The San Antonio Spurs (25-33) clash against the Indiana Pacers (36-24) at the AT&T Center. The game can be seen on Fox Sports Midwest – Indiana at 8:30 p.m. ET on Monday, March 2, 2020.
Indiana Pacers vs. San Antonio Spurs Betting Prediction
The Pacers come into this matchup after topping the Cleveland Cavaliers, 113-104, resulting in a push. The combined points for the game (217) finished just over the projected point total of 215. Indiana’s 21.1 offensive rebounding percentage was their largest strength over Cleveland, who had a rate of 16.7. The Pacers’ mark was above their season average of 20.4, while the Cavaliers’ was below their season average of 24.6. Indiana received a boost from Domantas Sabonis, who put up 18 points, 13 rebounds and nine assists.
In the Spurs’ previous outing, they edged the Orlando Magic, 114-113, but were unable to cover as 4-point favorites. The total points for the game (227) finished just over the projected point total of 224.5. San Antonio’s effective field goal percentage was their biggest advantage over Orlando. The Spurs had a rate of 0.607 (above their season average of 0.526), while the Magic posted a mark of 0.577. Trey Lyles was San Antonio’s top scorer with 20 points on 8-for-13 shooting from the field.
After splitting two games last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the last game, the Spurs won 111-100. San Antonio’s 0.205 free throw rate was their biggest strength over Indiana, who had a mark of 0.051.
Indiana holds records of 36-24 straight up (SU) and 30-27-3 against the spread (ATS). Of the Pacers’ 60 games, 31 have finished over the projected point total.
Meanwhile, San Antonio owns records of 25-33 SU and 23-33-2 ATS. Vegas tends to set the total low when the Spurs are involved, as 35 of their 60 games have ended over the O/U total.
There’s a decent chance that Indiana struggles to create turnovers. San Antonio ranks first in the NBA at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 11.8 percent), while Indiana forces the 15th-most turnovers (13.6 percent). Also, put-back points figure to be tough to come by for the Pacers. They rank 28th in the NBA in offensive rebounding percentage at 20.4 percent, while the Spurs are fifth-best on the defensive glass (defensive rebounding percentage of 79.4 percent).
Indiana Pacers vs. San Antonio Spurs Betting Pick
Prediction: ATS Winner – Pacers, O/U – Under
On the road, Indiana is 16-12-1 ATS with 15 overs and 14 unders.
San Antonio is 9-19 ATS at home with 15 overs, 12 unders and 1 push.
San Antonio is 2-0 when they allow less than 100 points, while Indiana is 11-2.
The Spurs are 25-28 when they reach the century mark, while the Pacers are 36-15.
Indiana averages 26.2 assists per game, which ranks fifth in the league. San Antonio ranks 26th in assists allowed per game (25.7).
The Pacers rank eighth in points in the paint per game (49.2) while the Spurs rank 28th (43.3).
Indiana ranks 16th in points off turnovers per game (16.8) while San Antonio ranks 26th (14.8).
The Spurs rank 16th in rebounds per game (45.0) while the Pacers rank 25th (42.8).
Indiana ranks second in steals allowed per game (6.7) while San Antonio ranks third (6.9).
The Spurs rank 29th in three pointers attempted per game (28.5) while the Pacers rank last (27.7).
Indiana is 26th in the league with 11.6 second chance points per game while San Antonio is 27th with 11.1 second chance points per game.
The Spurs rank 13th in fast break points per game (13.6) while the Pacers rank 14th in fast break points allowed per game (13.1).
In its last five contests, Indiana is 2-2-1 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
San Antonio is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over its last five games.
The Pacers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 3.2, up from 2.2 for the season.
During their last five games, the Spurs have scored an average of 109.4 points per game (3.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 112.6 points per game (1.9 below their season average).