The Los Angeles Clippers (30-13) travel to Dallas to play the Mavericks (27-15) in a game that has the potential to be high-scoring. The game can be seen on NBATV at 8:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, January 21, 2020.
Los Angeles Clippers at Dallas Mavericks ATS Prediction
In the Clippers’ last contest, they topped the New Orleans Pelicans, 133-130, but they were not able to cover as 7.5-point favorites. The game’s combined points (263) came in well over the O/U total of 240.5. Los Angeles’ 9.8 turnover percentage was their largest advantage over New Orleans, who had a mark of 17.1. The Clippers’ mark was better than their season average of 12.8, while the Pelicans’ was above their season average of 12.7. Los Angeles received a boost from Kawhi Leonard, who was the top scorer from either team with 39 points on 15-for-28 shooting.
The Mavericks were victorious over the Portland Trail Blazers in their last outing, 120-112, covering as 7.5-point favorites. The combined points for the game (232) were over the O/U total of 228. Getting to the free throw line was one of Dallas’ largest advantages. They had 28 free throw attempts, six more than Portland. Luka Doncic was the game’s top scorer with 35 points on 11-for-23 shooting from the field.
This is the second game of the season between these two squads. In the first, Leonard scored a game-high 28 points and the Clippers beat the Mavericks 114-99, covering as 2-point favorites. He also had eight rebounds. The game finished with a total of 213 points, which was 12.5 points below the projected point total of 225.5 points. The Clippers had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (31.5 vs. 18.8) and had a much better turnover percentage (11.3 vs. 17.5).
Los Angeles heads into the contest with records of 30-13 straight up (SU) and 22-20-1 against the spread (ATS). Games involving the Clippers have a slight tendency to go under the total (53.5 percent).
Meanwhile, Dallas is 27-15 SU and 25-17 ATS. Vegas tends to place the total low when the Mavericks are involved, as 26 of their 43 games have gone over the total.
Both teams have had a player take their game to the next level over their last five games. Leonard (33 points,6.0 rebounds,4.2 assists,2.2 steals) has been stellar for the Clippers while Tim Hardaway Jr. (16 points) has contributed greatly to the Mavericks.
It might turn into a high-scoring affair as a pair of the league’s top offenses go head-to-head. Dallas currently ranks first with 115.1 points per 100 possessions and Los Angeles is fifth (110.5). Furthermore, the Clippers, who rank third in offensive rebounding percentage (24.7 percent), will clash against the Mavericks, who rank 21st in defensive rebounding percentage (76.8 percent).
Los Angeles Clippers vs. Dallas Mavericks Free Pick
NBA Pick: ATS Winner – Clippers, O/U – Under
On the road, Los Angeles is 9-11 ATS with 11 unders and 9 overs.
Dallas is 10-13 ATS at home with 14 overs and 9 unders.
In contests where they hold opponents below 100 points, Dallas is 7-0 and Los Angeles is 12-0.
The Mavericks are 27-13 when they reach 100 points, while the Clippers are 28-9.
Los Angeles ranks third in points off turnovers per game (18.5) while Dallas ranks 27th (15.2).
The Mavericks average 41.0 three pointers per game, which ranks second in the league. The Clippers rank 20th in three pointers allowed per game (34.7).
Los Angeles ranks seventh in points in the paint per game (49.9) while Dallas ranks 25th (45.2).
The Clippers average 14.3 fast break points per game, which ranks 11th in the NBA. The Mavericks rank 28th in fast break points allowed per game (16.3).
Los Angeles ranks second in second chance points per game (15.1) while Dallas ranks 18th in second chance points allowed per game (13.2).
The Mavericks rank first in blocks allowed per game (3.8) while the Clippers rank 13th (4.9).
Los Angeles ranks third in rebounds per game (48.0) while Dallas ranks 14th in rebounds allowed per game (45.0).
The Clippers rank 18th in steals per game (7.6) while the Mavericks rank 28th (6.3).
In its last five outings, Los Angeles is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Dallas is 4-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over its last five games.
The Clippers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 10.8, up from 6.6 for the season.
During their last five games, the Mavericks have scored an average of 118.8 points per game (2.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 110.4 points per game (1.0 above their season average).