The Indiana Pacers (12-6) put their five-game winning streak on the line when they challenge the Philadelphia 76ers (13-6) at Wells Fargo Center. The game can be seen on NBATV at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 30, 2019.
Indiana Pacers at Philadelphia 76ers Free Prediction
In the Pacers’ last matchup, they topped the Atlanta Hawks, 105-104, resulting in a push. The total points for the game (209) were just over the O/U total of 207.5. Indiana’s turnover percentage was their largest strength over Atlanta. The Pacers had a rate of 12.5 (worse than their season average of 11.8), while the Hawks posted a mark of 19.5 (above their season average of 14.9). Domantas Sabonis had a solid performance for Indiana, recording 17 points and 12 rebounds.
The 76ers defeated the New York Knicks in their last game, 101-95, despite being 9.5-point underdogs. The game’s combined points (196) finished under the O/U total of 210.5. Philadelphia was effective at getting and making free throws. The 76ers made 32 of their 40 free throws (80.0 percent), while the Knicks were just 19-33 (57.6 percent). Joel Embiid was the top scorer from either team with 27 points on 7-for-19 shooting from the field.
Philadelphia might struggle to put up points as they square off against one of the NBA’s best defenses. Indiana currently ranks fifth in defensive efficiency while the 76ers rank 18th in offensive efficiency.
Indiana heads into the contest with records of 12-6 straight up (SU) and 8-7-2 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when setting the total of Pacers games, with 9 unders compared to 8 overs.
Meanwhile, Philadelphia is 13-6 SU and 9-9 ATS. Vegas has been spot on when setting the total of 76ers games, with an even split between overs and unders.
After the 76ers won three out of four contests against the Pacers last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the last contest, Philadelphia won 106-89. The 76ers had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (28.9 vs. 23.5) and had a better effective field goal percentage (0.477 vs. 0.404).
Pacers vs. 76ers Free Pick
Prediction: ATS Winner – Pacers, O/U – Under
Betting Trends
On the road, Indiana is 3-4 ATS with 4 unders and 3 overs.
Philadelphia is 4-4 ATS at home with 5 unders, 2 overs and 1 push.
When allowing below 100 points, Philadelphia is 7-0 and Indiana is 4-1.
The Pacers are 12-3 when they score above 100 points, while the 76ers are 11-3.
Philadelphia ranks fifth in steals per game (8.6) while Indiana ranks 21st (7.1).
The Pacers rank third in points in the paint per game (50.2) while the 76ers rank 12th (47.6).
Indiana averages 18.6 points off turnovers per game, which ranks eighth in the NBA. Philadelphia ranks 16th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.2).
The 76ers rank first in three pointers allowed per game (26.5) while the Pacers rank eighth (32.2).
Philadelphia ranks fourth in blocks allowed per game (4.1) while Indiana ranks 10th (4.6).
The 76ers rank first in second chance points allowed per game (10.1) while the Pacers rank sixth (11.8).
Philadelphia ranks first in rebounds allowed per game (39.7) while Indiana ranks sixth (43.4).
The 76ers rank fifth in assists per game (26.2) while the Pacers rank 10th (24.9).
Over its last five outings, Indiana is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Philadelphia is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders, 1 over and 1 push over its last five games.
The Pacers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 13.2, up from 5.4 for the season.
During their last five games, the 76ers have scored an average of 104.4 points per game (3.9 below their season average) and allowed an average of 95.4 points per game (8.2 below their season average).
