The Toronto Raptors (16-7) take on the Los Angeles Clippers (18-7) at Scotiabank Arena. The game can be seen on ESPN at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, December 11, 2019.
Los Angeles Clippers vs. Toronto Raptors Free Prediction
The Clippers come in on a high note after topping the Indiana Pacers in their last contest, 110-99, as 3-point underdogs. The game’s total points (209) were under the O/U total of 217.5. Los Angeles’ turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over Indiana. The Clippers had a rate of 8.3 (better than their season average of 13.1), while the Pacers posted a mark of 10.7. With 36 points on 10-for-26 shooting, Paul George was the game’s high scorer.
The last time the Raptors played, they barely escaped the Chicago Bulls, 93-92, but failed to cover as 6-point favorites. The game’s total points (185) finished well under the projected point total of 214.5. Getting to the charity stripe was one of Toronto’s biggest advantages. They made 26 trips to the line, 12 more than Chicago. Pascal Siakam was the game’s high scorer with 22 points on 7-for-18 shooting from the field.
When looking at effective field goal percentage, Toronto should have a considerable edge. The Raptors defense ranks first in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.485), while the Los Angeles offense is ranked 17th in effective field goal percentage (0.520). Additionally, the Clippers rank first in offensive rebounding percentage (25.0 percent), while the Raptors rank 29th in defensive rebounding percentage (74.1 percent).
Los Angeles holds records of 18-7 straight up (SU) and 13-11-1 against the spread (ATS). Of the Clippers’ 25 games, 15 have finished under the O/U total.
Meanwhile, Toronto is 16-7 SU and 13-10 ATS. In opposition of Los Angeles, just over half of Raptors games have finished over the total.
This is the second game of the season between these two teams. Montrezl Harrell put up 14 points and 11 rebounds in the first matchup, in which the Clippers beat the Raptors 98-88, covering as 9.5-point favorites. The game finished with a total of 186 points, which was 34.5 points below the projected point total of 220.5 points. Los Angeles had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (37.7 vs. 9.8). Toronto, meanwhile, had a better effective field goal percentage (0.465 vs. 0.413).
Clippers vs. Raptors Free Pick
Prediction: ATS Winner – Raptors, O/U – Under
On the road, Los Angeles is 4-7 ATS with 6 unders and 5 overs.
Toronto is 8-3 ATS at home with 8 overs and 3 unders.
In games where they allow below 100 points, Los Angeles is 8-0 and Toronto is 8-1.
When scoring more than 100 points, the Raptors are 14-6 and the Clippers are 16-3.
Los Angeles averages 49.2 rebounds per game, which ranks second in the NBA. Toronto ranks 28th in rebounds allowed per game (48.5).
The Clippers rank first in second chance points per game (15.7) while the Raptors rank 26th (11.9).
Toronto averages 18.9 fast break points per game, which ranks first in the NBA. Los Angeles ranks 24th in fast break points allowed per game (14.9).
The Clippers rank ninth in blocks per game (5.4) while the Raptors rank 25th in blocks allowed per game (5.8).
Toronto ranks fourth in steals allowed per game (6.9) while Los Angeles ranks 19th (8.0).
The Raptors rank seventh in three pointers attempted per game (36.1) while the Clippers rank 20th in three pointers allowed per game (34.8).
Toronto averages 20.0 points off turnovers per game, which ranks third in the NBA. Los Angeles ranks 13th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.0).
The Raptors rank second in points allowed in the paint per game (41.7) while the Clippers rank sixth (43.7).
Los Angeles ranks 21st in assists per game (23.2) while Toronto ranks 24th in assists allowed per game (25.4).
In its last five contests, Los Angeles is 4-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Toronto is 1-4 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over its last five games.
The Clippers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 8.8, up from 6.8 for the season.
During their last five games, the Raptors have scored an average of 109.2 points per game (2.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 110.4 points per game (5.1 above their season average).