The Indiana Pacers (28-15) put their five-game winning streak on the line when they square off against the Utah Jazz (29-13) at Vivint Smart Home Arena. The game is scheduled to start at 9 p.m. ET on Monday, January 20, 2020.
Utah opened as a 7-point favorite, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 217 points. Odds Provided by PointsBet Sportsbook.
Indiana Pacers at Utah Jazz Betting Prediction
The Pacers come in on a high note after beating the Denver Nuggets in their last matchup, 115-107, as 6.5-point underdogs. The game’s total points (222) came in over the projected point total of 218. Indiana was lights out from beyond the arc (13-29; 44.8 percent). Denver, meanwhile, had a turnover percentage of 8.1 (better than their season average of 11.4). Indiana received a boost from Domantas Sabonis, who registered his zeroth triple-double this season. He dominated, collecting 22 points, 15 rebounds and 10 assists.
In the Jazz’s previous matchup, they had no trouble getting past the Sacramento Kings, 123-101, comfortably covering as 9.5-point favorites. The total points for the game (224) came in just over the projected point total of 223. The Jazz made 23 of their 24 free throws (95.8 percent) and held the Kings to an offensive rebounding percentage of 15.9 (below their season average of 22.4). With 28 points and 15 rebounds, Utah’s Rudy Gobert played well.
This is the second game of the season between these two squads. In the first, Sabonis had 23 points and 12 rebounds and the Pacers defeated the Jazz 121-102, covering as 1-point favorites. The game finished with a total of 223 points, which was 15.5 points above the projected point total of 207.5 points. The Pacers had a better turnover percentage (10.4 vs. 14.5) and had a better effective field goal percentage (0.563 vs. 0.494).
Indiana holds records of 28-15 straight up (SU) and 22-18-2 against the spread (ATS). Vegas is highly accurate when setting the total of Pacers games, with an even split between overs and unders.
Meanwhile, Utah is 29-13 SU and 21-19-2 ATS. Jazz games have finished over the O/U total 52.4 percent of the time.
Half-court execution will be at a premium when a pair of the NBA’s slowest-paced teams face off. Utah currently ranks 28th in possessions per game (100.4) and Indiana is 25th (100.5). Ball protection should be an advantage for the Pacers. They rank 5th at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.4 percent). Conversely, the Jazz force the third-fewest turnovers in the league (opponents’ turnover percentage of 12.0 percent).
Indiana Pacers at Utah Jazz Odds Pick
Pick: ATS Winner – Pacers, O/U – Over
Betting Trends
On the road, Indiana is 11-9 ATS with 10 overs and 10 unders.
At home, Utah is 10-8-1 ATS with 11 overs and 8 unders.
Indiana is 8-1 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Utah is 10-1.
The Pacers are 28-9 when they reach 100 points, while the Jazz are 28-8.
Indiana ranks sixth in assists per game (26.0) while Utah ranks 25th (22.0).
The Pacers rank first in steals allowed per game (6.6) while the Jazz rank 15th (7.5).
Indiana ranks 13th in blocks per game (5.1) while Utah ranks 27th (4.1).
The Jazz rank 16th in three pointers attempted per game (33.0) while the Pacers rank last (27.6).
Indiana ranks 17th in fast break points per game (12.6) while Utah ranks 28th (10.2).
The Pacers rank 20th in points off turnovers per game (16.3) while the Jazz rank 25th (14.6).
Indiana ranks 25th in second chance points per game (12.1) while Utah ranks 29th (11.2).
The Jazz rank 16th in points in the paint per game (47.7) while the Pacers rank 17th in points allowed in the paint per game (48.5).
Over its last five contests, Indiana is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Utah is 4-1 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under over its last five games.
The Pacers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 6.4, up from 3.3 for the season.
During their last five games, the Jazz have scored an average of 121.8 points per game (11.3 above their season average) and allowed an average of 110.8 points per game (4.4 above their season average).
