Los Angeles heads into the game with records of 18-3 straight up (SU) and 11-9 against the spread (ATS). Games involving the Lakers have a tendency to finish under the O/U total (60.0 percent).
Meanwhile, Utah is 12-9 SU and 8-13 ATS. Jazz games also have a tendency to go under the total (61.9 percent).
Utah might have a tough time finding the bottom of the net as they clash against one of the NBA’s best defenses. Los Angeles currently ranks third in defensive efficiency while the Jazz rank 22nd in offensive efficiency.
Los Angeles Lakers at Utah Jazz Betting Pick
Prediction: ATS Winner – Lakers, O/U – Under
Betting Trends
On the road, Los Angeles is 4-5 ATS with 5 unders and 4 overs.
At home, Utah is 4-5 ATS with 5 unders and 4 overs.
Los Angeles is 7-0 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Utah is 6-1.
When scoring above 100 points, the Lakers are 15-3 and the Jazz are 11-6.
Los Angeles ranks second in second chance points per game (15.7) while Utah ranks 28th (10.0).
The Lakers rank third in fast break points per game (17.0) while the Jazz rank 27th (11.1).
Los Angeles ranks first in blocks per game (7.1) while Utah ranks 24th (4.4).
The Lakers rank seventh in steals per game (8.5) while the Jazz rank 29th (6.1).
Los Angeles ranks fourth in assists per game (26.4) while Utah ranks 26th (21.0).
The Lakers rank second in points in the paint per game (53.3) while the Jazz rank 22nd (44.8).
Los Angeles averages 18.2 points off turnovers per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. Utah ranks 20th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.5).
The Jazz rank fifth in three pointers allowed per game (32.0) while the Lakers rank 13th (33.2).
Over its last five games, Los Angeles is 2-3 ATS with 5 unders.
Utah is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over its last five games.
The Lakers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 6.2, down from 8.2 for the season.
During their last five games, the Jazz have scored an average of 105.4 points per game (0.7 below their season average) and allowed an average of 114.0 points per game (8.9 above their season average).
