Both teams will attempt to lengthen their five game winning streaks as the Dallas Mavericks (11-5) take on the Los Angeles Clippers (12-5) at American Airlines Center. The game starts at 8:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, November 26, 2019, and will air on NBATV.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 227.5 points with Los Angeles opening as a 2-point favorite.
Los Angeles Clippers vs. Dallas Mavericks Betting Prediction
In the Clippers’ last contest, they comfortably covered the 12.5-point spread against the New Orleans Pelicans, 134-109. The game’s total points (243) were over the projected point total of 233. The Clippers knocked down 26 of their 33 free throws (78.8 percent) and had a turnover percentage of 5.1 (better than their season average of 14.2). With 34 points on 13-for-18 shooting, Montrezl Harrell was the top scorer from either team.
The Mavericks were victorious over the Houston Rockets in their last matchup, 137-123, despite being 5.5-point underdogs. The game’s total points (260) were well over the projected point total of 229. Dallas had a better effective field goal percentage (0.569 vs. 0.510). Houston, meanwhile, had a turnover percentage of 9.0 (better than their season average of 12.9). Luka Doncic was the game’s high scorer with 41 points on 15-for-29 shooting from the field.
After splitting four games last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. The Clippers won the last matchup 121-112. Los Angeles had a much better turnover percentage (4.4 vs. 16.2). Dallas, on the other hand, did an excellent job of making free throws (24-27; 88.9 percent).
Los Angeles holds records of 12-5 straight up (SU) and 8-8-1 against the spread (ATS). Matchups featuring the Clippers have a tendency to finish under the projected point total (58.8 percent).
Meanwhile, Dallas owns records of 11-5 SU and 9-7 ATS. Contrary to Los Angeles, Mavericks games tend to go over the projected point total (68.8 percent).
Both teams have had a player step their game up over their last five games. Paul George (26 points,6.6 rebounds,5.2 assists) has been stellar for the Clippers while Doncic (33 points,11.0 assists,10.6 rebounds,1.8 steals) has made solid contributions to the Mavericks.
This matchup pits one of the NBA’s top offenses against one of its elite defensesDallas ranks second in effective field goal percentage (0.551), while Los Angeles is fifth in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.497). Moreover, the Clippers, who rank fourth in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.233), will go head-to-head against the Mavericks, who rank third in opponents’ FTA rate (0.167).
Los Angeles Clippers at Dallas Mavericks ATS Pick
Free NBA Pick: ATS Winner – Mavs
Betting Trends
On the road, Los Angeles is 1-4 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
At home, Dallas is 4-5 ATS with 6 overs and 3 unders.
Los Angeles is 5-0 when they allow less than 100 points, while Dallas is 1-0.
When reaching 100 points, the Mavericks are 11-5 and the Clippers are 10-3.
Dallas ranks third in three pointers attempted per game (39.6) while Los Angeles ranks 24th in three pointers allowed per game (35.7).
The Clippers rank fourth in fast break points per game (15.5) while the Mavericks rank 24th in fast break points allowed per game (14.9).
Dallas ranks third in blocks allowed per game (3.9) while Los Angeles ranks 17th (5.1).
The Clippers rank second in second chance points per game (15.8) while the Mavericks rank 16th in second chance points allowed per game (13.4).
Los Angeles ranks fifth in points allowed in the paint per game (43.3) while Dallas ranks 17th (48.3).
The Clippers rank second in rebounds per game (48.9) while the Mavericks rank 12th in rebounds allowed per game (45.2).
Los Angeles ranks 20th in steals per game (7.2) while Dallas ranks 26th (6.1).
The Clippers rank third in assists allowed per game (21.5) while the Mavericks rank eighth (22.9).
Los Angeles ranks eighth in points off turnovers per game (18.7) while Dallas ranks ninth in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.4).
Over its last five outings, Los Angeles is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Dallas is 5-0 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under over its last five games.
The Clippers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 16.4, up from 6.9 for the season.
During their last five games, the Mavericks have scored an average of 129.8 points per game (10.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 106.0 points per game (3.9 below their season average).
