It will be a battle between Pacific Division opponents when the Golden State Warriors (12-40) welcome the Los Angeles Lakers (38-12) to the Chase Center. The game is scheduled to start at 8:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 8, 2020.
Los Angeles Lakers vs. Golden State Warriors ATS Prediction
In the Lakers’ last outing, they were 4-point favorites and lost to the Houston Rockets, 121-111. The total points for the game (232) came in under the projected point total of 239. Making free throws was one of Houston’s biggest strengths. They were 16-18 (88.9 percent), while the Lakers were 12-16 (75.0 percent). Anthony Davis led Los Angeles in scoring with 32 points on 14-for-21 shooting.
The Warriors were blown out by the Brooklyn Nets in their last game, 129-88. They failed to cover as 6-point underdogs. The combined points for the game (217) came in under the O/U total of 222.5. Brooklyn’s rebounding was their largest advantage. The Nets had more offensive rebounds (14 vs. seven), defensive rebounds (51 vs. 27) and total rebounds (65 vs. 34). D’Angelo Russell had a solid game for Golden State, leading the team in scoring with 17 points on 7-for-20 shooting.
This will be the second game of the season between these two teams. JaVale McGee had 18 points and 17 rebounds in the first game, in which the Lakers defeated the Warriors 120-94, covering as 8.5-point favorites. The game finished with a total of 214 points, which was 5.5 points below the projected point total of 219.5 points. The Lakers had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (36.1 vs. 20.8) and had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.590 vs. 0.455).
Los Angeles comes into the contest with records of 38-12 straight up (SU) and 26-23-1 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has been spot on when setting the O/U total of Lakers games, with an even split between overs and unders.
Meanwhile, Golden State is 12-40 SU and 24-27-1 ATS. Games involving the Warriors have a slight tendency to finish under the O/U total (53.8 percent).
The ineffective offense of Golden State (29th in the NBA with an offensive efficiency of 103.0) will face off against the elite defense of Los Angeles (fourth in the league with a defensive efficiency of 104.3). The Lakers should have the advantage on that side of the ball. Moreover, the Lakers rank fourth in offensive rebounding percentage (24.8 percent), while the Warriors rank 25th in defensive rebounding percentage (76.0 percent).
Los Angeles Lakers at Golden State Warriors Odds Pick
Pick: ATS Winner – Warriors, O/U – Over
On the road, Los Angeles is 14-12 ATS with 14 overs and 12 unders.
At home, Golden State is 10-13-1 ATS with 14 unders and 10 overs.
Golden State is 5-2 when they allow under 100 points, while Los Angeles is 15-0.
When reaching 100 points, the Warriors are 12-25 and the Lakers are 34-11.
Los Angeles ranks second in points in the paint per game (53.4) while Golden State ranks 29th (42.5).
The Lakers rank second in rebounds allowed per game (42.0) while the Warriors rank 28th (47.3).
Los Angeles averages 8.5 steals per game, which ranks fourth in the NBA. Golden State ranks 26th in steals allowed per game (8.1).
The Lakers average 19.0 fast break points per game, which ranks second in the league. The Warriors rank 24th in fast break points allowed per game (14.5).
Los Angeles ranks sixth in assists allowed per game (22.8) while Golden State ranks 27th (25.8).
The Lakers rank third in second chance points per game (14.7) while the Warriors rank 23rd (12.2).
Los Angeles ranks first in blocks per game (7.0) while Golden State ranks 20th in blocks allowed per game (5.2).
The Lakers rank third in points off turnovers per game (18.7) while the Warriors rank 21st in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.4).
Los Angeles ranks 23rd in three pointers attempted per game (30.8) while Golden State ranks 25th (30.6).
In its last five games, Los Angeles is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Golden State is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over its last five games.
The Lakers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 1.6, down from 7.2 for the season.
During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 110.4 points per game (4.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 118.4 points per game (3.8 above their season average).