The Golden State Warriors will be at home in ORACLE Arena when they take on the Los Angeles Clippers to open the First Round of the Western Conference Playoffs. Golden State is a 12.5-point favorite on the opening line, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 231.5 points. Action begins at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, April 13, 2019.
Los Angeles Clippers at Golden State Warriors Free Preview
These two teams have met four times already this year, with the Warriors leading the series three games to one. In the most recent game, Draymond Green put up 10 points, 10 rebounds and nine assists and the Warriors defeated the Clippers 131-104, covering as 11-point favorites. The two teams combined for 235 points, which was just 2.5 points below the projected point total of 237.5 points. The Warriors played a nearly perfect game. They had an extraordinarily low turnover percentage of 8.0 and an offensive rebounding percentage of 25.0. The Clippers had marks of 17.9 and 14.0, respectively, for those same stats.
Golden State could have their way on the offensive side of the ball as their prolific offense goes up against one of the worst defenses in the NBA. The Warriors rank first in offensive efficiency, while Los Angeles ranks 21st in defensive efficiency. Also, the Clippers, who rank first in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.258), could earn plenty of trips to the line against the Warriors, who rank 21st in opponents’ FTA rate (0.205).
Of Los Angeles’ 82 games, 45 have finished over the projected point total, while 44 of Golden State’s 82 games have finished under the O/U total. The Warriors hold the significant advantage straight up (SU) (57-25 vs. 48-34), but the Clippers have been superior against the spread (ATS) (45-36-1 vs. 35-46-1).
Los Angeles Clippers vs. Golden State Warriors Prediction
NBA Pick: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Clippers, O/U – Under
The Warriors average 19.1 fast break points per game, which ranks third in the league. The Clippers rank 21st in fast break points allowed per game (14.8).
Golden State ranks 15th in points off turnovers per game (16.2) while Los Angeles ranks 25th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.8).
Golden State ranks first in assists per game (29.4) while Los Angeles ranks 18th (24.0).
Los Angeles averages 13.1 second chance points per game, which ranks 14th in the NBA. Golden State ranks 21st in second chance points allowed per game (13.8).
Los Angeles is 23-17-1 ATS on the road, while Golden State is 16-24-1 ATS at home.
The Clippers have 23 unders and 18 overs in 41 road games.
The Warriors have 25 unders and 16 overs in 41 home games.
Golden State is 10-0 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Los Angeles is 7-1.
When reaching the century mark, the Clippers are 48-25 and the Warriors are 57-17.
The Warriors average 7.6 steals per game, which ranks 14th in the NBA. The Clippers rank 24th in steals allowed per game (8.3).
Golden State ranks first in blocks allowed per game (3.6) while Los Angeles ranks 28th (6.1).
The Warriors rank eighth in three pointers attempted per game (34.4) while the Clippers rank 28th (25.8).
The Warriors average 46.2 rebounds per game, which ranks 11th in the NBA. The Clippers rank 19th in rebounds allowed per game (45.7).
Los Angeles ranks seventh in points in the paint per game (51.2) while Golden State ranks 27th (43.2).
Golden State is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs in its last five games.
Across its past five outings, Los Angeles is 1-4 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
The Warriors’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 9.0, up from 6.5 for the season.
During their last five games, the Clippers have scored an average of 116.0 points per game (0.9 above their season average) and allowed an average of 124.2 points per game (9.9 above their season average).