The Los Angeles Clippers square off against the Denver Nuggets on Sunday afternoon in Game 6 of their 2020 NBA Playoffs Western Conference Semifinals series, so we bring you all need-to-know betting tips and trends along with the latest odds update and the best betting pick.
The second-seeded Clippers already missed a chance to qualify for the conference finals this past Friday with a tough loss in Game 5. The third-seeded Nuggets just won’t go away this postseason, looking for another upset Sunday in the bubble, so we should see a great battle between Denver and LA.
The Clippers have no serious injury worries, while the Nuggets are without Will Barton.
The bookies have been favoring the Clippers around 8.5 points through this series, and LA is listed as an 8.5-point fave in Game 6 on DraftKings. The Clippers are -350 moneyline favorites on BetAmerica, while the Nuggets are +280 dogs with a total of 213.5 points on the same platform.
What’s at Stake?
The Nuggets are in a win-or-go-home situation for the second straight game. They haven’t been in the conference finals since 2009. The Clippers, on the other side, are searching for their first conference finals in franchise history.
Interestingly, the Nuggets have already been in this kind of situation this postseason. They trailed 3-1 against the Utah Jazz in the previous round. This is a tough spot for the Nuggets, but they know how to deal with pressure.
The Clippers blew a 16-point lead in Game 5, and that could hurt their morale ahead of Sunday’s clash.
For most of Game 5, it looked that the Clippers will easily finish the job. They built a double-digit lead early in the second quarter and kept it until the final minute of the third.
However, the Clippers’ second unit had an awful night, combining for just 16 points. The Nuggets played well down the stretch, especially on the offensive end, and managed to pull off an upset. They scored 38 points in the fourth quarter and completely outplayed the Clippers.
Paul Millsap had 14 of his 17 points in the third period, helping the Nuggets to stay alive, while Jamal Murray and Nikola Jokic took over in the fourth. Murray finished the game with 26 points and seven assists, and Jokic added 22 points and 14 rebounds.
The Nuggets shot 48.1% from the field and 44.4% from beyond the arc, enjoying their best offensive performance in this series. Furthermore, they limited the Clippers on just 42.0% shooting from the field and 32 points scored in the paint.
Kawhi Leonard led the way for LA with 36 points, while Paul George added 26, but the Clippers’ role players have to do a much better job in Game 6.
There are some tired legs among the Nuggets after 12 games this postseason, but the stake is enormous, and this young Denver team continues to fight. On paper, the Clippers are a better team, and I expect them to prove it on the court in Game 6.
The Nuggets could easily keep it close, so this 8.5-point spread is a tricky one if you want to take the Clippers. Los Angeles is 2-3 ATS in this series and 5-8 ATS in its previous 13 encounters with the Nuggets.
If you are looking for a teaser or parlay, taking the Clippers makes sense. However, I will buy a couple of points and take the Nuggets as 10.5-point underdogs. As I’ve said, they’ve already overcome a 3-1 deficit in the first round, so the Nuggets obviously thrive under pressure.
All previous five contests went in the under, and I expect to see another low-scoring affair. Both teams have a lot of ups and downs offensively, and there’s some serious defensive potential, especially among the Clippers.